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SCST

South Carolina State 0 at UCF 38

UCF
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:43 · Jerome Pettiway punt for 40 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 9 yds to the SCSt 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+10.4Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+30.0Garbage-time factor+10.1Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:19: Matthew Wright 46 yd FG GOOD — SCST win probability +0.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:48: Matthew Wright 45 yd FG GOOD — SCST win probability +0.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:07: Matthew Wright 37 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:45: Justin Holman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UCF win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 10 of 11SCST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SCST 4th & 7 at SCST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19UCF 4th & 9 at SCST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:19SCST 4th & 14 at UCF 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:04UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:51SCST 4th & 17 at SCST 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:51UCF 4th & 3 at SCST 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:42UCF 4th & 10 at SCST 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q1 3:36SCST 4th & 14 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00UCF 4th & 7 at SCST 46, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    92.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:48UCF 4th & 8 at SCST 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:07UCF 4th & 19 at SCST 20, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:58UCF 4th & 1 at SCST 15, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:54SCST 4th & 14 at SCST 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:49UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 42, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:54SCST 4th & 5 at UCF 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:55SCST 4th & 26 at SCST 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:18SCST 4th & 8 at SCST 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:24UCF 4th & 7 at UCF 45, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:43SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 6, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:19UCF 4th & 2 at SCST 29, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:36SCST 4th & 3 at SCST 38, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:22SCST 4th & 9 at UCF 40, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 1:45UCF Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:55UCF Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:50UCF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:18UCF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.0%
Caleb York pass complete to Kanome Mcintosh for 2 yds to the SCSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
96.0%
Bishop Ford run for 1 yd to the SCSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1896% → 95%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
95.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 15 yds to the SCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
95.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Franks for 7 yds to the SCSt 36Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+7
95.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the SCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.8%
Justin Holman run for 1 yd to the SCSt 28Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan FranksSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
95.4%
Matthew Wright 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
95.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 21 yds to the SCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
95.4%
Trey Samuel run for 6 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+12
95.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Adrian Kollock Jr. for 12 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.4%
Trey Samuel run for no gain to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-4
95.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Trey Samuel for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 14
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Adrian Kollock Jr.Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
95.0%
Justin Holman run for 8 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
95.0%
Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
95.0%
Justin Holman sacked by Roderick Perry for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 18
OWN 28
0
95.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jawon HamiltonSimilar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+12
94.9%
Justin Holman run for 12 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Caleb Houston punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
94.6%
Bishop Ford run for 3 yds to the SCSt 22Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
94.6%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Adrian Kollock Jr.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-10
94.6%
YORK,Caleb pass complete to COBB,Kendall for 13 yards to the SCSU35 (MUTCHERSON, TJ;BURKETT, C.), PENALTY SCSU holding (EVANS,Justin) 10 yards to the SCSU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 17
OWN 12
0
94.6%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 17
OWN 12
+21
94.7%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 37 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 21 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6FG
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:0995% → 94%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
94.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for 8 yds to the SCSt 20Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-1
94.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 21Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
94.4%
Justin Holman run for no gain to the SCSt 21Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+4
94.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the SCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
94.5%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan FranksSimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
94.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the SCSt 17Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
94.4%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Dontravious Wilson, broken up by Phillip HenrySimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
94.3%
Matthew Wright 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
94.2%
Caleb York run for 1 yd to the SCSt 25Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+18
94.3%
Caleb York pass complete to Bishop Ford for 18 yds to the SCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
94.0%
Caleb York run for 11 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
93.9%
Bishop Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 14
50
0
94.1%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 14
50
0
94.2%
Caleb York pass incomplete, broken up by Chequan BurkettSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 14
50
0
94.3%
Tyler Scandrett punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1994% → 93%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.8%
Adrian Killins run for 4 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+17
