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SCST

South Carolina State 24 at Louisiana Tech 53

LT
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:26 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:09: Bishop Ford 6 Yd Run (Tyler Scandrett Kick) — SCST win probability +1.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 8:48: Trent Taylor 6 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:57: Tyler Scandrett 29 Yd Field Goal — SCST win probability +1.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 13:23: Jonathan Barnes 27 Yd Field Goal — LT win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:51: Trent Taylor 21 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SCST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SCST 4th & 6 at LT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21LT 4th & 14 at SCST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06SCST 4th & 6 at SCST 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:19LT 4th & 1 at SCST 40, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:53SCST 4th & 3 at SCST 12, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:48SCST 4th & 2 at SCST 29, down 12
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:57SCST 4th & 9 at LT 12, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:23LT 4th & 7 at SCST 10, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:18SCST 4th & 6 at SCST 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:58SCST 4th & 2 at SCST 37, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:35SCST 4th & 9 at SCST 38, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:16LT 4th & 7 at SCST 28, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:16SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 30, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:47LT 4th & 4 at LT 29, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:40SCST 4th & 8 at SCST 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:31SCST 4th & 7 at LT 30, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:26LT 4th & 6 at SCST 26, up 29
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SCST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:06LT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:09SCST Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:48LT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:51LT Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:35LT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:31LT Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:33SCST Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:09LT Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:26SCST Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Bishop Ford run for 4 yds to the SCSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
97.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Kendall Cobb for 6 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.9%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 5 yds to the SCSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+11
97.9%
Caleb York run for 11 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
97.9%
Bishop Ford run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
97.9%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-1
97.9%
Caleb York sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 45 Caleb York fumbled, recovered by SCSt Caleb York , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
97.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:4098% → 97%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.5%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
97.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
97.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
97.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 8 yds to the SCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
97.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 22 yds to the SCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-11
97.6%
GAINES, Marcus rush for 4 yards to the SCSU22, PENALTY LATECH IB (BRUNSON, Joseph) 11 yards to the SCSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 21
OPP 37
0
97.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete, broken up by Shaquille CrouchSimilar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 21
OPP 37
+7
97.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 7 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
97.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
97.2%
Jonathan Barnes 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 3SF
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:0597% → 97%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.2%
Carlos Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+16
97.2%
Carlos Henderson run for 16 yds to the SCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
97.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the SCSt 34Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+10
97.2%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the SCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.4%
Marcus Gaines 24 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Adrian Kollock Jr.Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Kendall Cobb, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.2%
Bishop Ford run for 4 yds to the SCSt 29Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
97.4%
HIGGINS, Ryan rush for no gain to the LATECH32 (JONES,Marquise), PENALTY LATECH holding (BRUNSON, Joseph) 10 yards to the LATECH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+29
97.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 29 yds to the SCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
97.4%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Dayshawn Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Conner SmithSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+11
97.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Alfred Smith for 11 yds to the SCSt 40Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+8
97.4%
Kam McKnight run for 8 yds to the SCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
97.4%
Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the SCSt 25Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+22
97.4%
Jarred Craft run for 22 yds to the SCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 5 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCSt Paul McKeiverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
96.9%
Bishop Ford run for 6 yds to the SCSt 11Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+1
96.9%
Adrian Kollock Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCSt 12Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
96.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+8
96.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 36 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 8 yds to the SCSt 36 Trent Taylor fumbled, forced by Shaquan Brock, recovered by SCSt Johnell BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:103% → 6%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.6%
Dondre Brown run for 7 yds to the SCSt 43Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
96.6%
Dondre Brown run for 3 yds to the SCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.6%
Bishop Ford run for 5 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+12
96.4%
Dondre Brown run for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
96.4%
Dondre Brown run for 11 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
96.3%
Dondre Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
96.3%
YORK,Caleb pass incomplete to MOODY,Mykal, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (HARRIS, Jordan) 1 yards to the LATECH24, 1ST DOWN SCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.3%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.3%
Bishop Ford run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+15
96.4%
YORK,Caleb pass incomplete to MOODY,Mykal, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (WOODS, Xavier) 15 yards to the LATECH6, 1ST DOWN SCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.5%
Bishop Ford 6 Yd Run (Tyler Scandrett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:2195% → 97%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
95.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+10
95.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
95.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 13 yds to the SCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
95.3%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Gregtavious Newell for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 48Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+8
95.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the SCSt 40Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+20
95.3%
Ryan Higgins run for 20 yds to the SCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
95.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the SCSt 12Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+7
95.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 7 yds to the SCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
95.4%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 6Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.8%
Trent Taylor 6 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
96.3%
Caleb York run for 7 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
96.2%
Bishop Ford run for 2 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-1
96.2%
Bishop Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 29Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
96.3%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.5%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
96.5%
Jarred Craft run for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 4 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-10
