Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 41 at Hawai'i 38

HAW
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Aloha Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:43 · Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+13.7Home team on offense+2.2Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:34: David Greene run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:47: Diocemy Saint Juste 7 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick) — HAW win probability +19.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:50: David Greene 1 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick) — UNLV win probability +27.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:58: Lexington Thomas 34 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick) — HAW win probability +20.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:49: Evan Pantels 28 Yd Field Goal — UNLV win probability +34.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 30 at UNLV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:53HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:54UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:43HAW 4th & 5 at UNLV 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:10UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 1, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%−4.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−17.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:15HAW 4th & 4 at UNLV 7, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−14.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:09UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:49UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−5.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−38.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:49HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 20, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:37UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:35HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:26HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:07UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:26HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:47HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:50UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
77.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
77.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-19
77.5%
Dru Brown sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 19 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 30
OPP 45
0
77.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+11
77.1%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
77.0%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+6
77.1%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 6 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
77.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
76.5%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
76.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+8
76.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 8 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
76.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-3
76.5%
N/A run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+11
76.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+3
76.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3425% → 30%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
75.5%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Tim Holt for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
75.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
75.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
75.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
75.2%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+19
75.3%
Dalton Sneed run for 19 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
75.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+9
75.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
74.9%
HAWAII Penalty, ( Yards) to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
75.0%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.7%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:5371% → 75%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
71.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
71.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
71.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+55
71.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 55 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2927% → 26%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
72.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
73.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 18 Charles Williams fumbled, recovered by UNLV Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 18
+11
73.4%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
73.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:5174% → 79%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
73.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
73.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+6
73.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
74.3%
Paul Harris run for 15 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Paul HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
74.7%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+35
74.6%
Paul Harris run for 35 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 3 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:1223% → 34%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
77.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
77.4%
Dalton Sneed run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
77.9%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 7 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
77.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
Dalton Sneed run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.9%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Trevor KantemanSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
77.1%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Andrew Price for 9 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
76.2%
David Greene run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.3%
Allan Cui III pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+19
76.6%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 19 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
66.2%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4171% → 80%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.1%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
70.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
72.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 4
50
+3
73.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+8
72.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 8 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+38
73.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 38 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 1:4622% → 37%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
77.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.0%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
77.4%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
50
+35
75.6%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Andrew Price for 35 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
72.7%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 9 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 1
OPP 6
-2
72.7%
Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+5
74.0%
Dalton Sneed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
74.1%
Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
74.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Kyle Saxelid) to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
75.4%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 9 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.7%
David Greene run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
70.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
69.2%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
67.2%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Tim HoltSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
65.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-4
65.4%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+58
68.0%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Damien Packer) to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
68.6%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tim Hough) to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
69.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
71.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
70.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
71.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 11
50
0
70.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Dalton BakerSimilar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 11
50
+6
69.2%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
69.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:1536% → 48%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
64.2%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Tim Holt, broken up by Trayvon HendersonSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+32
64.5%
Charles Williams run for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
50
+1
60.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
60.8%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+7
60.6%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
59.7%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
59.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
60.7%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
59.3%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
59.3%
Dalton Sneed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
59.3%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
60.7%
Dalton Sneed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
52.4%
Evan Pantels 18 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:4963% → 66%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
62.5%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Troy Hawthorne) to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
56.1%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+38
57.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 38 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
61.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (John Wa'a) to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+21
58.2%
Dru Brown run for 21 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
62.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
62.5%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
60.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
65.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
60.2%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevor Kanteman) to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+6
60.5%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 6 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+9
60.9%
Dalton Sneed run for 9 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
61.3%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Trayvon HendersonSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
62.9%
TEAM punt, downed at the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5768% → 89%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
68.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
68.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+11
67.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 11 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
69.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 21 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste 7 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-10
89.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Sione Kauhi) to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:5119% → 50%
Q4 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-5
81.2%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Nathan Jacobson) to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
82.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Trayvon Henderson) to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
81.5%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
81.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+12
83.2%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
80.3%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (Jeremiah Pritchard) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
78.9%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Tim Holt for 39 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.7%
David Greene 1 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4161% → 51%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
61.4%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+15
61.2%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Darius Mouton) to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
62.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 30 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+28
55.7%
Paul Harris run for 28 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
50.8%
Paul Harris 7 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:5763% → 58%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
36.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
36.9%
Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Trevor Kanteman, broken up by Trayvon HendersonSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
38.6%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Jericho Flowers for 8 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
35.4%
David Greene run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
34.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
33.5%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 3 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
33.0%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
32.0%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
32.1%
Dalton Sneed run for 11 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
42.0%
Lexington Thomas 34 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0058% → 62%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
58.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
61.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
62.9%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+21
61.6%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the UNLV 45 Dru Brown fumbled, forced by Tau Lotulelei, recovered by UNLV Darius Mouton , return for 13 yds to the HAWAII 40 UNLV Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:0756% → 93%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
44.4%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+9
44.6%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+31
42.5%
Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 31 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
39.6%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+2
40.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+3
38.7%
Dalton Sneed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
7.2%
Evan Pantels 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0019% → 16%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
18.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Kenny KeysSimilar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
16.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Leo Koloamatangi) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
16.3%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:49
Evan Pantels 28 Yd Field Goal
-34.4
TD · Q4 10:50
David Greene 1 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)
-27.2
TD · Q4 4:58
Lexington Thomas 34 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)
+20.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com