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UNM

New Mexico 28 at Hawai'i 21

HAW
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:55 · Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 50 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 2 yds to the NMex 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+0.9Pregame prior+3.4Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +14.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:01: Tyrone Owens run for 72 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +26.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:49: Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +24.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 8:53: Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, forced by Daniel Henry, recovered by NMex Lee Crosby , return for 46 yds, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +30.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:29: NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-3 Yards) to the NMex 4 — UNM win probability +12.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:47HAW 4th & 2 at UNM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:42UNM 4th & 1 at HAW 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:59HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 2 at UNM 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:16HAW 4th & 13 at UNM 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:40UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:12UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:59UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:55HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−3.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:53UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:27HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:49UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−3.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:46HAW 4th & 2 at UNM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−3.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−7.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14HAW 4th & 2 at UNM 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−13.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:14HAW 4th & 1 at UNM 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−3.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−17.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:59UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:56HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:01UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:49HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1359% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
59.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 13 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
59.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
59.0%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
59.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
59.2%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:4341% → 46%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
58.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+12
58.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 12 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
58.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 15 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
58.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+13
58.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 13 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
58.6%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
58.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 9 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
58.7%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
58.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.6%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel HenrySimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
55.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
55.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 51 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 9 yds to the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5145% → 54%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 10 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
54.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
54.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 15 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
53.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
53.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+13
53.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 13 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
52.8%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+20
52.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 20 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
45.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3747% → 54%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
46.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 19 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
47.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+23
46.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 23 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
47.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+18
47.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 18 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
48.2%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
48.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+3
47.8%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+4
47.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.8%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
50.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
50.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
49.3%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Trayvon Henderson return for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
49.6%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
50.9%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-5
50.5%
Dru Brown sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+2
48.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 2 yds to the NMex 39 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (8 Yards) to the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
47.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
47.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
48.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Q' Drennan, broken up by Jahlani TavaiSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
49.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 41 yds , John Ursua returns for no gain to the Hawa 47 John Ursua fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
48.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Lee CrosbySimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
48.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 12 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
49.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+4
48.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-5
48.9%
Dru Brown sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
45.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
43.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+3
44.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-1
45.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+30
45.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 56 yds , John Ursua returns for 30 yds to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:5147% → 63%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
47.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+10
49.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
49.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+10
48.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nias Martin) to the NMex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
48.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.8%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:4045% → 42%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
55.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Aaron Jenkins) to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+3
55.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 3 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-8
55.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (Blaise Fountain) to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 20
OWN 8
+9
56.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+2
57.5%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 2 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+7
58.5%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 54 yds , John Ursua returns for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
60.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
62.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
61.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
60.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
56.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
56.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+3
56.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
55.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+6
56.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin, broken up by Damien PackerSimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
57.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
60.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
59.7%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua Timoteo, broken up by Austin OcasioSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+2
57.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 50 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
55.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
56.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Richard McQuarley for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+6
55.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
53.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
52.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 43 Teriyon Gipson fumbled, forced by Jahlani Tavai, recovered by NMex Teriyon GipsonSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-15
53.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal block (Avery Jordan) to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 21
OWN 28
+14
57.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 14 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
56.6%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 51 yds, downed at the Hawa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
58.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+6
59.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
59.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Cody BakerSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
59.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
57.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+3
57.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
31.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 72 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:1138% → 67%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
37.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+31
36.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 31 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.8%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+10
39.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 10 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
42.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
42.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 9 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
54.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Tyrone Owens for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
55.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 7 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Chris Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+42
57.6%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 42 yds , John Ursua returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:1560% → 33%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
60.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
61.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
62.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
63.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+46
33.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, forced by Daniel Henry, recovered by NMex Lee Crosby , return for 46 yds, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 46 yds · 3:3232% → 25%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
32.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 12 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
33.7%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
33.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
34.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Keelan Ewaliko, broken up by Ryan SantosSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+6
31.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
36.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
36.5%
Dru Brown run for 4 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
34.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+3
24.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
29.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
26.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the NMex 7Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
24.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the NMex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:2988% → 95%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
12.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-3 Yards) to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
12.2%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 5 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+21
12.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 21 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
10.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
5.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
4.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 8:53
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, forced by Daniel Henry, recovered by NMex Lee Crosby , return for 46 yds, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-30.2
TD · Q3 0:01
Tyrone Owens run for 72 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-26.6
TD · Q4 12:49
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
+24.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com