Try the model
UTM

UT Martin 36 at Hawai'i 41

HAW
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Aloha Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:12 · Troy Cook pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+1.3Home team on offense+11.2Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:14: Jaimiee Bowe run for 26 yds for a TD, (Mitch Mersman KICK) — UTM win probability +12.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:43: Diocemy Saint Juste run for 24 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +17.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 3:24: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 33 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +18.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:32: Troy Cook pass complete to Ben Axline for 65 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTM win probability +14.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:43: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — HAW win probability +31.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:33UTM 4th & 10 at HAW 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:54UTM 4th & 10 at UTM 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:26UTM 4th & 1 at HAW 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−1.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:38HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:14UTM 4th & 18 at HAW 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:04HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−2.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:14UTM 4th & 2 at HAW 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−1.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−9.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:09HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:38UTM 4th & 22 at UTM 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−6.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:20UTM 4th & 13 at UTM 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−3.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.4%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:02HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12UTM 4th & 4 at HAW 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−5.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−6.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:12UTM 4th & 29 at UTM 42, down 5
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:59HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:18UTM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:45UTM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:57HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:14UTM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:43HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:24HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:42HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:32UTM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:43HAW Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    76.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:2726% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
73.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for no gain to the TnMar 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
73.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 14 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
73.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 11 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
73.7%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Robert Burleigh) to the TnMar 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+20
73.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 20 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
73.7%
Ladevin Fair run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
73.7%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Makani Kema-Kaleiwahea) to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
73.7%
Caylon Weathers run for 9 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+5
73.7%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Kory Rasmussen) to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
73.7%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon Weathers, broken up by Jalen RogersSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
73.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
73.7%
Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
72.2%
Mitch Mersman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:2972% → 74%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
72.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
72.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
72.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
72.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
72.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 10 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
72.5%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal procedure (John Ursua) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
72.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+16
72.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 16 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
72.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
72.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the TnMar 44Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+37
72.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 37 yds to the TnMar 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
73.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
72.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 21Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
72.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for no gain to the TnMar 21Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+2
73.1%
Troy Cook run for 2 yds to the TnMar 23Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 5
OWN 23
-5
73.3%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Kevin Prather Jr.) to the TnMar 18Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
73.4%
Brett Arkelian punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
73.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Sheldon Dawson return for 22 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 1:0129% → 33%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
70.9%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 29 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
70.3%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
67.0%
Troy Cook pass complete to Kyle Kerrick for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitch Mersman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1169% → 68%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
68.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+4
68.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
68.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Londell Lee at the TnMar 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:5032% → 41%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
67.6%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+7
67.7%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jalen Rogers) to the TnMar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
67.5%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Caylon Weathers) to the TnMar 18Similar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
67.6%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 6 yds to the TnMar 24Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+46
67.5%
Ladevin Fair run for 46 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
65.8%
Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
65.7%
Ladevin Fair run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
65.2%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Cj McElrathSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
66.2%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
58.6%
Troy Cook pass complete to Cj McElrath for 16 yds for a TD, (Mitch Mersman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
58.8%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-2
59.3%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
58.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
58.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Londell Lee at the TnMar 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.2%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Kyle Kerrick, broken up by Jamal MayoSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
59.3%
Najee Ray run for 1 yd to the TnMar 22Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-3
59.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 19 Jaimiee Bowe fumbled, recovered by Hawa Jahlani TavaiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:3859% → 68%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the TnMar 15Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
68.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 15 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 30 yds · 4:3637% → 36%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
62.8%
Troy Cook run for 17 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.1%
Najee Ray run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
62.1%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KerrickSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
62.9%
Troy Cook pass complete to Greg McKillion for 11 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
61.4%
Troy Cook run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
61.5%
Ladevin Fair run for 6 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+3
62.1%
Ladevin Fair run for 3 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
