Try the model
EMU

Eastern Michigan 20 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2016 · Popeyes Bahamas Bowl · Dec 23, 2016 · Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:25 · Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:04: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 9:50: David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 31 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +11.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:25: Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +16.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 12:56: David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +21.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:08: Paul Fricano 19 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +12.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:55ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43ODU 4th & 7 at EMU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49ODU 4th & 6 at EMU 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:01EMU 4th & 7 at ODU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:12EMU 4th & 3 at ODU 46, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03ODU 4th & 12 at EMU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:23ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−4.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:12EMU 4th & 7 at ODU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−12.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:08EMU 4th & 2 at ODU 2, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−18.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:01ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:21EMU 4th & 8 at ODU 48, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:59ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:04EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:50ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:25EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:56ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 7:0266% → 66%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.2%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
66.2%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
66.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
66.2%
Zach Pascal run for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
66.3%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
66.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+3
66.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+7
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
66.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+9
66.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
66.4%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-1
66.2%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
66.4%
Brad Davis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:1534% → 34%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
66.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+11
66.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 11 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
65.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
65.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
65.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-1
66.0%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2767% → 66%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
66.9%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-1
66.9%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
66.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, downed at the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:4034% → 34%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
66.5%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
66.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+9
67.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 9 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
66.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
66.2%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+20
66.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 20 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
65.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
65.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 11 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
64.7%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
50
0
64.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 9
50
+2
65.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
66.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0566% → 66%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
66.3%
Zach Pascal run for 10 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.5%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+27
66.2%
David Washington pass intercepted Vince Calhoun return for 27 yds to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:1335% → 36%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
65.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
50
-4
64.8%
Isaac Holder run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-5
65.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+5
66.4%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete, PENALTY OLDDOMNION offside (Addison, Brandon) 5 yards to the EASTMICH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+29
65.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 29 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.0%
Blake Banham run for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
64.0%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
64.6%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
63.8%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted, touchback. Denzel Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0166% → 76%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
66.3%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
66.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+14
66.0%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
67.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
68.1%
David Washington run for 7 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
75.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 47 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:3326% → 25%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
74.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
74.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 6 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
74.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 6 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
74.3%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
73.6%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
73.7%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
73.9%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
73.6%
Eddie Daugherty run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-2
74.0%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
75.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:5777% → 77%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+35
76.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 35 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
78.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
78.7%
Washington, David pass incomplete to Duhart, Jonathan, PENALTY EASTMICH offside (Williams, Ross) 5 yards to the EASTMICH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-1
79.0%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-8
78.9%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
77.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 66 yds · 0:5423% → 26%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
77.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 7 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+15
77.0%
Roback, Brogan pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the EASTMICH14 (Ximines, Oshane), PENALTY OLDDOMNION face mask (Ximines, Oshane) 15 yards to the EASTMICH32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+8
77.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
76.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 14 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
75.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 16 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 2:5124% → 38%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
75.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+22
76.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 22 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
74.5%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
76.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+24
77.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 24 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
74.4%
Blake Banham run for 6 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+15
74.5%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete to Bailey II, Sergio, PENALTY OLDDOMNION pass interference (Brickhouse, Jamez) 15 yards to the OLDDOMNION8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
74.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4567% → 81%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
66.9%
Ray Lawry run for 23 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.6%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
69.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
69.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+31
81.4%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 31 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:1021% → 40%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
78.9%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
78.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+16
79.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
77.9%
Breck Turner run for 30 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
76.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 11 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
76.0%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
60.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3767% → 65%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.4%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Pat O'ConnorSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
67.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
67.0%
David Washington sacked by Pat O'Connor and Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
65.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds , Blake Banham returns for no gain to the EMich 27 Blake Banham fumbled, recovered by EMich Blake BanhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:0735% → 46%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
65.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac HolderSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
65.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+12
66.2%
Brogan Roback run for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
62.8%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
63.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac HolderSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+12
66.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
62.5%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete to Bailey II, Sergio (Thompson, Rob), PENALTY OLDDOMNION pass interference (Thompson, Rob) 15 yards to the OLDDOMNION29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
60.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+10
61.0%
Brogan Roback run for 10 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
60.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
60.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 10 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
60.2%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
60.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
61.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
54.4%
Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:0960% → 87%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
60.2%
Zach Pascal run for 9 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
63.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+9
61.8%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
63.7%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 32 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
66.0%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+9
66.0%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.2%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:2720% → 35%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
80.5%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+38
80.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 38 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
77.5%
Blake Banham run for 23 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
75.4%
Blake Banham run for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
75.4%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
77.4%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
75.5%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.3%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
65.1%
Paul Fricano 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5273% → 76%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
73.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
72.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:3928% → 19%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
72.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
72.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
77.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+15
79.4%
Barnes, Austin punt 57 yards to the OLDDOMNION8, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OLDDOMNION illegal block 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
50
0
73.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
50
0
75.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 10
50
+2
77.4%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
80.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:4384% → 95%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
84.1%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
86.1%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+15
87.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.1%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
89.8%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 14 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
91.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
94.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
94.4%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:56
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q3 7:25
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-16
TD · Q3 12:04
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com