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GAST

Georgia State 12 at Idaho 37

IDHO
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:46 · Brandon Wright 25 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense+7.7Pregame prior+10.1Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:37: Ari Werts 11 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright PAT failed) — GAST win probability +5.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:46: Deon Watson 17 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +4.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:18: Austin Rehkow 28 Yd Field Goal — IDHO win probability +4.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:52: Austin Rehkow 23 Yd Field Goal — IDHO win probability +3.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:16: Lloyd Hightower 25 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +8.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:15IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:18IDHO 4th & 3 at GAST 11, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−5.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:46GAST 4th & 8 at IDHO 8, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:46GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 32, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:05IDHO 4th & 2 at GAST 27, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:52IDHO 4th & 6 at GAST 6, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−6.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:16GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:16GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:48IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 28, up 22
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:33IDHO 4th & 6 at GAST 28, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:26GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:45IDHO 4th & 15 at GAST 42, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:42IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:27IDHO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:37GAST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:46IDHO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:16IDHO Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:3970% → 69%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
69.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 9 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+6
69.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
69.5%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Frysinger, J for 19 yards to the GSU44 (Everett, Andrew), PENALTY IDAHO illegal formation 5 yards to the IDAHO32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+15
69.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 15 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
69.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
69.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 7
50
-3
69.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tevin Jones and Carnell Hopson for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
69.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
68.9%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
68.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 2 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+32
69.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 17 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Tueni Lupeamanu) to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
68.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
68.4%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
68.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
68.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+53
68.6%
Conner Manning run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 14 Conner Manning fumbled, recovered by Idaho Kaden Elliss , return for 53 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:5069% → 71%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
69.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
71.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:4429% → 32%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
70.7%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
70.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+5
70.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+12
71.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 12 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
70.5%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+63
68.0%
Jawan Nobles 63 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Rogier Ten Lohuis PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
68.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cedric Stone for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
68.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
68.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
68.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 36 yds , Cedric Stone returns for no gain to the GeoSt 37 Cedric Stone fumbled, recovered by Idaho Jacob SannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:2670% → 73%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
69.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
69.9%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+15
69.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Sannon, Jacob, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Stone, Cedric) 15 yards to the GSU20, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
70.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
70.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Jerome SmithSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+13
69.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
70.1%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.1%
Trent Cowan 4 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5027% → 35%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
72.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
71.9%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
71.6%
Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
71.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
71.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
71.8%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+20
72.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 20 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
70.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jawan Nobles for 3 yds to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tony Lashley) to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
65.1%
Ari Werts 11 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:4268% → 75%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
68.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 13 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
68.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
50
+4
69.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
69.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+24
69.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 24 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
69.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
74.8%
Deon Watson 17 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.5%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
73.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
74.4%
Conner Manning pass intercepted D.J. Hampton return for no gain to the GeoSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3076% → 80%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
76.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
76.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
75.7%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
76.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 7 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
76.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
75.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Aaron DuckworthSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
79.9%
Austin Rehkow 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:3220% → 21%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.0%
Conner Manning run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
78.9%
Kyler Neal run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
79.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 17 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
78.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 19 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
77.3%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+12
77.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jawan Nobles for 4 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, roughing passer (8 Yards) to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
77.3%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
77.3%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 9Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
78.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 6 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
78.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 8Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
79.3%
Brandon Wright 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:3580% → 83%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
80.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+13
80.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 13 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
83.2%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:0619% → 17%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
81.0%
Conner Manning run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
81.0%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+7
82.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
82.6%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
82.5%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
82.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+35
83.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 43 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 35 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4086% → 86%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
86.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal participation (Tra Barnett) to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
86.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+1
85.8%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+44
86.0%
Austin Rehkow 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
84.2%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+7
84.1%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Jayshawn Jordan return for 7 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3487% → 90%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
87.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 6 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
87.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+16
86.7%
Matt Linehan run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
87.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
87.2%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
85.8%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
89.7%
Austin Rehkow 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2812% → 3%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.5%
Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
89.1%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
88.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+25
96.7%
Lloyd Hightower 25 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
96.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Jawan Nobles for 6 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.4%
Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
96.4%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.7%
Conner Manning run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+5
96.5%
Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 5 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-1
98.5%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+1
98.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 1 yd to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
98.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Lloyd Hightower return for no gain to the Idaho 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 7:2799% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
99.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 10 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.1%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
99.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
99.1%
Mason Petrino run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
99.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
99.7%
Austin Rehkow 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 5 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+26
99.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 26 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.2%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Kaden Elliss return for 11 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Mason Petrino run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
99.8%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 14
OPP 41
-1
99.8%
Doug Coman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 15
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 12 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.5%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
99.5%
Aaron Winchester run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:16
Lloyd Hightower 25 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+8.2
TD · Q2 12:37
Ari Werts 11 Yd pass from Conner Manning (Brandon Wright PAT failed)
-5.6
TD · Q2 8:46
Deon Watson 17 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com