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UGA

Georgia 42 at Florida 7

FLA
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:37 · Johnny Townsend punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense−50.2Pregame prior−9.8Score differential−38.0Garbage-time factor−18.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:12: Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:32: Sony Michel run for 74 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:53: Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 25 — UGA win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Sony Michel run for 45 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q3 5:21: Feleipe Franks sacked by J.R. Reed for a loss of 20 yards Feleipe Franks fumbled, forced by J.R. Reed, recovered by Geo J.R. Reed , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:36FLA 4th & 19 at FLA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:40FLA 4th & 10 at UGA 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12UGA 4th & 9 at FLA 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:38FLA 4th & 2 at UGA 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:29UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01FLA 4th & 16 at FLA 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:03FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:35FLA 4th & 30 at FLA 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:37FLA 4th & 15 at FLA 6, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:45UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 18, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:34UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:12UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:32UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:43UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:22UGA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:42FLA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:2417% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
16.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
16.5%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
16.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Moral StephensSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-6
16.9%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 16Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+15
17.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 52 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 15 yds to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:5683% → 83%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
17.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
17.5%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+39
17.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 39 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.1%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4818% → 18%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.5%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
17.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
17.5%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 13 yds to the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:1283% → 83%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
17.3%
Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
17.5%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+17
16.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1417% → 17%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
16.7%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
16.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 47 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
14.2%
Sony Michel run for 74 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 5:3414% → 13%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
14.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 8 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-1
14.4%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+8
14.2%
Malik Davis run for 8 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
14.2%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
14.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
14.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-1
13.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+6
13.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 6 yds to the Geo 49 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
13.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
13.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1987% → 87%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
12.9%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
12.9%
Nick Chubb run for 22 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
12.4%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+5
12.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
12.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
12.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-5
12.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
12.6%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon Powell at the Fla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9DOWNS
17 plays · 82 yds · 7:2612% → 12%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
12.1%
Lamical Perine run for 7 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+5
12.2%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
12.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 21Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+9
11.9%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+6
11.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mark Thompson for 6 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
12.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 15 yds to the FLORIDA 49 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+6
12.1%
Mark Thompson run for 6 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
12.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
12.0%
Mark Thompson run for 5 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+7
11.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Dre Massey for 7 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
12.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+29
11.9%
Lamical Perine run for 29 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
12.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+11
11.8%
Lamical Perine run for 11 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
12.4%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
12.1%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
11.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Moral StephensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:0089% → 90%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
11.5%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+2
11.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
11.1%
Sony Michel run for 18 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
10.6%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
10.1%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
10.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
10.4%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1410% → 9%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
10.1%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+5
10.2%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
10.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
9.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Moral StephensSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-8
9.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Tyler Clark and Walter Grant for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
9.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1892% → 93%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
7.6%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
7.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2493% → 92%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.5%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
7.3%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.7%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Duke Dawson return for 2 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:4210% → 8%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
9.8%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+2
10.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
9.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+4
9.7%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
9.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
9.7%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-5
9.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+4
8.6%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 4
OPP 24
0
7.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to DeAndre GoolsbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:1095% → 98%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
5.0%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+13
4.7%
Jake Fromm run for 13 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
4.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+18
4.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 18 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
2.1%
Sony Michel run for 45 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:033% → 1%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
3.4%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+5
3.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 5 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+3
1.1%
Feleipe Franks sacked by J.R. Reed for a loss of 20 yards Feleipe Franks fumbled, forced by J.R. Reed, recovered by Geo J.R. Reed , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:251% → 1%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
1.0%
Mark Thompson run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
50
0
1.1%
Mark Thompson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
50
+1
1.0%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-10
1.0%
Perine, Lamical rush for 7 yards to the GEORGIA42, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 19
OWN 41
-11
0.8%
Feleipe Franks sacked by D'Andre Walker and Julian Rochester for a loss of 11 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 30
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2999% → 99%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
0.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 22Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
0.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
0.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+11
0.6%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 53 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 11 yds to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -25 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-20
0.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (McArthur Burnett) to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
0.4%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 15
OWN 6
0
0.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 15
OWN 6
0
0.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 15
OWN 6
0
0.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+27
0.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 27 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
0.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-5
0.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Holyfield, Elijah rush for 1 yard to the FLORIDA43, PENALTY FLORIDA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the FLORIDA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+39
0.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 39 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Adarius Lemons run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
0.2%
Johnny Townsend punt for 55 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for 6 yds to the Geo 22, GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
0.3%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-2
0.3%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+5
0.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
0.3%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brandon Powell at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
0.2%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Freddie Swain for 17 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
0.2%
Malik Zaire run for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Moral StephensSimilar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
0.1%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Dre Massey for 8 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
0.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-5
0.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+27
0.1%
Malik Zaire run for 27 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
0.2%
Adarius Lemons run for 11 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
0.1%
Adarius Lemons run for 3 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+11
0.1%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Mark Thompson for 11 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
0.1%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:32
Sony Michel run for 74 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-2.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:53
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 25
-2.7
TD · Q3 6:43
Sony Michel run for 45 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com