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FLA

Florida 16 at Missouri 45

MIZ
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-5MIZ 89.3%Eddy Pineiro 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 28 · Q3 7:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:40 · Eddy Pineiro 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+18.1Score differential+7.3Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:36: Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:39: Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 15 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +7.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:29: Larry Rountree III run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:40: Eddy Pineiro 24 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +5.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:58: Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:50FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15MIZ 4th & 2 at FLA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51FLA 4th & 4 at MIZ 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:32FLA 4th & 1 at MIZ 21, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%−1.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−6.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00FLA 4th & 16 at MIZ 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:40FLA 4th & 7 at MIZ 7, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:33MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 40, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:11FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 34, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:58FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 25, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:08FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 35, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:43MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 25, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:46MIZ 4th & 8 at FLA 25, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:56MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:36MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:39MIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:29MIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:58MIZ Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:08MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:34FLA Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
53.2%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+13
53.2%
Ish Witter run for 13 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
53.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
53.2%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
53.2%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
53.2%
Ish Witter run for 12 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
53.2%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
53.2%
Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. CJ Henderson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
53.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Brandon Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+3
53.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
53.7%
Malik Zaire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+13
53.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 59 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 13 yds to the Misso 33 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
53.8%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+11
53.8%
Drew Lock run for 11 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
53.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
54.1%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
53.8%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
54.3%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
54.3%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
54.3%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
54.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 32 yds , Brandon Powell returns for no gain to the Fla 11 Brandon Powell fumbled, recovered by Misso Anthony SherrilsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3655% → 58%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
55.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds to the Fla 5Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
55.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
58.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 5 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
57.6%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
57.5%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
57.6%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.5%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Brandon Powell, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
57.6%
Adarius Lemons run for 6 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+22
57.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (DeMarkus Acy) to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
56.6%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
56.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
56.8%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
57.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 36 yds, downed at the Misso 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
18 plays · 98 yds · 5:4560% → 72%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
59.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Emanuel Hall) to the Misso 1Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+5
59.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
59.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+4
58.9%
Drew Lock run for 4 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
59.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+15
60.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 15 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
60.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+9
60.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
61.4%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Johnson, Johnat (Henderson,C.), PENALTY MU pass interference (Hall, Emanuel) 15 yards to the MU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+36
60.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 36 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
61.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
61.7%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+18
61.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 8
+4
62.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 4
+2
62.3%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Okwuegbunam, Al (Dawson,D.), PENALTY UF pass interference (Dawson,D.) 2 yards to the UF2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
61.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Fla 2Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:5931% → 34%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+38
68.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Dre Massey for 38 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
67.5%
Malik Zaire run for 6 yds to the MISSOURI 45 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Terry Beckner Jr.) to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
66.6%
Mark Thompson run for 5 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
66.3%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Mark Thompson for 2 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
67.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
66.2%
Eddy Pineiro 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:4769% → 77%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
68.5%
Ish Witter run for 11 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
69.4%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+38
69.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 38 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
70.0%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
77.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 15 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.5%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
76.5%
Malik Zaire pass intercepted Anthony Sherrils return for 1 yd to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:2578% → 89%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
78.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 15 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:2920% → 10%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.2%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
80.0%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 17 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
79.0%
Lamical Perine run for 15 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
77.9%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-10
78.8%
Zaire,M. pass complete to Cleveland,T. for 40 yards to the MU0, clock 02:16, PENALTY UF holding (Ivey,M.) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 19
50
+37
80.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Dre Massey for 37 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
76.8%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 14Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-4
78.2%
Malik Zaire sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 15
OPP 18
-1
79.4%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Lamical Perine for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+36
89.7%
Eddy Pineiro 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:2010% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis, broken up by Terez HallSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Brandon Powell for 18 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
89.8%
Malik Zaire pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 9 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+18
89.2%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Lamical Perine for 18 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
89.3%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
89.1%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+6
89.7%
Malik Zaire pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 6 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
89.0%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+9
89.0%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.0%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
89.0%
Mark Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 6Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 0
OPP 6
-5
93.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Jawaan Taylor) to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
94.3%
Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
89.3%
Eddy Pineiro 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
94.1%
Witter, Ish rush for 2 yards to the MU40 (Reese,D.), PENALTY MU illegal formation 5 yards to the MU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
93.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert Okwuegbunam, broken up by Chauncey Gardner Jr.Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
93.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Duke DawsonSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+7
93.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 7 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+16
93.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 16 yds to the Fla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:159% → 6%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.0%
Malik Zaire run for 5 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
90.7%
Adarius Lemons run for 3 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-1
94.4%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
94.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:3095% → 99%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
95.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+13
95.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Brown, Nate, PENALTY UF pass interference (Henderson,C.) 13 yards to the MU32, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
95.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+13
95.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+49
95.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 49 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Adarius Lemons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
99.6%
Massey,D. rush for 4 yards to the UF33 (Acy, DeMarkus;Palmore, Walter), PENALTY UF holding (Goolsby,D.) 10 yards to the UF19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
99.6%
Malik Zaire run for 6 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:4499% → 100%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.3%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
99.3%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+8
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 12 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 3 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Duke Dawson) to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.4%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
99.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (Cece Jefferson) to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.4%
Ish Witter run for 8 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+2
99.4%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.4%
Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
99.9%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Lamical Perine for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Josh Hammond FLORIDA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 51 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 6 yds to the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Micah Wilson pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+31
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 31 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 9 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 15 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 16 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+13
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 13 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 1 yd to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
100.0%
Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
Franks,F. pass incomplete to Hammond,J., PENALTY UF holding (Taylor,Ja.) 10 yards to the UF15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Adarius Lemons for 7 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+16
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 16 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 4 yds to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:29
Larry Rountree III run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 10:36
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 5:39
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 15 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com