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UNC

North Carolina 53 at Old Dominion 23

ODU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:55 · Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Proehl at the NCaro 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Home team on offense−54.8Score differential−42.0Pregame prior−2.3Garbage-time factor−21.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−14.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Chazz Surratt run for 10 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +7.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:13: Jordon Brown run for 15 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +6.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:00: Freeman Jones kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Harper return for 100 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +7.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:49: Michael Carter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +9.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:53: Austin Proehl 28 Yd pass from Chazz Surratt (Freeman Jones Kick) — UNC win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:21UNC 4th & 8 at ODU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:19UNC 4th & 11 at UNC 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:03ODU 4th & 8 at UNC 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:56ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:46ODU 4th & 22 at UNC 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:39UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 32, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:59ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:44UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 42, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:46ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 31, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39UNC 4th & 3 at ODU 40, up 29
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:47ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 17, down 29
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00UNC 4th & 17 at UNC 28, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:18ODU 4th & 3 at UNC 31, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:18ODU 4th & 6 at UNC 22, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:16UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 28, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:45UNC 4th & 3 at UNC 31, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:55ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:45UNC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:49UNC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:13UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:00ODU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:49UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:01UNC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:26ODU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:53UNC Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:51ODU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:55UNC Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 4:3976% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-9
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 37 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
23.9%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
23.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+21
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 21 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+29
23.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Carl Tucker for 29 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
23.9%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
25.5%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
25.9%
Freeman Jones 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
25.3%
Jones, F kickoff 65 yards to the ODU0, HARPER, Isaiah return to the ODU21 (Artis, A;Ross, D), PENALTY NC offside defense 5 yards to the NC30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1726% → 26%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
26.0%
Isaiah Harper run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+7
26.0%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 7 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
25.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
25.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:5674% → 76%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
25.9%
Chazz Surratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+34
26.0%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Carl Tucker for 34 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
25.7%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 8 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
25.7%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the ODU 3Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
24.1%
Chazz Surratt run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Miles Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.5%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.5%
Jordan Hoy run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
24.3%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
24.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
24.4%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 10 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
24.1%
Chazz Surratt run for 1 yd to the NCaro 45Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-2
24.2%
Chazz Surratt run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 43Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
24.4%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+4
24.7%
Tom Sheldon punt for 44 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 4 yds to the ODU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
23.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
23.8%
Gemonta Jackson run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
23.6%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
23.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:5976% → 83%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
50
+1
24.1%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+17
24.2%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 17 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
24.0%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+13
24.0%
Surratt, C pass incomplete to Cunningham, J, PENALTY ODU pass interference (BRICKHOUSE, J.) 13 yards to the ODU15, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
24.0%
Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-2
24.0%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
16.6%
Chazz Surratt run for 10 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:4119% → 19%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
19.0%
Brandon Simmons run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
18.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Brandon Simmons for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+50
18.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 50 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
20.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 3 yds to the NCaro 24Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
20.4%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 12 yds to the NCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
20.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
20.4%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Donnie MilesSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-2
20.1%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 10Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+26
19.0%
Nick Rice 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tyler Powell Jordan Cunningham return for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:5085% → 92%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
14.6%
Jordon Brown run for 16 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
14.3%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
14.3%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
14.3%
Chazz Surratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
8.4%
Jordon Brown run for 15 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:0485% → 94%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
15.2%
Michael Carter run for 20 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
14.8%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+48
14.8%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 48 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.8%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
6.6%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Malik Carney and Aaron Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+4
6.5%
Gemonta Jackson run for 4 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
6.6%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Myles Wolfolk return for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:2593% → 94%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
7.2%
Dazz Newsome run for 11 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
7.2%
Chazz Surratt run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+16
7.5%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Carl Tucker for 16 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.1%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
6.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds , Austin Proehl returns for no gain to the NCaro 35 Austin Proehl fumbled, recovered by ODU Justin CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
7.3%
Brandon Sinclair run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 36Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+9
6.7%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
