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GASO

Georgia Southern 24 at Georgia State 30

GAST
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Georgia Dome
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:34 · Brandon Wright punt for 48 yds , Montay Crockett returns for 36 yds to the GeoSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−9.2Home team on offense+5.9Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score differential+1.0Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:55: Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 28 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK) — GAST win probability +5.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:57: Matt Breida run for 3 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +6.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 70%).
  3. TD · Q3 7:59: Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +15.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:00: Brandon Wright 27 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +9.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:42: L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +15.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:10GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 19, down 13
    Close callPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:40GAST 4th & 12 at GAST 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:58GAST 4th & 7 at GASO 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:57GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:26GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:34GAST 4th & 25 at GAST 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:37GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:59GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.0%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:00GAST 4th & 7 at GASO 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 8 at GAST 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:35GAST 4th & 3 at GASO 39, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−2.0
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:31GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:14GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:06GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:10GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:55GAST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:40GASO Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:57GASO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:59GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:42GASO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5433% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
32.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 23 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
32.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
32.6%
Darius Stubbs run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
32.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-3
32.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
32.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by William Bussey Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+5
32.6%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Neal, Kyler for loss of 1 yard to the GS35 (M. Brinson), PENALTY GS offside defense (S. Freeman) 5 yards to the GS29, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
35.2%
Glenn Smith run for 29 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
34.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
34.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26 Matt Breida fumbled, forced by Shawanye Lawrence, recovered by GeoSt Shawanye LawrenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:5936% → 39%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
36.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
36.0%
Glenn Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+26
35.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 26 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.6%
Conner Manning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
37.6%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
37.7%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
37.6%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
37.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:5642% → 48%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
41.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+36
41.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 36 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
42.2%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
47.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 28 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:1553% → 55%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
47.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
47.1%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
47.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
47.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
47.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+35
47.0%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Montay Crockett for 35 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
44.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 24 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.2%
Darius Stubbs run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
47.2%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Stubbs, Darius, PENALTY GSU face mask (Simonsen, Tyler) 13 yards to the GSU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+6
47.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+4
46.7%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+34
46.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 38 yds , Montay Crockett returns for 34 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:2954% → 60%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
46.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+15
46.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
46.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.0%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:5944% → 47%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.5%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Nobles, Jawan for no gain to the GSU25 (T. Griffin), PENALTY GS offside defense (D. Sapp) 5 yards to the GSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+44
44.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 44 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
44.9%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
44.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
47.2%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
46.5%
Rogier Ten Lohuis 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null N/A return for 12 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
45.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
45.6%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-6
46.0%
Favian Upshaw sacked by Jerome Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
47.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
49.5%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
49.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
48.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by Joshua MoonSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
47.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
47.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+7
47.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
47.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
47.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-7
47.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
49.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
53.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 2
50
+7
54.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 7 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.8%
Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-10
54.7%
Manning, Conner pass complete to Smith, Glenn for 18 yards to the GS25 (J. Liptrot), PENALTY GSU holding (Ivory, Michael) 10 yards to the GSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
53.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 20
OWN 47
0
52.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 20
OWN 47
+1
51.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds , Quan Howard returns for 1 yd to the GeoSo 48 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
54.3%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-8
54.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 20 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Northrup) to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+12
54.4%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Montay Crockett for 12 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+7
54.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Ross Alexander for 7 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
53.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
53.6%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
54.7%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
55.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:4357% → 55%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
57.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 12 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith RuckerSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-13
58.1%
Conner Manning sacked by Zack Copeland for a loss of 13 yards to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 23
OWN 31
-2
54.8%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 25
OWN 29
+36
55.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 48 yds , Montay Crockett returns for 36 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FG
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:3448% → 52%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
52.2%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
52.6%
Seth Shuman run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+43
47.7%
Younghoe Koo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2351% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
46.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
46.4%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
47.0%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
46.7%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
49.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:2551% → 71%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
51.0%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+11
50.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 11 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
51.1%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+14
51.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 14 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
54.5%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+21
54.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 21 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
55.3%
Kyler Neal run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
55.3%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
55.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
70.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0031% → 34%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
69.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
69.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
68.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
69.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
69.3%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
69.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
67.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 9 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+7
66.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
66.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Alonzo McGee , return for 10 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:1577% → 88%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
77.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith RuckerSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
76.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+8
78.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 8 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
79.4%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan Nobles for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, targeting (Jay Bowdry) to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
79.5%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
79.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
78.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Jawan NoblesSimilar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
87.9%
Brandon Wright 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:0014% → 14%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
86.5%
Matt Breida run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+20
85.1%
Matt Breida run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
84.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
85.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-6
85.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
91.9%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+1
91.9%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+25
91.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 25 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
92.8%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Davis, Robert, PENALTY GS holding (C. Matthew) 10 yards to the GS46, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
92.8%
Neal, Kyler rush for no gain to the GS46 (J. Moon), PENALTY GSU holding (Rucker, Keith) 10 yards to the GSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+8
92.6%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 8 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+9
92.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 9 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
92.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
91.7%
Oliver Holdensen punt for 26 yds, downed at the GeoSo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
17 plays · 87 yds · 5:257% → 24%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
93.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
93.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+5
93.1%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Myles Campbell for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
93.0%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 12 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
92.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Montay Crockett) to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 16
OWN 29
+12
93.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
92.3%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Hampton McConnell for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
92.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (John Freeman) to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+5
93.0%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Montay Crockett for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
92.2%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Bryan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+34
92.4%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Quan Howard for 19 yds to the GEORGIAST 33 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, targeting (Michael Shaw) to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
90.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Myles Campbell for 4 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+8
90.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Montay Crockett for 8 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
90.8%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Myles Campbell for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.6%
F. Upshaw rush for no gain to the GSU2 (Payne, Trey), PENALTY GSU offside defense (Traylor, James) 1 yards to the GSU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:1187% → 94%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.3%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
87.6%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
87.1%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
87.5%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
88.1%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
94.5%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-3
94.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 49 yds , Montay Crockett returns for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 35 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (6 Yards) to the GeoSo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
91.0%
F. Upshaw pass complete to L. Ramsby for 7 yards to the GS11 (Williams, Bryan), PENALTY GS ineligible downfield on pass 2 yards to the GS2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 12
OWN 2
0
91.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Cedric StoneSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+15
91.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Quan HowardSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
90.4%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
90.9%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
91.1%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Keigan WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:42
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q3 7:59
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
+15.5
FG · Q3 1:00
Brandon Wright 27 yd FG GOOD
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com