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FUR

Furman 16 at NC State 49

NCSU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:28 · Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 71 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior+41.2Home team on offense+7.6Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:53: Grayson Atkins 46 yd FG GOOD — FUR win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:35: P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 71 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — FUR win probability +1.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:18: Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:10: Nyheim Hines run for 28 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:52: P.J. Blazejowski pass intercepted for a TD Shawn Boone return for 47 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4FUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:53FUR 4th & 9 at NCSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:41FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:24FUR 4th & 8 at NCSU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:28FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:15NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 45, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NCSU 4th & 3 at FUR 47, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:14FUR 4th & 9 at FUR 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:36FUR 4th & 15 at NCSU 29, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:29NCSU 4th & 9 at FUR 40, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:16FUR 4th & 1 at FUR 40, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:24NCSU 4th & 1 at FUR 21, up 33
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:46NCSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:43NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:34NCSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:35FUR Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18NCSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:10NCSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:52NCSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:58NCSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FURDrive 1FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:071% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.7%
Thomas Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
98.7%
Antonio Wilcox run for 2 yds to the Furm 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Triston Luke for 5 yds to the Furm 30 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.7%
Darius Morehead run for 10 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.7%
Ridge Gibson run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
98.7%
Ridge Gibson run for 2 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+10
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 10 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.7%
Darius Morehead run for no gain to the NCSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
98.7%
Triston Luke run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-1
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski sacked by Bradley Chubb and Justin Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
98.2%
Grayson Atkins 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0798% → 98%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 12 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Gavin Locklear for 5 yds to the Furm 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
98.2%
Jaylen Samuels run for 10 yds to the Furm 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 7 yds to the Furm 32Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+13
98.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 13 yds to the Furm 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
98.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the Furm 15Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
98.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 6 yds to the Furm 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 7 yds to the Furm 2Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.6%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Furm 20Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
97.6%
Triston Luke run for 2 yds to the Furm 22Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
97.6%
Thomas Gordon run for 5 yds to the Furm 27Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Darius Morehead, broken up by Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nyheim Hines at the NCSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3998% → 98%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim HinesSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 17 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 5 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
97.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Furm 33Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
97.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Furm 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
97.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to JuMichael Ramos for 30 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 5FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:193% → 3%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.5%
Darius Morehead run for 10 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.5%
Ridge Gibson run for 1 yd to the Furm 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
97.4%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Andy SchumpertSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+45
97.5%
Triston Luke run for 45 yds to the NCSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.2%
Ridge Gibson run for no gain to the NCSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
97.2%
Ridge Gibson run for 3 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-1
97.3%
Darius Morehead run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
97.0%
Grayson Atkins 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:3897% → 98%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.1%
Dakwa Nichols run for 4 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+12
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 12 yds to the Furm 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 20 yds to the Furm 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.1%
Dakwa Nichols run for 1 yd to the Furm 5Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.1%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the Furm 1Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
97.4%
P.J. Blazejowski run for a loss of 8 yards to the Furm 19Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 18
OWN 19
-1
97.4%
P.J. Blazejowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 18Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 19
OWN 18
+11
97.4%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Triston Luke for 11 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 14 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
97.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 9 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
97.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-12
97.5%
Ryan Finley sacked by Donavan Perryman for a loss of 12 yards to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+11
97.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 11 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
97.2%
A.J. Cole III punt for 49 yds, downed at the Furm 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 9TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:373% → 5%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
97.2%
Antonio Wilcox run for 3 yds to the Furm 10Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
97.2%
Antonio Wilcox run for 2 yds to the Furm 12Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+17
97.2%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 17 yds to the Furm 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
95.5%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 71 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 2:1196% → 97%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
95.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 4 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
95.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 9 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
95.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 9 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
96.0%
Nyheim Hines run for 9 yds to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 5 yds to the Furm 40Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+11
95.7%
Nyheim Hines run for 11 yds to the Furm 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
95.8%
Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the Furm 26Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+14
95.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 14 yds to the Furm 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
95.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 7 yds to the Furm 5Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
95.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 4 yds to the Furm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 22 Reggie Gallaspy II fumbled, recovered by NCSt Gavin Locklear , return for no gain to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
97.0%
Ryan Finley run for 6 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
97.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 18 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+3
97.2%
Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the Furm 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Gavin LocklearSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
96.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thomas Gordon at the Furm 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
96.5%
Antonio Wilcox run for 4 yds to the Furm 16Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
96.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+6
96.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Logan McCarter for 6 yds to the Furm 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
96.5%
Darius Morehead run for 8 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
96.3%
Triston Luke run for 1 yd to the Furm 31Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
96.4%
Antonio Wilcox run for 1 yd to the Furm 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.3%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Thomas Gordon, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
96.4%
Antonio Wilcox run for 1 yd to the Furm 33Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
96.6%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
96.6%
TEAM puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:2797% → 99%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the Furm 47Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the Furm 42Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+14
97.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds to the Furm 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.0%
Nyheim Hines run for 28 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 15INT TD
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:181% → 0%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Furm 30Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 1 yd to the Furm 31Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Jake Walker for 10 yds to the Furm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.7%
Antonio Wilcox run for 1 yd to the Furm 42Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
98.7%
Darius Morehead run for 3 yds to the Furm 45Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+9
98.7%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 9 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
98.7%
Darius Morehead run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+47
99.8%
P.J. Blazejowski pass intercepted for a TD Shawn Boone return for 47 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Thomas Gordon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Furm 22Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Darius Morehead run for no gain to the Furm 22Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 1 yd to the Furm 23 P.J. Blazejowski fumbled, forced by Kentavius Street, recovered by NCSt Kentavius StreetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 14 yds to the Furm 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 9 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 18FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 3 yds to the Furm 28Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 6 yds to the Furm 34Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 1 yd to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+41
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 41 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski sacked by Darian Roseboro and James Smith-Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 3 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 29
0
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Thomas Gordon, broken up by Germaine PrattSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+46
99.9%
Grayson Atkins 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+29
99.9%
Jalan McClendon run for 29 yds to the Furm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
99.9%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Furm 46Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Reggie Gallaspy IISimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+11
99.9%
Jalan McClendon run for 11 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Joshua Fedd-Jackson) to the Furm 40Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Furm 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 19 yds to the Furm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Devin Wynn run for 7 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 1 yd to the Furm 39Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Kealand Dirks run for 1 yd to the Furm 40Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Harris Roberts run for no gain to the Furm 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 8 yds to the Furm 32Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 2 yds to the Furm 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
99.9%
Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the Furm 23 NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Peter Daniel) to the Furm 38Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Dakwa Nichols for 9 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the Furm 21Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Carson Wise 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Ryan Deluca run for 5 yds to the Furm 26Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Harris Roberts pass complete to Deon Sanders for 4 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Ryan Deluca run for 5 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Harris Roberts pass complete to Cam Burnette for 12 yds to the Furm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Deon Sanders run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
50
-4
99.9%
A'lencio Graham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Furm 46 A'lencio Graham fumbled, recovered by NCSt James Smith-WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
100.0%
Jalan McClendon run for 9 yds to the Furm 37Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Jalan McClendon run for 4 yds to the Furm 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
100.0%
Will Eason run for 9 yds to the Furm 24Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
100.0%
Will Eason run for 4 yds to the Furm 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
100.0%
Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the Furm 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:10
Nyheim Hines run for 28 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 2:35
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 71 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 0:18
Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com