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UTSA

UTSA 19 at Old Dominion 33

ODU
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:03 · Yannis Routsas punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 28 , Darrell Brown returns for 17 yds to the ODU 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense−1.8Pregame prior+4.6Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: David Washington 2 Yd Run (Bailey Cate Kick) — ODU win probability +12.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:02: Jeremy Cox 3 Yd Run (Bailey Cate PAT blocked) — ODU win probability +10.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:50: Jonathan Duhart 2 Yd pass from David Washington (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ODU win probability +11.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:46: Kirk Johnson 8 Yd pass from Brady Jones (Victor Falcon Kick) — UTSA win probability +19.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:55: Jonathan Duhart 1 Yd pass from David Washington (Jeremy Cox Run for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +14.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:15ODU 4th & 11 at UTSA 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:32UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:06UTSA 4th & 25 at UTSA 3, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.6
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:44ODU 4th & 5 at UTSA 13, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:38UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:38ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:44ODU 4th & 3 at UTSA 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:03UTSA 4th & 15 at ODU 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:19ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:41UTSA 4th & 7 at ODU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:48UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:57ODU 4th & 5 at UTSA 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:43UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 24, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:45ODU 4th & 4 at UTSA 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:34UTSA 4th & 2 at ODU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:06ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:44UTSA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26ODU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:02ODU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:50ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:46UTSA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:55ODU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:4557% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
57.2%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 12 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
57.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 19 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
57.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 10 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
57.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+2
57.4%
David Washington run for 2 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+1
57.4%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 11
OPP 33
0
57.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
57.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
57.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-4
57.5%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Miles Fox for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 16 Dalton Sturm fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
57.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 42 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 45 Darrell Brown fumbled, recovered by ODU Darrell BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:0258% → 60%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
57.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+41
58.0%
David Washington run for 41 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.0%
Jeremy Cox 5 Yd Run (Bailey Cate PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
59.0%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
59.0%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-15
59.3%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 15 yards to the TexSA 3Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 25
OWN 3
+11
59.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 11 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5160% → 61%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
60.3%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
60.3%
Zach Pascal run for 8 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
60.3%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 15
OPP 23
-15
60.1%
WASHINGTON, D. pass complete to LAWRY, Ray for no gain to the UTSA23 (Kane;Tauaefa), PENALTY ODU illegal block (BUTLER, Troy) 15 yards to the UTSA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 30
OPP 38
+20
59.9%
Ray Lawry run for 20 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+5
60.1%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+4
61.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
61.1%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Aron TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
61.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
61.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+12
61.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 60 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 12 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.7%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
61.4%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
61.4%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
60.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds, downed at the TexSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:2938% → 47%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
61.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 13 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
61.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
61.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
60.7%
Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
60.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
60.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
60.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
60.7%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+9
60.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
59.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 8 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Rashaad Coward) to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
59.9%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
59.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
53.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
56.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
58.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
58.1%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to FULGHAM, Travis, QB hurry by Davenport, PENALTY UTSA personal foul (King-Williams) 15 yards to the UTSA38, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
58.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 21 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
59.2%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+9
59.2%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 9 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
58.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Austin JupeSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 10
-2
57.2%
Bailey Cate run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
54.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
54.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+11
55.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 11 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
54.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 14 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
53.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
53.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 14 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
52.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
51.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-10
52.8%
Sturm pass incomplete to Taylor, QB hurry by XIMINES, Oshane, PENALTY UTSA holding (Domond) 10 yards to the ODU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
54.6%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 15
OPP 45
+17
55.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 28 , Darrell Brown returns for 17 yds to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
54.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
53.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+13
53.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds , Aron Taylor returns for 13 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
51.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+27
50.6%
Jarveon Williams run for 27 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
48.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
