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HAW

Hawai'i 14 at Fresno State 13

FRES
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:52 · Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+19.0+9.50−9.5−19.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior−7.7Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: Christian Cronk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +12.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 3:41: Kody Kroening 27 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +15.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:59: Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +57.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: Zach Kline pass incomplete to Aaron Peck — FRES win probability +19.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:05: Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 00:05 — HAW win probability +17.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 10HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:12HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:17FRES 4th & 4 at HAW 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:52HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:36FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:52FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:06HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:19FRES 4th & 12 at FRES 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54FRES 4th & 15 at HAW 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:00FRES 4th & 17 at HAW 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:38HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:26FRES 4th & 7 at HAW 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−8.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 24 at HAW 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−5.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:13FRES 4th & 5 at FRES 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:31HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%−2.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:41FRES 4th & 8 at HAW 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−20.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:33HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.1%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:43HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:10FRES Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:59HAW Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−4.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
41.3%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-6
41.3%
Dru Brown sacked by Tobenna Okeke for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
41.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
41.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Paul Harris HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
41.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Zach Kline pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.9%
KeeSean Johnson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
41.9%
Zach Kline pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
41.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
42.1%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
42.1%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
42.2%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+8
42.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 50 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 8 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:4543% → 43%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
42.6%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
42.6%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-1
43.0%
Justin Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+11
42.7%
Zach Kline pass complete to Justin Allen for 11 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
43.2%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
43.3%
Dontel James run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
43.2%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
42.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
43.3%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
43.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-9
43.2%
Dru Brown sacked by Stratton Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+4
43.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+14
43.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Paul Harris for 14 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
43.4%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
44.1%
Jamire Jordan run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
44.0%
KLINE, Zach pass complete to JOHNSON, KeeSea for 10 yards to the FS31 (TAVAI, Jahlani), PENALTY FS holding 10 yards to the FS11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+5
44.0%
Zach Kline run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+4
43.5%
Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 4 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
43.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1156% → 56%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
43.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
43.2%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
43.2%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+8
44.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
43.0%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
44.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
45.8%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-6
45.6%
Jamire Jordan run for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+10
44.8%
Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 10 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
44.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2755% → 55%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
45.1%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-5
45.2%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to URSUA, John for 30 yards to the FS45 (POTTS, DeShawn), PENALTY UH holding (KEMP, Marcus) 5 yards to the UH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+11
45.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
45.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
45.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
46.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+2
46.9%
Justin Rice run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
46.6%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for no gain to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+1
45.8%
Zach Kline run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
45.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4256% → 68%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
43.8%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-10
43.9%
HARRIS, Paul rush for 3 yards to the UH46 (GLASS, Tyquwan;CAMILLI, Jeff), PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+53
45.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 53 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
41.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+10
42.2%
Paul Harris run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 9Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
41.9%
Paul Harris run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 5:2636% → 53%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
36.1%
Josh Hokit run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
37.4%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
37.3%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
38.4%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
38.2%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
38.4%
Treyvon Green run for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
34.8%
GREEN, Treyvon rush for 6 yards to the UH46 (PRITCHARD, J.), PENALTY UH personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UH player disqualification off-setting, PENALTY FS unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+11
38.1%
Treyvon Green run for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
39.1%
Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 13 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
40.0%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
40.0%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jared Rice for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+18
38.6%
Josh Hokit run for 18 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
40.0%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.0%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.9%
Christian Cronk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
45.9%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
50.2%
Josh Hokit run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
50.7%
Josh Hokit run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+5
53.0%
Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
53.1%
Zach Kline run for 12 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
53.7%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jared Rice for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
53.6%
Dontel James run for no gain to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-6
52.5%
Zach Kline sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
48.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 46 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
48.2%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Tyquwan Glass return for no gain to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0055% → 49%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.7%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
54.6%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-10
54.1%
HOKIT, Josh rush for 15 yards to the UH22 (ROGERS, Jalen), PENALTY FS holding (PATTERSON, D.) 10 yards to the UH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 17
OPP 47
0
51.0%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
49.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 33 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
48.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+6
49.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-5
49.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Makoa Camanse-Stevens) to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+8
49.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
51.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 37 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for no gain to the FrsSt 42 KeeSean Johnson fumbled, recovered by FrsSt KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:5155% → 61%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
54.7%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
55.5%
Dontel James run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
54.7%
Dontel James run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
56.3%
Dontel James run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+7
56.4%
Dontel James run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
57.4%
Dontel James run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-2
57.3%
Dontel James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+5
53.9%
Dontel James run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
60.6%
Kody Kroening 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:1941% → 37%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
58.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+22
59.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 22 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
54.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
54.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
54.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dakota Torres, broken up by Tyquwan GlassSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
54.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-10
55.6%
BROWN, Dru rush for 26 yards to the FS15 (GREEN, Justin), PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 49
-4
60.8%
Dru Brown sacked by Wyatt McBee for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 45
0
63.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
65.6%
Dontel James run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+4
65.1%
Treyvon Green run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+2
63.7%
Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
62.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 46 yds, downed at the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
62.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
60.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
60.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 2
50
-9
57.4%
LAKALAKA, S. rush for 1 yard to the FS49 (CAMILLI, Jeff), PENALTY UH holding (TORRES, Dakota) 9 yards to the UH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+8
61.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
58.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
61.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22FG
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:5868% → 88%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
68.3%
Zach Kline run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
68.7%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
68.9%
Dontel James run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+6
68.1%
Dontel James run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.1%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jared RiceSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
69.3%
Dontel James run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
70.8%
Zach Kline run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
72.0%
Zach Kline run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-5
72.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Micah St. Andrew) to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
71.6%
Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+18
71.6%
Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 18 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
73.9%
Zach Kline run for 18 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
73.9%
Dontel James run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
73.9%
Zach Kline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
72.3%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Treyvon GreenSimilar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
88.2%
Kody Kroening 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 2:3421% → 81%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
79.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 7 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+10
75.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 10 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan EwalikoSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-15
77.0%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to EWALIKO, Keelan, PENALTY UH personal foul (ALLEN, Dejon) 15 yards to the UH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 25
OWN 26
0
79.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 25
OWN 26
+21
81.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 21 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+14
77.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 14 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
72.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 17 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
69.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
76.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
80.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Tyquwan GlassSimilar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+9
82.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, roughing passer (9 Yards) to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
76.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
19.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24MISSED FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 0:5942% → 26%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.4%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.6%
Zach Kline pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 9 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
42.9%
Zach Kline run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
39.9%
Zach Kline pass complete to Michael Martens for 17 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
46.7%
Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
45.5%
Zach Kline pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+14
41.3%
Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 14 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
47.3%
Zach Kline run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+43
25.5%
Kody Kroening 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Viane Moala N/A return for no gain to the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:59
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-57.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59
Zach Kline pass incomplete to Aaron Peck
+19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com