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BOIS

Boise State 52 at Hawai'i 16

HAW
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:04 · Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds , Jonathan Moxey returns for 9 yds to the BoiSt 30 BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−39.3Pregame prior−20.3Score differential−26.6Garbage-time factor−11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:40: Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — HAW win probability +0.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:52: Jeremy McNichols 36 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:35: Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:21: Rigoberto Sanchez 24 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:07: Brett Rypien run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 12:35HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51HAW 4th & 5 at BOIS 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12BOIS 4th & 18 at HAW 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:14HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 20, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:21HAW 4th & 7 at BOIS 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:34HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:04HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 21, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:31BOIS 4th & 12 at HAW 21, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:28HAW 4th & 15 at BOIS 15, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:54BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 49, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:48HAW 4th & 8 at BOIS 18, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:40BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:52BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:35BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:33BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:07BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:04BOIS Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:51BOIS Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:05HAW Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:2086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
13.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+7
13.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+38
13.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 38 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
13.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+35
14.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
14.4%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+5
14.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
14.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
14.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
14.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Paul Harris, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 7
OWN 22
-5
14.3%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 12
OWN 17
+14
14.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 52 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 14 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:4485% → 86%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
14.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
14.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 9 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
14.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+36
13.6%
Jeremy McNichols 36 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+23
14.3%
Paul Harris run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
50
0
14.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
50
+5
14.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
14.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Tyler HortonSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+1
14.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 1 yd to the BoiSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
13.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
13.8%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 15 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
13.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson, broken up by Jalen RogersSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
13.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Mason Hampton) to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 15
OPP 34
-3
13.8%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
13.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
14.0%
Sean Wale punt for 24 yds, downed at the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
14.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
14.6%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
14.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 4 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
14.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 5:1986% → 91%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
14.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
13.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
14.0%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
13.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Cedrick Wilson) to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+14
14.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 14 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-10
13.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+6
13.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 6 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
13.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+5
13.9%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing the kicker (5 Yards) to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
13.6%
Cedrick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-3
13.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+39
13.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 39 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
13.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
13.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
9.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.7%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
10.7%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
10.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 6 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
10.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+29
11.2%
Keelan Ewaliko pass intercepted Chanceller James return for 29 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2991% → 92%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+35
8.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 35 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
8.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+8
8.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
8.7%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
8.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
8.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:126% → 3%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Paul HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.5%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
4.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Paul Harris for 4 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
4.8%
Dru Brown run for 30 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
5.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
5.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+21
4.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 21 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
5.7%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
5.8%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
6.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 7 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
2.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0996% → 98%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
4.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+32
4.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 32 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+36
4.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 36 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.8%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Hawa 4Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.5%
Brett Rypien run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
2.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-6
2.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Leo Koloamatangi) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+8
2.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 8 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+4
2.1%
Dru Brown run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
2.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Moxey at the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
2.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 20 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
2.5%
Brett Rypien run for 11 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
2.4%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
3.8%
Paul Harris run for 17 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
3.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 9 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-5
4.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Metuisela 'Unga) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
3.9%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the Hawa 41 Dru Brown fumbled, forced by Joe Martarano, recovered by BoiSt Durrant MilesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:2598% → 98%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
2.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
2.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+35
1.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
1.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dakota Torres) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
1.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
1.5%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
1.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+9
1.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds , Jonathan Moxey returns for 9 yds to the BoiSt 30 BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:3298% → 98%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
1.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+26
1.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 26 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.5%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
1.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 12 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
1.4%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-3
1.1%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+3
1.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 3 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
2.0%
Tyler Rausa 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:581% → 0%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
0.8%
Paul Harris run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.9%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+13
0.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 13 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
0.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 13 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Paul HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
1.0%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
0.4%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
0.3%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
0.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
0.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
0.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+44
0.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 44 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+39
0.2%
Paul Harris run for 39 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
0.2%
Paul Harris run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
0.3%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
0.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-5
0.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Will Adams) to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+5
0.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+9
0.6%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Akilian Butler for 9 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
0.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, illegal use of hands (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
0.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+10
0.5%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Akilian Butler for 10 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-5
0.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
0.6%
Sean Wale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
0.1%
Dylan Collie run for 9 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua Timoteo, broken up by Reid Harrison-DucrosSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+26
0.1%
Dru Brown run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
50
0
0.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Kekoa NawahineSimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 10
50
+19
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 10 yds to the BoiSt 20 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Metuisela 'Unga) to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
0.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 10 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
0.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
0.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua Timoteo, broken up by Chase HatadaSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
0.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.2%
Cory Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
Cory Young run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
0.2%
Cory Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
0.2%
Cory Young run for no gain to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.2%
Cory Young run for 2 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
0.2%
Cory Young run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:35
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-4.1
FG · Q2 3:21
Rigoberto Sanchez 24 yd FG GOOD
-3.4
TD · Q1 8:52
Jeremy McNichols 36 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com