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GAST

Georgia State 3 at App State 17

APP
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:31 · Conner Manning pass intercepted Brandon Pinckney return for no gain to the AppSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Brandon Wright kickoff for 38 yds — GAST win probability +4.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:32: Jalin Moore run for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +7.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:14: Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32 — APP win probability +5.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:21: Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 03:21 — APP win probability +3.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:16: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 12:26APP 4th & 4 at GAST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:02APP 4th & 8 at APP 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20GAST 4th & 1 at APP 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:07APP 4th & 8 at APP 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32GAST 4th & 9 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:11APP 4th & 15 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:11GAST 4th & 7 at APP 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:32GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:46APP 4th & 2 at APP 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:59GAST 4th & 11 at APP 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:21APP 4th & 9 at GAST 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−4.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55APP 4th & 18 at GAST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−7.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:09APP 4th & 3 at APP 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:18GAST 4th & 4 at APP 26, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:40APP 4th & 4 at APP 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:31GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 13:32APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:16APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.3%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
92.3%
Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
92.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
92.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
92.3%
Kyler Neal run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
92.3%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for 7 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
91.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
91.7%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
91.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
91.7%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
91.2%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+7
91.2%
Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 7 yds to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
91.2%
Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+7
91.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
90.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Darrynton Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+2
90.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+7
90.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 7 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
90.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:4510% → 11%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
90.0%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 5 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+12
89.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 12 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.9%
Glenn Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-4
89.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
90.0%
Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Rucker, Keith (Flory, Anthony), PENALTY APP pass interference (Gray, Alex) 7 yards to the GSU42, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
89.7%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
89.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 8 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
88.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
88.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
89.2%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, S., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Smith, Jerome) 15 yards to the APP35, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.3%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
89.3%
Taylor Lamb run for 12 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
89.5%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+4
89.2%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 45 yds, downed at the GeoSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:1812% → 13%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
88.1%
Kyler Neal run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+4
87.9%
Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
87.9%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
87.4%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 8 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
87.3%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
87.0%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
86.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+5
87.3%
Darius Stubbs run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
87.0%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Darius StubbsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
87.3%
Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
87.1%
Brandon Wright punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
86.9%
Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
87.0%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
87.0%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+8
87.4%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
87.6%
Lamb, Taylor pass complete to Meadors, S. for 11 yards to the GSU42 (McGee, Alonzo), PENALTY APP holding (Nunn, Beau) 10 yards to the APP37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
87.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Michael Shaw return for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
83.8%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
84.0%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 9
50
0
84.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 9
50
0
85.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10MISSED FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:2586% → 82%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
85.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+4
85.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
85.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
85.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 21 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+10
85.2%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Adams, Mock, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Sullivan, C.) 10 yards to the APP45, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
86.5%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
86.8%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+15
86.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 15 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
87.1%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
87.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil CapelSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-9
84.9%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Jerome Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+52
82.1%
Michael Rubino 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.1%
Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
78.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
79.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 11 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
78.3%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
79.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith RuckerSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+8
79.9%
Conner Manning pass complete to Kyler Neal for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
78.5%
Conner Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
80.1%
Brandon Wright punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.5%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
81.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 9 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
81.8%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:2881% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
80.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
81.5%
J.P. Caruso run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+19
80.7%
Jalin Moore run for 19 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
88.2%
Jalin Moore run for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
86.3%
Darius Stubbs run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Kyler NealSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
87.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
86.5%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
86.5%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+1
86.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
85.4%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:5315% → 15%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
84.6%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+12
85.1%
Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
50
+17
83.6%
Darius Stubbs run for 2 yds to the APPALCHAN 48 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
82.7%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
82.7%
Conner Manning run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-5
83.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
84.5%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith Rucker, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+66
85.1%
Rogier Ten Lohuis 51 yd FG MISSED for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Caleb Fuller) to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3887% → 87%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
87.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+5
87.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
87.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
87.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+36
87.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 21 yds to the APPALCHAN 43 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chandon Sullivan) to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
89.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett Burns, broken up by Bryan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
89.0%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-5
88.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+6
87.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 6 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
87.1%
Michael Rubino 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
83.7%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Alex Gray return for 11 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19FG
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:1989% → 89%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
89.1%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
89.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
88.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+15
86.6%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, S., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Sullivan, C.) 15 yards to the GSU17, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
88.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
88.7%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-9
87.9%
Lamb, Taylor rush for 1 yard to the GSU15 (Everett, Andrew;Jones, Tevin), PENALTY APP holding (Collins, Parker) 9 yards to the GSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 18
OPP 25
0
87.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil CapelSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 18
OPP 25
+42
89.0%
Michael Rubino 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.3%
Darius Stubbs run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith Rucker, broken up by John LawSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.9%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
90.4%
Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Jaquil Capel returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 16 yds to the AppSt 31 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Shaedon Meadors) to the AppSt 16Similar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 9
OWN 16
0
88.8%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 16Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
88.5%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 14Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+8
87.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
87.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:1812% → 17%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd BoydSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.0%
Darius Stubbs run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
87.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 8 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
86.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 20 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
85.0%
Darius Stubbs run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
84.5%
Darius Stubbs run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
85.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Darius StubbsSimilar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
83.1%
Rogier Ten Lohuis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 5:5788% → 98%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
87.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+14
87.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Mock Adams for 14 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
88.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
88.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+18
87.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 18 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
90.2%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+4
90.2%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
90.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
90.4%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
90.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
90.4%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Mock AdamsSimilar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
90.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
98.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 11 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Kyler NealSimilar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith RuckerSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+19
97.5%
Conner Manning pass intercepted for a 1ST down Mondo Williams return for 9 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0398% → 99%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
98.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
98.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.8%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Keith Rucker, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+10
98.8%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 10 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
98.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
98.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+17
98.7%
Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 17 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn SmithSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Conner Manning pass intercepted Brandon Pinckney return for no gain to the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:32
Jalin Moore run for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+7.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:14
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32
+5.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Brandon Wright kickoff for 38 yds
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com