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NCSU

NC State 35 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:22 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+15.5+7.80−7.8−15.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior−4.8Home team on offense+4.3Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score differential+0.7Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:18: Zack Mahoney pass intercepted Jack Tocho return for no gain to the NCSt 18 — SYR win probability +4.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Jalan McClendon pass intercepted, touchback. Rodney Williams return for no gain — NCSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 39 — SYR win probability +11.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 15:00: Sterling Hofrichter punt for 65 yds for a touchback — SYR win probability +13.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:53: Jaylen Samuels run for 12 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST down — NCSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00NCSU 4th & 4 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16SYR 4th & 2 at NCSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:40SYR 4th & 24 at SYR 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:13NCSU 4th & 1 at SYR 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−2.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:10SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:39NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−5.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:54NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:50SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 41, up 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%−1.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.8%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
37.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 13 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
37.7%
Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
37.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 10 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
37.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
37.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cole Cook for 8 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-2
37.7%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
37.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Kielan WhitnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 29
-10
37.7%
Ryan Finley sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
39.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+9
39.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
39.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
39.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 6 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
39.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
39.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 8 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+1
39.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
39.5%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+12
39.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 12 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
39.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 4 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
39.6%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:0057% → 59%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.4%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
43.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Maurice TrowellSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
43.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Rodney WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
40.8%
A.J. Cole III punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
44.9%
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted Jack Tocho return for no gain to the NCSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 3 yds · 6:1656% → 54%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
44.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
44.0%
Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
43.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+17
43.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 17 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
43.1%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
43.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 9 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
43.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 13 yds to the Syrac 25 NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (-16 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 13
OPP 41
-2
43.4%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
43.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+12
44.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 12 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+15
43.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
42.6%
Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
42.6%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
46.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Haskins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
48.7%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 27 SYRACUSE Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+46
48.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 46 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
50.1%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-3
50.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Syrac Zack MahoneySimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+4
48.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 26
-5
48.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7INT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
49.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for no gain to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
50.2%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+56
50.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 56 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
47.2%
Dakwa Nichols run for 6 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
47.2%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
48.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
53.3%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-6
52.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
51.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 6:2048% → 61%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-12
52.0%
Jalan McClendon run for 3 yds to the NCSt 44 NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCSt 41Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
53.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
52.0%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+17
52.1%
Jalan McClendon run for 17 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 22
OWN 41
+6
54.2%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+15
54.5%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 15 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
50.5%
Jakobi Meyers run for 4 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-5
50.5%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+10
50.9%
Jalan McClendon run for 10 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
51.7%
Jalan McClendon run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
50.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-1
52.0%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
39.4%
Jalan McClendon pass intercepted, touchback. Rodney Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 0:3747% → 57%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
47.1%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
46.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 6 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-1
46.1%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
57.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11FG
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.1%
Jalan McClendon pass intercepted Kielan Whitner return for no gain to the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:0054% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
54.0%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+5
53.4%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
53.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
66.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
53.5%
Jaylen Samuels run for 12 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
54.5%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
53.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
53.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
54.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Chris SlaytonSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
56.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Sean Riley blocked by Sean RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16INT
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:3259% → 57%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
59.1%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
58.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 13
OPP 20
-1
56.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
56.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
56.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-6
56.0%
Ryan Finley sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
58.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 44 yds, downed at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
60.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
60.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
59.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Alvin CorneliusSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+50
57.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 49%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
58.0%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 10Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+10
58.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 10 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+9
59.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 9 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
56.8%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
56.5%
Jakobi Meyers run for 1 yd to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+11
57.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 11 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
54.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
53.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+11
53.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 11 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
52.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
53.0%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+18
55.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 18 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
50.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20INT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:1065% → 62%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.3%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
65.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-2
64.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+1
63.1%
Zack Mahoney run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
61.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 61 yds, downed at the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
62.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
61.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 11 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
60.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
60.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
59.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels, broken up by Daivon EllisonSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+3
62.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 35 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22END OF HALF
10 plays · 0 yds · 1:3368% → 69%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
67.6%
Zack Mahoney run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+13
69.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
71.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 9
50
-5
71.1%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+21
68.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 21 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
73.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 25
OPP 49
-13
71.0%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 13 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 38
OWN 38
0
70.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete, broken up by Airius MooreSimilar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 38
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 35 yds, downed at the NCSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 41%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
67.8%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
68.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-5
68.9%
NC STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 26Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+23
70.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 23 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
63.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 24 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
59.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 14 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.9%
Zack Mahoney run for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
84.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
83.3%
Zack Mahoney run for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-3
83.0%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
69.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+1
66.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
66.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
68.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-13
66.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25 NC STATE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 23
OPP 40
-2
72.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-72.1
TD · Q2 0:53
Jalan McClendon pass intercepted, touchback. Rodney Williams return for no gain
-14.1
TD · Q3 15:00
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 65 yds for a touchback
+13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com