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TENN

Tennessee 20 at Florida 26

FLA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:57 · Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:23: Quinten Dormady pass intercepted for a TD CJ Henderson return for 16 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +17.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:36: John Kelly run for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +25.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 4:43: Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 28 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +32.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 0:50: Aaron Medley 27 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +23.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 63 yds for a TD — FLA win probability +37.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:39FLA 4th & 5 at TENN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:46FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:40TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:57TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:11FLA 4th & 7 at TENN 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:58TENN 4th & 10 at FLA 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:55TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13TENN 4th & 18 at FLA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:34FLA 4th & 4 at midfield, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:57TENN 4th & 5 at FLA 26, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−5.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:50TENN 4th & 9 at FLA 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−12.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−31.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q4 14:23FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:36TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:13FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:43TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FG
18 plays · 65 yds · 7:1672% → 71%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
71.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
71.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.6%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+22
71.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 22 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
71.6%
Mark Thompson run for 7 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
71.7%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+8
71.5%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
71.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
71.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
71.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 15
OPP 20
-5
71.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Martez Ivey) to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+10
71.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 10 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
71.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
71.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
71.3%
Eddy Pineiro 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:2329% → 30%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.2%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
71.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Smith for 10 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
70.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 10 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
70.2%
John Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+20
70.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 20 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
69.6%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
70.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+4
70.3%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted David Reese return for 4 yds to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1471% → 70%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
71.1%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
70.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
70.4%
Johnny Townsend punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5029% → 29%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
70.8%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
70.7%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
70.7%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+7
71.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 48 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:3771% → 70%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
70.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 4 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
71.0%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
71.1%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
71.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Dre MasseySimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
71.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-9
70.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Colton Jumper for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
69.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5430% → 28%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
70.5%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
70.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
71.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
71.6%
Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:3671% → 75%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
71.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 19 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
71.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+5
71.0%
Kadarius Toney run for 5 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
71.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Moral Stephens for 10 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
72.3%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-15
72.5%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 15 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 23
OPP 40
+16
70.3%
Malik Davis run for 16 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
75.3%
Eddy Pineiro 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:5626% → 30%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
74.0%
Quinten Dormady run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
74.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Palmer for 11 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.6%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
73.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ty Chandler for 15 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
72.6%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
72.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 1 yd to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
72.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jabari Zuniga) to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
72.7%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
71.6%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
73.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
69.8%
Brent Cimaglia 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1270% → 69%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
70.0%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the Fla 18Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
69.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mark Thompson for 4 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+8
68.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 8 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
69.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 7 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
70.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:1331% → 33%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
69.2%
John Kelly run for 38 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
67.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 2 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
66.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 5 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+47
67.5%
Brent Cimaglia 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0031% → 31%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
67.9%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
68.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+7
69.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 7 yds to the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
69.6%
Lamical Perine run for 28 yds to the Fla 49 Lamical Perine fumbled, forced by Nigel Warrior, recovered by Tenn Darrell TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13INT
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:1935% → 36%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
65.1%
John Kelly run for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
65.0%
John Kelly run for 12 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
63.4%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
63.3%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 3 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+7
64.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 7 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
63.1%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-10
63.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jashon Robertson) to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 19
OPP 23
0
64.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 18
OPP 23
+22
66.2%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 22 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
62.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jack Jones) to the Fla 5Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
62.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 6Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
63.8%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted Duke Dawson return for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1069% → 67%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
69.0%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 3Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
68.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 6Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
67.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+29
66.7%
Johnny Townsend punt for 59 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 29 yds to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:2437% → 30%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
63.5%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
61.7%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
61.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
62.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 8 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-10
63.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-6
64.9%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Jabari Zuniga and Kyree Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 18
OPP 33
+51
70.3%
Brent Cimaglia 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:3069% → 69%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
69.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
71.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+3
71.2%
Mark Thompson run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+2
70.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 4
50
0
69.2%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4531% → 13%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
69.3%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
69.6%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+16
87.2%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted for a TD CJ Henderson return for 16 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1314% → 15%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.9%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
84.2%
Quinten Dormady run for 8 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
84.0%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 29 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
81.8%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
81.5%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
83.1%
Quinten Dormady run for no gain to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
85.3%
Aaron Medley 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
87.3%
Malik Davis run for 74 yds Malik Davis fumbled, recovered by TennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0413% → 39%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
86.7%
John Kelly run for 18 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
87.4%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+16
87.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ty Chandler for 16 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
86.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+34
60.9%
John Kelly run for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5877% → 93%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
76.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
76.9%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+9
76.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 9 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
78.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
78.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 13 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
79.0%
Mark Thompson run for 12 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:308% → 40%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Brett Kendrick) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+52
92.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 52 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
59.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 28 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3478% → 79%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
77.7%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
78.6%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Rashaan Gaulden return for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:5938% → 52%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
62.4%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
59.5%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
61.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Austin Pope for 10 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
64.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Taven Bryan) to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 5
OPP 12
-5
63.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jack Jones) to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
64.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jack Jones) to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+13
68.8%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Jachai Polite) to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
71.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
47.8%
Aaron Medley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4359% → 96%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
59.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 6 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
59.8%
Mark Thompson run for 3 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
95.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 63 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 63 yds for a TD
+37.4
TD · Q4 4:43
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 28 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-32.5
TD · Q4 8:36
John Kelly run for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-25.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com