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ODU

Old Dominion 24 at Western Kentucky 59

WKU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:35 · Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Ben Holt return for no gain to the WKent 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+28.9Pregame prior+4.1Blowout margin+16.2Garbage-time factor+9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:08: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +2.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:15: Quinton Baker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +3.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:50: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:27: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 54 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:58: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 45 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:50ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:15ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:27ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:26ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 27, down 35
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 5 at WKU 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:38ODU 4th & 9 at WKU 9, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:38WKU 4th & 5 at ODU 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:16ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:35ODU 4th & 6 at WKU 21, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46WKU 4th & 6 at ODU 47, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:04ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:50WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:08WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:15WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:50WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:27WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:00ODU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:26WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:58WKU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:30ODU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 11:46ODU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:39WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:1077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+30
77.1%
Anthony Wales run for 30 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
77.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
77.3%
Anthony Wales run for 44 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
77.1%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
77.2%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+5
77.2%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
77.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 5:1077% → 80%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+4
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+6
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 33 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
77.5%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
77.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 7 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
77.5%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
77.4%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
77.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
77.5%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
80.3%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.5%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
79.2%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
79.4%
David Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
79.5%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 33 OLDDOMINION Penalty, IF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:0381% → 85%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
81.1%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+14
81.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
81.2%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
81.2%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.0%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
84.9%
Zach Pascal run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-13
84.9%
WASHINGTON, D. pass complete to COX, Jeremy for 10 yards to the ODU37 (BRYANT, Omarius), PENALTY ODU illegal block 13 yards to the ODU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 22
OWN 14
+5
85.0%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 17
OWN 19
+2
85.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+44
85.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 44 yds to the ODU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2987% → 93%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
87.1%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
87.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
92.9%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.5%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
92.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+20
92.6%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 20 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
92.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
92.3%
STRONG, Kesean rush for 22 yards to the WKU32 (LESTON, Branden;DAWSON, N.), PENALTY ODU holding (DUHART, J.) 10 yards to the ODU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 20
OWN 36
-3
92.8%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 23
OWN 33
+6
92.9%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 17
OWN 39
+10
92.9%
CATE, Bailey punt 33 yards to the WKU28, FANT, Nacarius return to the WKU29 (MARRINER, Josh), PENALTY WKU holding 10 yards to the ODU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
92.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:1294% → 95%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
94.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
94.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
94.3%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+10
93.9%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
95.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 54 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
96.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
96.0%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 6 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+13
96.1%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 13 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
96.0%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 2 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
96.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Melvin Vaughn, broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
96.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+59
96.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WESTERNKY 30 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Daeshawn Bertram) to the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
96.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
96.6%
BAKER, Quinton rush for 7 yards to the WKU35 (MISKEL, Kane), PENALTY WKU holding (HALPIN, Max) 10 yards to the WKU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+3
96.5%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+6
96.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+1
96.3%
Jake Collins punt for 37 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
97.8%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
98.0%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 53 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:3497% → 98%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
97.4%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 22 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.8%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
98.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, downed at the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:5198% → 99%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
98.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 20 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.1%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
98.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 45 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:282% → 1%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
98.5%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 13 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 53 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
98.6%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 24 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
98.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
98.6%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+39
98.8%
Skyler Simcox 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
98.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 17 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
98.6%
David Washington run for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+15
98.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
98.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
98.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis Fulgham, broken up by Nick Dawson-BrentsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+31
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 31 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.1%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
99.1%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-10
99.0%
BAKER, Quinton rush for 1 yard to the WKU39 (RICKS, TJ), PENALTY WKU holding (EDWARDS, Dennis) 10 yards to the WKU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+14
99.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
99.1%
Mike White pass intercepted Aaron Young return for 24 yds to the WESTERNKY 34 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Forrest Lamp) to the WKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
99.0%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
David Washington run for no gain to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
99.0%
Brad Davis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 14 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
99.5%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+12
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 12 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+1
99.5%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by TJ RicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.8%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
99.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.8%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan, PENALTY ODU pass interference (ADDISON, B.) 15 yards to the ODU43, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.7%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
99.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 25 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24INT
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:040% → 0%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Melvin Vaughn) to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+11
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 11 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+16
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
LARUSSA, Blake pass incomplete to HARPER, Isaiah, PENALTY WKU pass interference (MIMS, Martavius) 15 yards to the WKU39, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Blake LaRussa pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass intercepted Ben Holt return for no gain to the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+30
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 30 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 8 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jake Collins punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Tony Barnett) to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Josh Marriner run for 5 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:50
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q1 3:15
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q1 7:08
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com