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MRSH

Marshall 14 at Old Dominion 38

ODU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.4ODU 99.9%Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd for a TD,(Brad Davis KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 38 · Q4 3:19
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Q4 3:19 · Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+28.8Pregame prior+1.1Garbage-time factor+13.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.1Blowout margin+12.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:05: Ray Lawry run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +3.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:35: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:32: David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 23 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +6.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:17: David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:36: Brad Davis 20 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:32MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:58MRSH 4th & 2 at ODU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:24MRSH 4th & 2 at ODU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−2.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:24MRSH 4th & 18 at ODU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:53ODU 4th & 21 at MRSH 31, up 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:56MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:12MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:44ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:24MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 35, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:04MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:03ODU 4th & 1 at MRSH 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:36ODU 4th & 3 at MRSH 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:53ODU 4th & 4 at MRSH 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:19ODU 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:32ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:05ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:35MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:32ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:17ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:19ODU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:02MRSH Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2869% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
69.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 19 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
69.1%
David Washington run for 1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
69.1%
Zach Pascal run for 6 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+6
69.1%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
69.1%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+22
69.1%
David Washington pass complete to Kesean Strong for 22 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
69.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, offside defense (Jason Smith) to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+4
69.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
69.1%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
70.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
69.8%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-4
69.9%
Chase Litton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 15 Chase Litton fumbled, recovered by Marsh Chase LittonSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+9
70.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 9 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
70.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 55 yds, downed at the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5870% → 74%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
70.4%
Ray Lawry run for 24 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
70.8%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
70.9%
David Washington pass incomplete, broken up by Corey NeelySimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+14
70.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
74.2%
Ray Lawry run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
73.0%
Hyleck Foster run for 11 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
72.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
72.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+8
73.0%
Hyleck Foster run for 8 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+1
72.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:4674% → 75%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
74.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
74.3%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+5
73.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
74.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:2926% → 31%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+28
74.3%
Tony Pittman run for 28 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
73.7%
Tony Pittman run for 8 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+20
73.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 20 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
73.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 8 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+21
72.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 21 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.6%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
72.6%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0371% → 79%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.2%
David Washington run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
71.1%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to DUHART, J. (ALLEN, Rodney), PENALTY MAR holding (ALLEN, Rodney) 10 yards to the ODU36, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
71.7%
David Washington run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
72.3%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+20
71.7%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 20 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
72.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
72.5%
David Washington sacked by Nyquan Harris and Ty Tyler for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+15
71.4%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 15 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
72.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
79.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 23 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
75.5%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
76.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+5
76.0%
LITTON, Chase pass intercepted by BRADSHAW, C.J. at the ODU17, BRADSHAW, C.J. return to the ODU17, PENALTY ODU offside defense (TOAL, Pat) 5 yards to the ODU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
75.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+8
75.6%
Kaare Vedvik run for 8 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
75.2%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
75.3%
Chase Litton sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 18
OPP 44
0
76.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
76.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:5279% → 83%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
78.6%
Zach Pascal run for 23 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
79.6%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+19
79.6%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 19 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
80.0%
David Washington pass complete to Kesean Strong for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
80.0%
Zach Pascal run for 5 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
80.0%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+3
80.0%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
80.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
80.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-7
79.9%
David Washington sacked by Ty Tyler and Frankie Hernandez for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 22
OPP 32
+1
79.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 21
OPP 31
0
82.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
83.3%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.5%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
83.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 8 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
83.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
84.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 41 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:5485% → 95%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+44
85.1%
Ray Lawry run for 44 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
85.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 19 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.8%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 11:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.0%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
93.8%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
93.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+5
94.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 5 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+15
93.8%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 44 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 15 yds to the ODU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
95.5%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
95.3%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
95.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
95.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Fedrice Binot) to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 15
OWN 28
-4
95.2%
Chase Litton sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 19
OWN 24
0
95.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 49 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 27 Darrell Brown fumbled, recovered by ODU Darrell BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
95.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+7
95.6%
David Washington run for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
95.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 1 yd to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 32 yds, downed at the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:2796% → 98%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
96.4%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
96.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joe Massaquoi) to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+7
96.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds Jonathan Duhart fumbled, forced by Rodney Allen,Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+7
96.2%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
96.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+10
96.6%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.2%
Brad Davis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
97.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 7 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
97.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 6 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
98.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-4
98.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+9
98.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
98.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
19 plays · 63 yds · 9:3499% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
98.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 7 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
98.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+4
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.8%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-2
98.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
98.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+7
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 7 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
99.6%
Josh Marriner run for 5 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
99.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jason Smith) to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Josh Marriner run for no gain to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.6%
Josh Marriner run for 2 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
Josh Marriner run for 1 yd to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Blake LaRussa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:060% → 1%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Garet Morrell run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Garet Morrell run for 3 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
99.9%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Donquell Green for 26 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.3%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 22 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:17
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 10:32
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 23 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q1 7:05
Ray Lawry run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com