Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 34 at San José State 17

SJSU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:41 · Michael Carrizosa punt for 59 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−16.8Score differential−8.8Garbage-time factor−6.1Pregame prior+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:57: Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 8 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:46: Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 24 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +7.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:20: Dru Brown run for 62 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +8.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:26: Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 39 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +11.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:53: Steven Lakalaka run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +19.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:59SJSU 4th & 1 at HAW 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:07HAW 4th & 6 at SJSU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:39SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:20HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:42HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−4.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29SJSU 4th & 15 at HAW 35, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:30SJSU 4th & 5 at HAW 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:16HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:16SJSU 4th & 12 at HAW 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:16HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:59SJSU 4th & 10 at HAW 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:04SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:04SJSU 4th & 10 at HAW 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:57SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:46HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:20HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:26HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:53HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 86 yds · 5:0157% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+36
56.9%
Tim Crawley run for 36 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
56.9%
Tre Hartley run for 18 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
56.9%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+20
57.9%
Bryce Crawford 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:5242% → 43%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
57.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
57.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+9
57.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.3%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
57.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+13
57.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 13 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
57.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+27
57.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 27 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
57.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
57.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
57.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
56.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:0657% → 64%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
57.1%
Kenny Potter sacked by Russell Williams Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 18
OWN 7
+3
57.0%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+30
56.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 30 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
57.9%
Malik Roberson run for 14 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
58.4%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-1
58.7%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+19
58.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 4 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
59.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 5 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+10
59.0%
Malik Roberson run for 10 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
59.0%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
59.0%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
63.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 8 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1138% → 47%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
62.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
62.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
61.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 12 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+32
61.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 32 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
53.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 24 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
57.6%
Tim Crawley run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Holmes) to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 14
OWN 26
-1
57.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+1
57.2%
Malik Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+10
56.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 10 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
56.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:4544% → 53%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
55.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
55.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 8 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
54.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+62
46.2%
Dru Brown run for 62 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
46.7%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dru Brown) to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
49.5%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Jamal Mayo return for 6 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
44.8%
John Ursua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+8
44.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
44.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Trevon Bierria HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua TimoteoSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
46.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 28 yds, downed at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0046% → 49%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
45.7%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-5
45.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
45.1%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+29
44.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 29 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.5%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Jalen Rogers return for no gain to the Hawa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2956% → 56%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
44.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-6
44.7%
Dru Brown sacked by Isaiah Irving for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 2Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 15
OWN 2
-1
45.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 1Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 16
OWN 1
+22
43.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 51 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 22 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0048% → 42%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
48.0%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
47.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Jamal MayoSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 11
OPP 31
-4
45.8%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+12
42.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 12 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 0:5159% → 69%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
41.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
39.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 6 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
39.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+20
38.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 20 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
27.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 39 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
30.6%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ammon Barker) to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
31.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
31.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
30.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
30.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+20
30.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 20 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
31.3%
Tim Crawley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+15
29.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
32.3%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
32.2%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
31.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for no gain to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
31.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
25.0%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
25.7%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+3
25.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 3 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
26.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
25.0%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
24.9%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-4
24.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Kory Rasmussen and Russell Williams Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
23.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4581% → 69%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
18.9%
Dru Brown run for 6 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
18.8%
Paul Harris run for 14 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
17.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 11 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
30.7%
Dru Brown sacked by Isaiah Irving for a loss of 16 yards Dru Brown fumbled, recovered by SJSt Frank Ginda , return for 0 yards , return for 19 yds, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
33.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
33.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 2 yds Ammon Barker fumbled, forced by Frank Ginda, recovered by SJSt Bryson BridgesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3243% → 35%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
42.6%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
41.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
38.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+50
35.0%
Bryce Crawford 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Viane Moala Viane Moala return for no gain to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
31.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 10 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
29.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
29.8%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-5
29.3%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
29.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
31.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2332% → 32%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
31.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+12
31.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 12 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
32.2%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Trayvon Henderson return for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:0073% → 90%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
26.8%
BROWN, Dru pass incomplete to 'UNGA, M., QB hurry by IRVING, Isaiah, PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass (ELI, Asotui) 5 yards to the SJ49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+4
27.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+10
26.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 10 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
26.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
29.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (Owen Roberts) to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
9.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 1:5415% → 15%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
15.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
15.4%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
15.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 9 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-3
17.0%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+17
15.3%
Malik Roberson run for 17 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
16.2%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Russell Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
15.9%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
15.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy Freeman, broken up by Kory RasmussenSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
15.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:1894% → 98%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
6.4%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
6.2%
Dru Brown run for 24 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
6.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 14 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
6.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-17
6.2%
Team run for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 0
OPP 23
+6
3.5%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
2.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
5.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Kory Rasmussen for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 20Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
5.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
5.5%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+13
5.5%
Malik Roberson run for 13 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
6.0%
Malik Roberson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
6.2%
Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
6.3%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
6.2%
Malik Roberson run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
6.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+7
5.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:0598% → 99%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
1.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
1.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
1.4%
LAKALAKA, S. rush up middle for 1 yard to the UH45 (OREGLIA, Nick), PENALTY UH illegal shift 5 yards to the UH39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
1.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
1.0%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to TORRES, Dakota for 22 yards to the SJ35, out-of-bounds (McKNIGHT, Mauri), PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass (FALEMALU, R.) 5 yards to the UH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
1.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 53 yds, downed at the SJSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
2.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
2.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 9 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+14
2.2%
Malik Roberson run for 14 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
2.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-4
2.2%
Josh Love sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:53
Steven Lakalaka run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-19.4
TD · Q2 0:26
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 39 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-11.3
TD · Q2 8:20
Dru Brown run for 62 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com