Try the model
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:39 · Bailey Cate punt for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Pregame prior−17.7Home team on offense+1.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:20: Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +9.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:02: David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds for a TD, (D. Washington Run For Two-point Conversion) — ODU win probability +14.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:57: David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 45 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +14.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:51: David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +12.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:03: David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 84 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +12.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:13FAU 4th & 1 at ODU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00ODU 4th & 2 at FAU 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:11ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.7%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at FAU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:44FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:39ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:16ODU 4th & 8 at FAU 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00FAU 4th & 4 at ODU 13, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:02ODU 4th & 3 at FAU 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−13.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:02FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:35FAU 4th & 8 at ODU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:03FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 43, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:43ODU 4th & 4 at FAU 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.8
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:10FAU 4th & 2 at ODU 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:13FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:44ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:20FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:02ODU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    51.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:57ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:51ODU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:03ODU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:4726% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
26.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
26.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
26.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
26.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
26.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+16
26.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 16 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
26.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
26.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 10 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
26.1%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
26.1%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
26.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:1370% → 70%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
29.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 7 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+38
29.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 38 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
29.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
29.0%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
29.0%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
29.0%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
29.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
29.2%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
30.4%
Brad Davis 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:4931% → 39%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
31.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
31.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
31.2%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
31.5%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
31.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive offside (Tim Ward) to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+16
31.6%
Devin Singletary run for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
31.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 14 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
31.6%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.1%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
38.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:2763% → 67%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
36.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
36.4%
David Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
36.5%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
36.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
35.9%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
36.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
36.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
38.4%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
38.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
38.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+17
39.2%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
33.0%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 23 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
36.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
36.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
35.6%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Shadow WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+68
34.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 68 yds for a touchback OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3764% → 60%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
36.5%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
36.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-3
39.0%
David Washington sacked by Haiden Nagel and Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
39.9%
Bailey Cate punt for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:3340% → 49%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.3%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+22
40.3%
Devin Singletary run for 22 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.4%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:0453% → 48%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Zach Pascal run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
47.4%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
46.2%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
45.0%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
45.3%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, PENALTY FAU holding (LEWIS, Shelton) 10 yards to the FAU36, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
45.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
44.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
45.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
44.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 10 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
44.0%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
44.0%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
44.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
43.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.0%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.9%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
51.8%
Brad Davis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:1653% → 58%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
52.5%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
53.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+39
54.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 39 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
55.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
55.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
59.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
58.0%
Greg Joseph 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:0042% → 47%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
57.8%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+16
58.3%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 16 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
56.9%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 15 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
56.7%
WASHINGTON, D. pass intercepted by KITTLES, Richie at the FAU17, KITTLES, Richie return to the FAU22, PENALTY FAU offside (NAGEL, Haiden) 5 yards to the FAU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+16
54.6%
David Washington run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
53.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 10 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+38
53.1%
Brad Davis 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5844% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.5%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
56.5%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
55.4%
Ray Lawry run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.3%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+35
54.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 35 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
51.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
51.4%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+5
53.1%
David Washington run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+6
38.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds for a TD, (D. Washington Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
43.3%
Jason Driskel run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
43.8%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
42.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tyler Cameron, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
41.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 63 yds, downed at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:2558% → 77%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
41.8%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
41.4%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+29
42.7%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 29 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
38.4%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
37.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
37.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
22.9%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 45 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:2231% → 36%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+38
31.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 38 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
33.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
33.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Scott WigginsSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
31.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
35.8%
Greg Joseph 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4467% → 84%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
33.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+22
31.5%
Ray Lawry run for 22 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
30.0%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
30.0%
David Washington pass complete to Kesean Strong for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+15
30.0%
COX, Jeremy rush for loss of 3 yards to the FAU41 (BURDEN, K;INTERNICOLA, Ni), PENALTY FAU personal foul (WHITFIELD, D.) 15 yards to the FAU23, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
28.6%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 9 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+12
28.6%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY FAU pass interference (KITTLES, Richie) 12 yards to the FAU2, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
28.6%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5118% → 16%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
18.1%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
17.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
17.5%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
-5
16.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Herb Miller) to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+7
15.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 62 yds , Isaiah Harper returns for 7 yds to the ODU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 86 yds · 0:5683% → 96%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
16.8%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+84
4.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 84 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
5.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 11 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
6.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 8 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-3
6.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
6.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Rob ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
6.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
3.5%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
3.6%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
3.9%
Brad Davis punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlAtl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 89 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
4.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
4.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+20
3.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 20 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
4.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-8
4.5%
Jason Driskel sacked by Shadow Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+29
4.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 29 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
4.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 8 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
5.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
5.1%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
5.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 17 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
5.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 9 yds to the ODU 9 OLDDOMINION Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
5.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-1
5.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
5.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21END OF GAME
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:0498% → 99%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
2.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
1.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-1
1.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+5
1.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
1.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
1.6%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+30
1.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 30 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
1.4%
Brandon Simmons run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:57
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 45 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
-14.6
TD · Q3 11:02
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 6 yds for a TD, (D. Washington Run For Two-point Conversion)
-14.4
TD · Q3 0:51
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com