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2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:25 · Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense+3.0Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:51: Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +12.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:15: David Washington pass intercepted for a TD Isaiah Brown return for 45 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +15.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:07: Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +13.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:22: David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +10.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:50: Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:34ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:59FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:00FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:25ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:42FIU 4th & 4 at ODU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:25FIU 4th & 12 at ODU 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:30ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 13, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03ODU 4th & 7 at FIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:04FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:22ODU 4th & 4 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−9.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:50FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:43FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:31ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 36, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:21FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:21FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:09ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:39FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:00ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:51FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:15FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:07ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:22ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:50ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:43ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:23FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.2%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted Aaron Young return for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:4483% → 83%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
83.2%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
83.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
83.2%
David Washington run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
83.2%
Ray Lawry run for 22 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3017% → 19%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
83.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
83.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
82.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 9
50
+9
82.9%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
82.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+36
81.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
81.8%
David Washington run for 6 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
82.0%
David Washington run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
50
0
82.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
50
0
81.9%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 10
50
+4
81.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 6
OPP 46
-5
81.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
81.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
80.7%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
80.6%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
80.8%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
81.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Darrell Brown fumbled, recovered by ODU Darrell Brown , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:3181% → 83%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
50
0
80.9%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 10
50
+6
80.8%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+9
80.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
81.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
81.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
81.1%
David Washington run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
82.9%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
82.0%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
82.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
82.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 31 yds , Isaiah Harper returns for no gain to the ODU 28 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the ODU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:2582% → 83%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
82.2%
David Washington run for 9 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
82.8%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
82.5%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
82.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
82.8%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
82.8%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-4
82.8%
David Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 46 David Washington fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Niko GonzalezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
80.8%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
80.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
80.7%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
81.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
81.7%
Zach Pascal run for 2 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Imarjaye Albury) to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
81.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
82.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
82.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
82.7%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
82.4%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
82.8%
David Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 45 David Washington fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3219% → 18%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
80.6%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
80.0%
Christian Alexander run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+14
80.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 14 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
79.4%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
79.4%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-3
80.7%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
82.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, downed at the ODU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
82.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
82.2%
David Washington run for no gain to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+8
81.8%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
81.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:4120% → 33%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
80.1%
Alex Gardner run for 15 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
79.2%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+4
79.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
66.6%
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14END OF HALF
12 plays · 68 yds · 0:4374% → 73%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
74.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
75.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Zach Pascal for 9 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
75.7%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+12
73.8%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Ray Lawry for 12 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
75.5%
Blake LaRussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
75.3%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
74.2%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+40
72.5%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 40 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15INT TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:4073% → 60%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
73.0%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 15 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+45
59.5%
David Washington pass intercepted for a TD Isaiah Brown return for 45 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0858% → 76%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
58.3%
Ray Lawry run for 45 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
63.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
63.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
63.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+7
63.0%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
68.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-8
66.8%
Maurice Alexander sacked by TJ Ricks for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+9
70.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
69.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1871% → 85%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
71.2%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
72.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
71.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 28 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
74.5%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
74.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+8
74.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
75.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
75.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+1
74.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+18
85.2%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · -19 yds · 4:1321% → 16%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
78.7%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
78.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+14
79.1%
Anthony Jones run for 14 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
77.4%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
77.1%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-8
78.7%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 31 Maurice Alexander fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Dieugot Joseph , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 49
OWN 31
+48
84.2%
Austin Taylor 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:1187% → 96%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+34
87.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 34 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
89.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
90.0%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+25
88.0%
Zach Pascal run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
93.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darrius Scott) to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-3
94.0%
Christian Alexander run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+6
94.0%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
94.1%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Rashaad CowardSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
94.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 yds, downed at the FlaIn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:3696% → 99%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.0%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+17
96.0%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
96.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
96.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
99.4%
Ray Lawry run for 24 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Christian Alexander run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.8%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.8%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
98.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
98.8%
Christian Alexander sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 26 yds, downed at the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 21 , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 6 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 3:581% → 3%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+21
99.5%
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 21 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.4%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-1
99.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 2
50
+1
99.4%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+6
99.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.4%
ALEXANDER, C. pass incomplete to SMITH, Jonnu, PENALTY ODU pass interference (WILLIAMS, S.) 9 yards to the ODU34, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
99.3%
Christian Alexander run for 5 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.2%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.2%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.0%
Christian Alexander run for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.8%
Justin Cooper run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
98.8%
Justin Cooper run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:15
David Washington pass intercepted for a TD Isaiah Brown return for 45 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-15
TD · Q3 12:07
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q2 0:51
Christian Alexander pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com