93.9%
Justin Holman run for 17 yds to the SCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
94.0%
Justin Holman sacked by Gregtavious Newell and Tyberius Cravens for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+1
93.6%
Nick Patti run for 1 yd to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+8
93.5%
Nick Patti pass complete to Adrian Killins for 8 yds to the SCSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+16
93.4%
Nick Patti pass complete to Tristan Payton for 16 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.9%
Adrian Killins run for no gain to the SCSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
93.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jawon Hamilton for 2 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
93.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton, broken up by Darius LeonardSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
93.4%
Matthew Wright 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:446% → 6%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
93.8%
Caleb York pass complete to Jermaine Baxley for 6 yds to the SCSt 21Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
93.7%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Jermaine Baxley, broken up by Shaquill GriffinSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
93.8%
Caleb York run for no gain to the SCSt 23 Caleb York fumbled, forced by Joey Connors, recovered by UCF Joey ConnorsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10FG
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:4494% → 95%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
93.9%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Adrian Killins, broken up by Phillip HenrySimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
93.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Adrian Killins for 8 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
93.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the SCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
93.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SCSt 10Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-10
93.9%
WILSON, Dont. rush for loss of 1 yard to the SCSU11 (PERRY,Roderick), PENALTY UCF holding (JOHNSON, Jordan) 10 yards to the SCSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 19
OPP 20
0
93.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan FranksSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 19
OPP 20
0
93.5%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+37
95.1%
Matthew Wright 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 11FUMBLE
17 plays · 32 yds · 4:436% → 5%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
Dondre Brown run for 2 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
94.5%
Caleb York run for 10 yds to the SCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.4%
Trey Samuel run for 9 yds to the SCSt 46Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
94.1%
Caleb York run for 2 yds to the SCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.2%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
94.3%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+13
94.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Austin Ruger for 13 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
94.2%
Dondre Brown run for 4 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
93.9%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-5
94.2%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+11
94.4%
Caleb York run for 11 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
93.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Adrian Kollock Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+6
94.2%
Caleb York run for 6 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-10
94.1%
YORK,Caleb pass incomplete to RUGER,Austin, PENALTY SCSU holding (ISHMEL JR,Vict) 10 yards to the UCF36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 17
OPP 36
-5
94.6%
Caleb York sacked by Shaquem Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 43 Caleb York fumbled, recovered by UCF Jamiyus Pittman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 2:4995% → 96%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
95.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+5
94.9%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY SCSU offside (41) 5 yards to the UCF46, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
94.9%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, roughing passer (Shaquille Crouch) to the SCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
95.0%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to FRANKS, Jordan, PENALTY SCSU roughing passer (TAYLOR,Dayshaw) 15 yards to the SCSU24, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan PaytonSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
95.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the SCSt 18Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
95.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the SCSt 18Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
95.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+4
94.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the SCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
95.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SCSt 10Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
96.4%
Justin Holman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 0:433% → 3%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
97.0%
BROWN,Dondre rush for 5 yards to the SCSU44 (CLARKE, Errol;WOOTEN, A.J.), PENALTY SCSU holding (EVANS,Justin) 10 yards to the SCSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Caleb York run for no gain to the SCSt 29Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
Adrian Kollock Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+3
97.3%
Dondre Brown run for 3 yds to the SCSt 35Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+14
97.0%
Tyler Scandrett punt for 36 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 14 yds to the UCF 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
96.7%
Justin Holman run for 6 yds to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.7%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.7%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the SCSt 40Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-5
96.5%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
95.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the SCSt 49Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
95.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the SCSt 49Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-9
95.5%
Justin Holman sacked by Tyrell Goodwin for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Caleb Houston punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 16INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
95.7%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-9 Yards) to the SCSt 10Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+2
95.7%
Bishop Ford run for 2 yds to the SCSt 12Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+19
95.8%
Caleb York pass complete to Adrian Kollock Jr. for 19 yds to the SCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
95.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Kanome Mcintosh for 24 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
95.1%
Caleb York pass complete to Kanome Mcintosh for 6 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
95.0%