61.4%
Najee Ray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 13
OPP 27
-5
59.5%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Robert Burleigh) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 18
OPP 32
0
59.9%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KerrickSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 18
OPP 32
0
62.4%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Ben AxlineSimilar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+49
64.4%
Mitch Mersman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:1064% → 61%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
63.8%
Dru Brown sacked by James Gilleylen for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 15
OWN 27
-2
62.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 17
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
60.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 55 yds, downed at the TnMar 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.8%
Ladevin Fair run for no gain to the TnMar 20Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.0%
Ladevin Fair run for 1 yd to the TnMar 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
60.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
61.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
61.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Kahlid Hagens return for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1145% → 58%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
55.3%
Ladevin Fair run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
55.3%
Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
55.3%
Najee Ray run for 4 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
54.5%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon WeathersSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
54.6%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 9 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
55.0%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Kadarren Bond) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+4
55.3%
Troy Cook run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+26
42.5%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 26 yds for a TD, (Mitch Mersman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
42.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
42.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
42.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
42.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Joseph EsteSimilar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+2
41.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 8
OWN 29
-10
40.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 36 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 10 yards to the TnMar 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Hawa Ammon BarkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:4746% → 64%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
46.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the TnMar 24Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
63.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 24 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:0045% → 41%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
54.8%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Kerrick) to the TnMar 9Similar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+1
56.1%
Najee Ray run for 1 yd to the TnMar 10Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+3
55.3%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 13Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 14
OWN 13
-8
56.4%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 8 yards to the TnMar 5Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 22
OWN 5
0
58.6%
Brett Arkelian punt for 34 yds , John Ursua returns for no gain to the TnMar 5 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (Dejaun Butler) to the TnMar 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:1460% → 79%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
60.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
60.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the TnMar 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
78.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 33 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
74.0%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon WeathersSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-3
74.3%
Troy Cook pass complete to Greg McKillion for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 12Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
75.3%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon WeathersSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+49
76.1%
Brett Arkelian punt for 39 yds HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Rogers) to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
76.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Chris Williams-Hall return for 6 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 22INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
69.8%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ben Axline for 19 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
68.1%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 12 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
68.1%
Ladevin Fair run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
68.1%
Troy Cook run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
69.9%
Troy Cook pass intercepted, touchback. Jahlani Tavai return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:4175% → 91%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
74.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
74.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
74.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+13
74.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 13 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
77.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the TnMar 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+9
78.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
78.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the TnMar 36Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+36
91.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 36 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 24TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
76.0%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ben Axline for 65 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:2380% → 48%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
79.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-10
79.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Elijah Tupai) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+9
79.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+1
77.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+79
47.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 54 yds , Londell Lee returns for 79 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1352% → 85%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
51.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
51.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
49.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 14 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
53.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+63
84.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 27INT
17 plays · 26 yds · 3:2520% → 13%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
80.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for no gain to the TnMar 16Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
80.8%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Caylon WeathersSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-5
82.0%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Alex Roberts) to the TnMar 11Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+16
82.0%
Troy Cook pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 16 yds to the TnMar 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
79.4%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 22 yds to the TnMar 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
75.8%
Troy Cook pass complete to Londell Lee for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 9
50
-15
75.8%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Kyle Kerrick) to the TnMar 35Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 24
OWN 35
+20
80.5%
Troy Cook pass complete to Ben Axline for 20 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
76.0%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Kyle Kerrick, broken up by Keala SantiagoSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+6
83.1%
Troy Cook pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-12
79.6%
Troy Cook sacked by Makani Kema-Kaleiwahea for a loss of 12 yards to the TnMar 49Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 22
OWN 49
-7
85.0%
Troy Cook sacked by Trayvon Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the TnMar 42Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 29
OWN 42
0
86.4%
Troy Cook pass incomplete to Londell LeeSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 29
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Troy Cook pass intercepted Jalen Rogers return for no gain to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
94.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:43
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+31.5
TD · Q3 3:24
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 33 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q3 7:43
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 24 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com