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FLA

Florida 20 at South Carolina 28

SC
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:08 · Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the SCaro 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Rayshad Jackson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Home team on offense+4.6Pregame prior+8.9Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:08: Mon Denson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +5.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:40: Mon Denson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +9.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:18: Lamical Perine run for 18 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +8.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:08: Jake Bentley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +8.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:43: Mark Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +12.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FLA made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:05SC 4th & 1 at SC 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02FLA 4th & 7 at SC 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:02SC 4th & 15 at SC 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:47FLA 4th & 16 at SC 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:40SC 4th & 1 at FLA 12, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−1.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:40FLA 4th & 7 at SC 35, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00SC 4th & 1 at FLA 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−2.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:19FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 43, down 8
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:34FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 25, down 8
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FLA 4th & 22 at FLA 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−2.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:49SC 4th & 13 at SC 16, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:25FLA 4th & 18 at SC 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:56SC 4th & 2 at FLA 29, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:32SC 4th & 5 at SC 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:19FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:30SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:08SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:40SC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:18FLA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:08SC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:43FLA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.4%
Malik Zaire run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
61.4%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 26 , Chris Lammons returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:5161% → 63%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
61.4%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+27
61.4%
A.J. Turner run for 27 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
61.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 23 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
61.5%
A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+26
61.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 26 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
61.5%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 4Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.0%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.5%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
62.5%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete, broken up by Taylor StallworthSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
62.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Brandon Powell for 11 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
62.4%
Malik Zaire run for 1 yd to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
62.4%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Lamical Perine, broken up by D.J. WonnumSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
62.5%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
62.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 58 yds, downed at the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+24
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted CJ Henderson return for 24 yds to the SCaro 24 CJ Henderson fumbled, forced by Hayden Hurst, recovered by SCaro A.J. Turner , return for 24 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
63.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY UF pass interference (Dawson,D.) 6 yards to the SC30, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
63.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
63.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Cece Jefferson and Khairi Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 7 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
63.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds , Brandon Powell returns for no gain to the Fla 13 Brandon Powell fumbled, recovered by SCaro Javon CharlestonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+46
65.0%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Chauncey Gardner Jr. return for 46 yds to the Fla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
63.4%
Malik Zaire sacked by JaMarcus King for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-5
63.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+10
64.1%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Dre Massey for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 7
50
-1
63.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 8
OWN 49
-5
64.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+7
64.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0665% → 72%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.1%
Bryan Edwards run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
65.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Vosean JosephSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+23
64.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
50
+17
65.9%
A.J. Turner run for 17 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
66.1%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
71.6%
Mon Denson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.5%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
69.8%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
69.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the SCaro 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Rayshad JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:4231% → 32%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
69.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 23 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
68.7%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Dre Massey for 1 yd to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+2
69.1%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Lamical Perine for 2 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
69.6%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
67.7%
Eddy Pineiro 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
68.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 11 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
68.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
68.3%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
68.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 10 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by CJ HendersonSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
69.0%
Jake Bentley sacked by Chauncey Gardner Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-5
68.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 18 yards to the UF40 (Stiner,D.), PENALTY SC ineligible downfield on pass (Alan Knott) 5 yards to the SC37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+5
67.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis Dawkins (Henderson,C.), PENALTY UF offside (Zuniga,J.) 5 yards to the SC42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
68.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by CJ HendersonSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
67.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:5830% → 29%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
70.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+31
70.6%
Mark Thompson run for 31 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
69.0%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+23
69.0%
Malik Zaire run for 23 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
68.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-6
68.0%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
69.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
71.3%
Eddy Pineiro 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0770% → 80%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.8%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
70.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 14 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
71.3%
A.J. Turner run for 13 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
71.4%
Mon Denson run for 7 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Cece Jefferson) to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
71.6%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+3
71.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+8
70.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
80.2%
Mon Denson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2221% → 32%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
79.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 37 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
77.8%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
77.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+1
78.0%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+17
78.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 17 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
76.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
68.5%
Lamical Perine run for 18 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:2674% → 72%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-7
74.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+5
71.7%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.0%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
75.7%
Mon Denson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
76.7%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+11
75.8%
Hayden Hurst run for 11 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.9%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
76.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 9 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
76.2%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
75.2%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
74.3%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
73.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
74.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
75.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18INT
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
76.5%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 13Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
76.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 15 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
76.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 29 yds to the SOCAROLINA 43 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
79.0%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+11
79.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
79.3%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Vosean Joseph return for no gain to the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
77.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mark Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-5
77.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+15
77.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 15 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
77.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+22
78.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 50 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 22 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:3184% → 93%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
83.7%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
83.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre Smith, broken up by Marco WilsonSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+17
82.4%
Jake Bentley run for 17 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
84.2%
A.J. Turner run for 25 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
84.1%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.8%
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:0810% → 8%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Mark Thompson run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
89.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
90.4%
Franks,F. pass incomplete to Powell,B., PENALTY SC pass interference (Chris Lammons) 11 yards to the UF39, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
89.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Freddie Swain for 7 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+12
89.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-12
90.3%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 12 yards to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 46
0
91.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh Hammond, broken up by Chris Lammons FLORIDA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mark Thompson, broken up by JaMarcus King FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chris Lammons at the SCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.4%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-3
93.3%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 16
0
93.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
92.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 34 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.4%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the SCaro 49 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Fla Kavaris HarklessSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
91.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
91.4%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Daniel Fennell for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 18
OPP 46
0
91.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 18
OPP 46
0
92.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
92.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 33 yds, downed at the SCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:3495% → 97%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
94.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 19 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
95.1%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+3
95.4%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.4%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
95.4%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+12
96.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.1%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
96.1%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+1
96.0%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+47
96.8%
Parker White 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:135% → 17%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
95.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+11
95.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 11 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
95.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+63
95.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 63 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.7%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1193% → 95%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
92.9%
A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
93.8%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Duke DawsonSimilar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
94.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
92.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 14 FLORIDA Penalty, intentional grounding (Feleipe Franks) to the Fla 14Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+6
92.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 6 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+12
93.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 12 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
91.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to C'yontai LewisSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Jamyest Williams return for no gain to the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 12
50
-2
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:43
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 3:40
Mon Denson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q3 2:08
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com