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GAST

Georgia State 10 at South Alabama 13

USA
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:25 · Rogier Ten Lohuis 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+9.2Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:34: Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — GAST win probability +21.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:11: Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +24.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:44: Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera — USA win probability +12.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:02: Gavin Patterson 30 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +34.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02: Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Gerald Everett — GAST win probability +17.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 10GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:05GAST 4th & 4 at USA 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05USA 4th & 2 at USA 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48USA 4th & 8 at GAST 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    60.0%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:26GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56USA 4th & 15 at GAST 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:25GAST 4th & 7 at USA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:25USA 4th & 7 at USA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:23GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:50USA 4th & 8 at GAST 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:09GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 43, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:50USA 4th & 5 at GAST 22, tied
    Close callWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00GAST 4th & 21 at USA 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:03USA 4th & 11 at GAST 25, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−11.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:11GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−11.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:13USA 4th & 4 at GAST 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−8.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−4.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:51GAST 4th & 24 at GAST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−31.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:02USA 4th & 4 at GAST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−14.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−30.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 2:34GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:11USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:5536% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
63.7%
Darius Stubbs run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
63.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Ari Werts for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+25
63.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 25 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
63.7%
Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
63.7%
Aaron Winchester run for 20 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
63.7%
Kendrick Dorn run for 1 yd to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
63.7%
Jaquez Parks run for 6 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-1
63.7%
Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
62.9%
Rogier Ten Lohuis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
63.0%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
63.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
62.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
62.8%
Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds , Cedric Stone returns for no gain to the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
62.7%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Todd Boyd for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
62.8%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 13
OWN 10
-5
63.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (Aaron Winchester) to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 18
OWN 5
+5
63.0%
Aaron Winchester run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
63.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.3%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
63.2%
Dallas Davis run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
63.1%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
62.6%
Grant Powell pass intercepted B.J. Clay return for no gain to the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
62.2%
Demarcus Kirk run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+1
62.0%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-5
62.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
62.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 23 yds, downed at the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3063% → 62%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
62.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
63.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+18
62.6%
Dallas Davis run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
63.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-2
63.1%
Dallas Davis sacked by Alonzo McGee for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-6
61.5%
Dallas Davis sacked by Chase Middleton for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
62.1%
Gavin Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:3139% → 40%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
61.5%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
61.6%
Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+8
61.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 8 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.0%
Kendrick Dorn run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
60.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
61.5%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Ari Werts for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+18
60.3%
Aaron Winchester run for 18 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
59.8%
Demarcus Kirk run for 11 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
59.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
60.0%
Aaron Winchester pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
59.9%
Rogier Ten Lohuis 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
62.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 7 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
63.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
63.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
63.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Dami AyoolaSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
62.3%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
60.3%
Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
60.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+3
61.0%
Aaron Winchester run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+8
61.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 47 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 8 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.4%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
62.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 12 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
64.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
62.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Chase MiddletonSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+5
61.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
61.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
58.2%
Aaron Winchester run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
57.7%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-3
57.1%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
59.2%
Aaron Winchester run for no gain to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
60.1%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 1:4261% → 63%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
61.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 23 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
64.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+5
64.2%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.0%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
64.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 11 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
65.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jordan McCray, broken up by B.J. ClaySimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
64.9%
Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-10
63.5%
Johnson, Xavier rush for 2 yards to the GSU13 (Allen, M.), PENALTY USA holding (Esposito, Dmnc) 10 yards to the GSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+42
62.6%
Gavin Patterson 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
61.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+9
60.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
61.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+11
61.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 11 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
61.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
63.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
63.3%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
61.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
57.4%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Todd Boyd for 4 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
57.2%
Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27 Demarcus Kirk fumbled, forced by Tyree Turner, recovered by SAlab Randy AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
65.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
65.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-2
63.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 5
OPP 22
-7
61.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Brandon McKeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:0243% → 70%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
56.6%
Aaron Winchester run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
54.3%
Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
54.1%
Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+7
54.9%
Aaron Winchester run for 7 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
53.1%
Kendrick Dorn run for 5 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
52.6%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 22 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kendrick Dorn) to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
53.1%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tra Barnett for 9 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
51.4%
Aaron Winchester run for 5 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
51.4%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+20
51.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Robert Davis for 20 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.2%
Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0038% → 41%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
37.8%
Dallas Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
38.6%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
37.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 6 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
38.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 1 yd to the SAlab 36Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
38.7%
Davis, Dallas pass incomplete to Francis, Mseiah (Baker, Bobby), PENALTY GSU pass interference (Baker, Bobby) 7 yards to the USA43, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
40.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 10 yds Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Bryan Williams, recovered by GeoSt Bobby BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 67%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
29.1%
Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
28.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Keith Rucker for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
50
+14
28.9%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Keith Rucker for 14 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
28.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-5
27.8%
Winchester, A. pass complete to Rucker, Keith for 16 yards to the USA19 (Earl, Devon), PENALTY GSU ineligible downfield on pass (Mobley, Gabe) 5 yards to the USA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+2
29.0%
Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-9
29.3%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Darrell Songy for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
32.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 4:5230% → 63%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
30.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 15 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
30.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 9 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
33.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
31.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
34.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
36.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
38.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
38.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dallas DavisSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
38.3%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Dami AyoolaSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
35.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+14
30.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 14 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
38.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+6
38.4%
Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
63.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0049% → 44%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.5%
Kendrick Dorn run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
50.1%
Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-13
51.6%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 13 yards to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+6
56.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 6 yds to the SAlab 24 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SAlab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
59.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
59.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 11 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
62.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
63.6%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
61.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
59.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:3749% → 48%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
51.3%
Kendrick Dorn run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.7%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Quinton DentSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-3
49.0%
Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-11
51.5%
Aaron Winchester sacked by Finess Middleton for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 24
OWN 13
0
51.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:4264% → 94%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
63.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
63.7%
Dami Ayoola run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
63.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-5
63.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Sean Brown) to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+7
63.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
61.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
94.3%
Gavin Patterson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
77.5%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Gerald EverettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:02
Gavin Patterson 30 yd FG GOOD
+34.8
TD · Q4 6:11
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+24.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+22.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com