6.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
7.3%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 24Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
6.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by K.J. SailsSimilar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+19
6.7%
Steven Williams run for 19 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
8.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the NCaro 2Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
7.8%
Steven Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 1 Steven Williams fumbled, forced by Myles Dorn, recovered by NCaro J.K. BrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
3.9%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the NCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:085% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
5.3%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
5.1%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY NC pass interference (Sails, K) 15 yards to the ODU41, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
5.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 25 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
6.2%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY NC pass interference (Miles, D) 15 yards to the NC19, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
6.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the NCaro 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-13
6.1%
Steven Williams sacked by M.J. Stewart for a loss of 13 yards to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 22
OPP 31
0
5.7%
Steven Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 22
OPP 31
+48
5.8%
Nick Rice 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
4.6%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Jordon BrownSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
4.7%
Chazz Surratt run for 10 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
4.7%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 6 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-6
4.5%
Chazz Surratt run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 32 Chazz Surratt fumbled, recovered by NCaro Chazz SurrattSimilar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
4.8%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Jordan Cunningham, broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Tom Sheldon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Travis Fulgham for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
4.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
4.7%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Nijee CoxSimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
4.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Proehl at the NCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q3 9:44
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+16
3.7%
Tom Sheldon punt for 46 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 16 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
3.4%
Jordon Brown run for 10 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
3.3%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the NCaro 37Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
3.3%
Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
3.3%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Austin Proehl, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:474% → 5%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
4.4%
Steven Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+71
5.2%
Travis Fulgham 71 Yd pass from Steven Williams (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2696% → 98%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
4.4%
Jordon Brown run for 8 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+10
4.5%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Austin Proehl for 10 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
4.3%
Jordon Brown run for 23 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.1%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Austin Proehl for 10 yds to the ODU 25 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Anthony Ratliff-Williams) to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
4.1%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Mason Veal for 7 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+28
2.1%
Austin Proehl 28 Yd pass from Chazz Surratt (Freeman Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
2.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Pat ToalSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
2.0%
Gemonta Jackson run for 3 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+15
2.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 34 , Austin Proehl returns for 15 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
2.3%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Beau Corrales for 7 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+12
1.9%
Chazz Surratt pass complete to Juval Mollette for 12 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
2.1%
Michael Carter run for 9 yds to the NCaro 38 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 47Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 16
OWN 47
+13
2.2%
Michael Carter run for 13 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
1.8%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Juval MolletteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
1.9%
Chazz Surratt pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
2.2%
Tom Sheldon punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
1.5%
Isaiah Harper run for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 2
OWN 17
0
1.5%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
1.5%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Nijee Cox, broken up by J.K. BrittSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
1.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Austin Proehl at the NCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.1%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 34Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-7
1.1%
Chazz Surratt sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+1
0.8%
Greg Ross run for 1 yd to the NCaro 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
0.9%
Tom Sheldon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
0.8%
WILLIAMS, S. pass incomplete to WARD, Tim, PENALTY NC pass interference (Miles, D) 15 yards to the ODU48, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
0.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+8
0.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.9%
Isaiah Harper run for 2 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Tim WardSimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
0.8%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 5 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+5
0.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Noah Ellison for 5 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
0.9%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 27Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+5
0.9%
Steven Williams pass complete to Marques Little for 5 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
0.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 6
OPP 22
0
0.8%
Steven Williams pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
0.4%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
0.4%
Brandon Harris run for 2 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Juval MolletteSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+17
0.5%
Tom Sheldon punt for 49 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 17 yds to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:070% → 1%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
0.3%
Steven Williams run for 11 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
0.3%
Brandon Sinclair run for 27 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.3%
Brandon Sinclair run for no gain to the NCaro 18Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
1.4%
Steven Williams pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
1.1%
Johnathon Sutton run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
1.1%
Brandon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+4
1.1%
Johnathon Sutton run for 4 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
1.2%
Tom Sheldon punt for 57 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 13 Darrell Brown fumbled, OLDDOMINION Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 31TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3599% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
0.8%
Brandon Harris run for 12 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
0.2%
Steven Williams pass complete to Gemonta Jackson for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
0.2%
Steven Williams run for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 32 Steven Williams fumbled, forced by Allen Cater, recovered by ODU DeAndre WoodsSimilar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Proehl at the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
0.2%
Johnathon Sutton run for 6 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+8
0.2%
Johnathon Sutton run for 8 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-11
0.2%
Johnathon Sutton run for 4 yds to the NCaro 41 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Charlie Heck) to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 21
OWN 26
+6
0.2%
Johnathon Sutton run for 6 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:49
Michael Carter run for 3 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)
-9
TD · Q2 8:00
Freeman Jones kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Harper return for 100 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 14:49
Chazz Surratt run for 10 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com