Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 0 at San Diego State 55

SDSU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Qualcomm Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:11 · Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the SDSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense+11.2Score differential+8.2Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:35: Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — HAW win probability +0.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:59: Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:36: Dru Brown pass intercepted for a TD Ron Smith return for 14 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:45: John Baron II 30 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:04: John Baron II 45 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:35HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54SDSU 4th & 19 at SDSU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11HAW 4th & 2 at SDSU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:45SDSU 4th & 5 at HAW 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:13HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09SDSU 4th & 6 at HAW 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:55HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:29SDSU 4th & 22 at HAW 34, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:33SDSU 4th & 22 at HAW 34, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 46, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:33SDSU 4th & 5 at HAW 46, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:36HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 28, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:18SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 38, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:53HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 19, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:35HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 49, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:33HAW 4th & 5 at SDSU 10, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:35SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:36SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:42SDSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:24SDSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:42SDSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:02SDSU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2588% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 8 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
88.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 20 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
88.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
88.2%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
88.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
88.2%
Quest Truxton run for 23 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
88.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
87.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 7 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+3
87.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
87.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
87.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
87.8%
Dru Brown run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
87.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 57 yds, downed at the SDSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:5987% → 89%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
87.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
87.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+25
87.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 25 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
87.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
87.5%
Christian Chapman run for 6 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
86.9%
PUMPHREY, Donnel rush for loss of 2 yards to the UH23 (ROGERS, Jalen), PENALTY SDSU holding off-setting, PENALTY UH holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.5%
Christian Chapman run for no gain to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+13
87.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 13 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
87.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
89.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5112% → 11%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
88.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-2
88.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+5
88.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 5 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
88.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
89.2%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-9
89.1%
Christian Chapman sacked by Meffy Koloamatangi for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 35Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+1
88.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 19
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Tanner Blain punt for 56 yds, downed at the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6INT TD
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:1512% → 7%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
88.5%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
88.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-4
88.7%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Hawa 4Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+14
93.2%
Dru Brown pass intercepted for a TD Ron Smith return for 14 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 1:207% → 7%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
92.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+13
93.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 13 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
92.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+11
93.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 11 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
93.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
93.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
93.4%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 6
50
+4
93.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
93.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the SDSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
95.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+1
95.5%
Christian Chapman pass intercepted Rojesterman Farris II return for 1 yd to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
93.5%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to KEMP, Marcus for 11 yards to the SDSU38 (SMITH, Ron), PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-4
94.0%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Ronley Lakalaka return for 11 yds to the SANDIEGOST 43 HAWAII Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:2096% → 96%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
95.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+12
95.6%
Juwan Washington run for 12 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+2
95.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+11
95.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 11 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-3
95.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
96.1%
John Baron II 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:265% → 4%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.0%
Dru Brown sacked by Sergio Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 22 Dru Brown fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
95.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-3
95.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds , Quest Truxton returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:4597% → 97%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
96.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+16
96.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 16 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
96.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 12 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.0%
Christian Chapman run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
97.1%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
97.1%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Tanner Blain punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens, broken up by Damontae KazeeSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
95.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+41
95.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 40 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 41 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0997% → 99%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.2%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+45
99.0%
John Baron II 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
99.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
98.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
98.1%
Aaron Zwahlen pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for 30 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
99.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-8
99.2%
Christian Chapman sacked by Malachi Mageo for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 34 Christian Chapman fumbled, recovered by SDSt Antonio Rosales , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 22
OPP 34
-50
99.1%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 50 yards to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 22
OPP 34
+24
99.3%
John Baron II 51 yd FG MISSED , Jalen Rogers return for 24 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Dylan Collie for 15 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.2%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 12 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.2%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Parker BaldwinSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 13Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-60
99.1%
Aaron Zwahlen run for a loss of 60 yards to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 70
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 70
OWN 24
+15
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Dylan Collie for 15 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 55
OWN 39
+12
99.3%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 12 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:5199% → 100%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.3%
N/A pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.3%
N/A pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.3%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
99.3%
N/A pass incomplete to Malik SmithSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
99.3%
N/A punt for a loss of 41 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+11
99.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.6%
Rashaad Penny 73 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Malik SmithSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 30 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-2
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 19Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 15 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Tanner Blain punt for 48 yds, downed at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Trey LomaxSimilar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+33
99.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 39 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 33 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
99.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Juwan Washington for 24 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24INT TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 6 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Parker BaldwinSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+54
99.9%
Dru Brown pass intercepted for a TD Damontae Kazee return for 54 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
99.9%
Dru Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 16
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Trenton ThompsonSimilar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.9%
Ryan Agnew run for 23 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 43Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 12 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
99.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Darryl Richardson for 21 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Juwan Washington run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
16 plays · 54 yds · 7:230% → 0%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
100.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
100.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 11 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 2 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
100.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 10 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 1 yd to the SDSt 25Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 2 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the SDSt 14Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the SDSt 11Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 1 yd to the SDSt 10Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 5
OPP 10
-10
100.0%
Dru Brown sacked by Kyree Woods for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:36
Dru Brown pass intercepted for a TD Ron Smith return for 14 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+4.5
FG · Q2 0:04
John Baron II 45 yd FG GOOD
+1.8
TD · Q1 1:59
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com