96.5%
HIGGINS, Ryan rush for no gain to the LATECH45, out-of-bounds (POWELL,Devondr), PENALTY LATECH holding (BROWN, Darrell) 10 yards to the LATECH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+34
96.4%
Ryan Higgins pass intercepted Phillip Henry return for 19 yds to the LATECH 46 S CAROLINA ST Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:294% → 6%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.6%
Dondre Brown run for 5 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
95.4%
Caleb York pass complete to Kanome Mcintosh for 8 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
95.4%
Dondre Brown run for 7 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+6
95.4%
Caleb York run for 6 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
95.4%
Bishop Ford run for 6 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-5
95.4%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
95.4%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Kanome McintoshSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
95.7%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Jermaine BaxleySimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
93.8%
Tyler Scandrett 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 1:1995% → 95%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
94.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 7 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+10
94.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
94.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
95.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 3 yds to the SCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
95.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 18 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
94.5%
S CAROLINA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SCSt 25Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+3
94.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 3 yds to the SCSt 22Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
94.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+10
94.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the SCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
94.5%
Ryan Higgins pass intercepted, touchback. Jason Baxter return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
93.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3794% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
94.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 12 yds to the SCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
94.4%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the SCSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
94.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
95.3%
Jonathan Barnes 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.7%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.8%
Bishop Ford run for 4 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
94.8%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Bishop Ford, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4895% → 98%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
95.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 29 yds to the SCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
95.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 5 yds to the SCSt 37Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
95.6%
Ryan Higgins run for 3 yds to the SCSt 34Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
95.4%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
95.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 9 yds to the SCSt 21Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
98.2%
Trent Taylor 21 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:533% → 3%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
97.2%
Caleb York pass complete to Jermaine Baxley for 15 yds to the SCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.1%
Bishop Ford run for 3 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
97.1%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 6 yds to the SCSt 38Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-1
97.0%
Bishop Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 37Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 2
OWN 37
-2
97.2%
Bishop Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:1998% → 100%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Alex BrownSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.5%
Trent Taylor 35 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
99.6%
LeBron Morris run for 14 yds to the SCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.6%
LeBron Morris run for 1 yd to the SCSt 38Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Ahmaad HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 55 yds, downed at the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+25
99.5%
Jarred Craft run for 25 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.5%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+8
99.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 8 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+25
99.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 25 yds to the SCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler SmithSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
99.6%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Shaquille Crouch for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 33Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+5
99.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 5 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Jonathan Barnes 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
LeBron Morris run for 1 yd to the SCSt 26Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 4 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 47 yds, downed at the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 6 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 40 yds, downed at the SCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Lynard JamisonSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 33Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Caleb York run for no gain to the SCSt 33Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jerome Pettiway punt for 27 yds, downed at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
J'mar Smith run for 6 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+51
99.9%
Boston Scott 51 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 26TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:580% → 0%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 10 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 4 yds to the SCSt 39Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
99.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 13 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.9%
Caleb York run for 15 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+12
99.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 12 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
LeBron Morris run for 6 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Deangelo Frazier 12 Yd pass from Caleb York (Tyler Scandrett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.9%
J'mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 10 yds to the SCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 7 yds to the SCSt 42Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the SCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 10 yds to the SCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
DeJuawn Oliver 24 Yd pass from J'mar Smith (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 28TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
100.0%
LeBron Morris run for no gain to the SCSt 29Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
100.0%
Caleb York pass complete to Ahmaad Harris for 11 yds to the SCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
100.0%
YORK,Caleb pass incomplete to MCINTOSH,Kanome, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (KING, DaMarion) 15 yards to the LATECH45, 1ST DOWN SCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
100.0%
Caleb York pass complete to Lynard Jamison for 20 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Mykal Moody for 5 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+13
99.9%
Caleb York pass complete to Quan Caldwell for 13 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Caleb York pass incomplete to Deangelo FrazierSimilar
Q4 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Quan Caldwell 7 Yd pass from Caleb York (Tyler Scandrett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29END OF GAME
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
100.0%
Price Wilson pass complete to Javonte Woodard for 17 yds to the SCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Bobby Holly run for 1 yd to the SCSt 47Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Bobby Holly run for no gain to the SCSt 47Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+17
100.0%
Price Wilson pass complete to Kam McKnight for 17 yds to the SCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
100.0%
Dee Fleming run for 1 yd to the SCSt 29Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
Bobby Holly run for 3 yds to the SCSt 26Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Price Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+24
100.0%
Price Wilson pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 24 yds to the SCSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:51
Trent Taylor 21 Yd pass from Ryan Higgins (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+2.6
TD · Q2 13:09
Bishop Ford 6 Yd Run (Tyler Scandrett Kick)
-1.8
FG · Q2 1:57
Tyler Scandrett 29 Yd Field Goal
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com