Caleb York pass intercepted Shaquill Griffin return for no gain to the UCF 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
96.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 13 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 11 yds to the UCF 38 Jawon Hamilton fumbled, forced by Darius Leonard, recovered by SCSt Tyler SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:595% → 4%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.1%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Kanome Mcintosh, broken up by Jeremy BoykinsSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
95.2%
Trey Samuel run for 2 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+8
95.3%
Caleb York pass complete to Kendall Cobb for 8 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
94.7%
Trey Samuel run for 5 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
95.1%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Kanome Mcintosh, broken up by Shaquem GriffinSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
96.0%
Tyler Scandrett 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 3:5997% → 99%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.1%
Adrian Killins run for 2 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+13
97.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 13 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
97.3%
UCF Penalty, false start (Aaron Evans) to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+32
97.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 32 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.3%
Adrian Killins run for 2 yds to the SCSt 33Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
97.3%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+16
97.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 16 yds to the SCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
97.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 14 yds to the SCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.3%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the SCSt 2Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.3%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the SCSt 1Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Bishop Ford run for no gain to the SCSt 25Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Adrian Kollock Jr.Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.1%
Caleb York pass complete to Kanome Mcintosh for 5 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, roughing passer (Kyle Gibson) to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.0%
Caleb York run for 2 yds to the SCSt 47Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
99.0%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 2 yds to the SCSt 49Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-15
99.0%
YORK,Caleb pass complete to FORD,Bishop for 5 yards to the UCF46, out-of-bounds (BOYKINS, Jeremy), PENALTY SCSU pass interference (BAXLEY,Jermaine) 15 yards to the SCSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 21
OWN 34
-5
98.9%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, delay of game (Caleb York) to the SCSt 29Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 26
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Jermaine BaxleySimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 26
OWN 29
+2
98.7%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 36 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 2 yds to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+24
99.5%
Tristan Payton pass complete to Justin Holman for 24 yds to the SCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Tre'Quan Smith 37 Yd pass from Justin Holman ( PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for no gain to the SCSt 25Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Bishop Ford for 5 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chris Johnson at the UCF 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Jaquarius Bargnare run for 8 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jaquarius BargnareSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for 8 yds to the SCSt 45Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the SCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
99.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 35 yds to the SCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the SCSt 5Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Kendall CobbSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 56 yds, downed at the UCF 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Nick Patti pass incomplete, broken up by Shaquan BrockSimilar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+21
99.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taj McGowan for 21 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Jamari Fye for 6 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-3
99.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taj McGowan for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Caleb Houston punt for 54 yds, downed at the SCSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
Adrian Kollock Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCSt 3Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
99.9%
Adrian Kollock Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCSt 6Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Dewann Ford pass incomplete to Kendall CobbSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+9
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 40 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 9 yds to the SCSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 1 yd to the SCSt 36Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the SCSt 29Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-2
99.9%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Dondre Brown run for 3 yds to the SCSt 34Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Dewann Ford pass complete to Austin Ruger for 4 yds to the SCSt 38Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for no gain to the SCSt 38Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Johnson at the UCF 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29FUMBLE
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 7 yds to the UCF 41 Cedric Jordan-Williams fumbled, forced by Lane Jones, recovered by SCSt Shaquille CrouchSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 9 yds to the UCF 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Dondre Brown run for no gain to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Dewann Ford pass incomplete to Austin RugerSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Dewann Ford run for 1 yd to the UCF 40Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 31END OF GAME
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Taj McGowan run for 8 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Jamari FyeSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+29
100.0%
Taj McGowan run for 14 yds to the SCSt 42 for a 1ST down S CAROLINA ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCSt 47 for a 1ST down S CAROLINA ST Penalty, face mask (19 yards) (Tyler Smith) to the SCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 3 yds to the SCSt 25Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 6 yds to the SCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:55
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+2.1
FG · Q2 10:07
Matthew Wright 37 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
TD · Q2 1:45
Justin Holman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com