49.2%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
50.6%
Dalton Sturm pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Addison return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:2154% → 71%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
54.1%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 16 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
55.3%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 26 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
57.8%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
57.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+20
57.5%
David Washington run for 20 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
59.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
59.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 13 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.2%
David Washington 2 Yd Run (Bailey Cate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0833% → 32%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
67.2%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Bunmi Rotimi and Rashaad Coward for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 17
OWN 27
0
68.0%
Team run for no gain to the TexSA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 23 Jarveon Williams fumbled, recovered by ODU Sean CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:3871% → 79%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
71.1%
Zach Pascal run for 7 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
71.1%
David Washington run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+7
70.2%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the TexSA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
71.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
71.1%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach (Moore), PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Moore) 6 yards to the UTSA2, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.1%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach (McGhee), PENALTY UTSA pass interference (McGhee) 1 yards to the UTSA1, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.5%
Jeremy Cox 3 Yd Run (Bailey Cate PAT blocked)Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
78.6%
Teddrick McGhee Defensive PAT ConversionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2125% → 31%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.0%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Josh Stewart for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
74.2%
Johnson pass incomplete to Williams,S, PENALTY ODU holding (WORTHY, Isaiah) 10 yards to the UTSA46, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
73.3%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Josh Stewart for 42 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
71.2%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
71.6%
Kirk Johnson run for 4 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
72.5%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
69.5%
Victor Falcon 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 4:4573% → 88%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
73.4%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
73.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
73.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+9
72.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
74.9%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 13 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
75.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
75.4%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 14 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
76.3%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
76.2%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+25
74.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 25 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
76.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
76.2%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 7 yds to the TexSA 2Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.0%
Jonathan Duhart 2 Yd pass from David Washington (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:5815% → 38%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
85.0%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 16 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.7%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
84.1%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Peyton HallSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+18
84.6%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 18 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
82.8%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Josh Stewart for 11 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
81.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 10 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
81.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+8
81.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 8 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
81.4%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.4%
Kirk Johnson 8 Yd pass from Brady Jones (Victor Falcon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:4676% → 94%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
76.4%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 15 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
76.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
79.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 11 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
79.5%
WASHINGTON, D. pass intercepted by Dahlquist at the UTSA12, Dahlquist return to the UTSA30, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Davis) 15 yards to the UTSA24, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
79.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+10
79.9%
David Washington pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 10 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
79.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
79.9%
TEXASSAN Penalty, offside defense (Ronnie Feist) to the TexSA 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.0%
Jonathan Duhart 1 Yd pass from David Washington (Jeremy Cox Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.9%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
90.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
91.0%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+7
91.2%
Yannis Routsas punt for 38 yds , Marques Little returns for 7 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
94.4%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
94.4%
David Washington pass complete to Kesean Strong for 3 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+3
94.2%
David Washington run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
93.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Kirk Johnson pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
92.5%
Kirk Johnson pass complete to Shaq Williams for 2 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
92.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 17 , Marques Little returns for no gain to the ODU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
18 plays · 43 yds · 5:4195% → 99%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
95.1%
Gemonta Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
95.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
95.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+15
94.7%
CATE, Bailey punt 34 yards to the UTSA46, fair catch by Taylor, PENALTY UTSA roughing the kicker (Godfrey) 15 yards to the ODU35, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.3%
Zach Pascal run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
95.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
95.5%
TEXASSAN Penalty, offside defense (Baylen Baker) to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
95.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
97.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.0%
Gemonta Jackson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
98.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-1
98.2%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 29 yds, downed at the TexSA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
98.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 14 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+26
98.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 26 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
98.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Aron Taylor for 12 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-8
98.0%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+16
98.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 16 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
98.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:46
Kirk Johnson 8 Yd pass from Brady Jones (Victor Falcon Kick)
-19
TD · Q4 11:55
Jonathan Duhart 1 Yd pass from David Washington (Jeremy Cox Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+14.1
TD · Q2 0:26
David Washington 2 Yd Run (Bailey Cate Kick)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com