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HAW

Hawai'i 28 at Arizona 47

ARIZ
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.6ARIZ 99.7%Josh Pollack 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 47 · Q4 10:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:00 · Josh Pollack 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+9.6Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+21.8Garbage-time factor+12.3Blowout margin+12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:44: Tyrell Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:10: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +2.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:17: Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:44: Brandon Dawkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:25: Dru Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +1.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:08HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 37, up 13
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34HAW 4th & 3 at ARIZ 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:28ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 46, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:39HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:47HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:23HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17ARIZ 4th & 15 at HAW 48, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:27ARIZ 4th & 6 at HAW 10, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:16HAW 4th & 4 at ARIZ 12, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:00ARIZ 4th & 7 at HAW 11, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:21ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 46, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:13ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:00ARIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:44ARIZ Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:10HAW Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:17ARIZ Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:44ARIZ Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:04HAW Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:28ARIZ Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:54HAW Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:25HAW Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · -11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
92.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 8 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
92.6%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika rush for 1 yard to the HAW37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY HAW illegal block 15 yards to the HAW21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 21
-7
92.6%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by DeAndre' Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 32
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 32
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 32
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 56 yds , Shun Brown returns for no gain to the Ariz 12 Shun Brown fumbled, recovered by Ariz Shun Brown ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Ariz 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:3992% → 92%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+24
91.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 24 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.8%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
91.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 2 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+23
91.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 23 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
91.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
91.9%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+7
91.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 7 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
91.8%
Brandon Dawkins 24 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
91.5%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
91.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 11 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
91.5%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
91.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+2
91.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 52 yds , J.J. Taylor returns for 2 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:5991% → 93%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
91.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+13
91.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 13 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
91.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
91.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 30 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.4%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
91.4%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
92.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted - Flanniganfowles return for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
94.2%
Tyrell Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:296% → 9%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
94.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
94.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
93.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
93.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
93.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
93.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
93.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 7 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
93.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+38
93.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 38 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
91.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1093% → 92%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
92.5%
Taylor, J.J. rush for 9 yards to the ARIZ39 (TAVAI, Jahlani), PENALTY ARIZ illegal block 10 yards to the ARIZ20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+15
92.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 15 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Brandon Dawkins run for no gain to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+2
92.4%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
92.3%
Josh Pollack punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:198% → 9%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
91.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 8 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
91.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
91.6%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete to TORRES, Dakota, PENALTY ARIZ personal foul 15 yards to the ARIZ48, 1ST DOWN HAW, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
91.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+5
91.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
91.5%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass complete to COLLIE, Dylan for 48 yards to the ARIZ0, clock 13:34, PENALTY HAW holding 10 yards to the HAW42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+15
91.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 15 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+2
91.4%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
91.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Kalakaua Timoteo, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
92.9%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
92.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 6 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
92.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
92.5%
Josh Pollack punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:458% → 8%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.6%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
91.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+12
92.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 12 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-14
92.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 1 yd to the Hawa 34 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 24
OWN 19
+5
92.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 5 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+4
92.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 4 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
92.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
92.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nate Phillips at the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1493% → 96%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
93.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 12 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.3%
Tyrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+56
96.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:244% → 4%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
95.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+10
95.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dakota Torres for 10 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
95.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
95.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
96.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4797% → 99%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
96.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 12 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
96.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trevor Wood for 8 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
96.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.8%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+29
96.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 29 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
96.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 15 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
97.2%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+8
97.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 44 yds , Nate Phillips returns for 18 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 7 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for no gain to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 15
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Josh Pollack punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:2899% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+26
99.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 26 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+18
99.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 11 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+11
99.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for 9 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.2%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 19
-1
99.3%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
99.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+10
99.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 10 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
99.6%
Josh Pollack 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:181% → 2%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
99.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 25 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
99.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
99.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Tristan CooperSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 15
OPP 23
0
99.7%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+11
99.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 11 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+11
99.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:3699% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
98.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
98.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+61
99.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 61 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:270% → 1%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+18
99.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 18 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Kalakaua Timoteo for 12 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.8%
Paul Harris run for 15 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Kalakaua TimoteoSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+11
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.8%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Ariz 6Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:5299% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+8
99.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
99.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 25 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.1%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
99.1%
Zach Green run for 6 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
Zach Green run for 5 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-2
99.1%
Zach Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
99.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for no gain to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
99.7%
Josh Pollack 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 5:270% → 2%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 37 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
99.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
99.8%
Dru Brown run for 8 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+12
99.8%
Dru Brown run for 12 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
99.9%
BROWN, Dru pass complete to 'UNGA, M. for 8 yards to the ARIZ0, clock 06:23, PENALTY HAW illegal formation 5 yards to the ARIZ13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
99.9%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Dru Brown run for 7 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 3Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
99.1%
Zach Green run for 12 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
99.2%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+4
99.2%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Josh Pollack punt for 46 yds, downed at the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.6%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+31
98.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 16 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.4%
Dru Brown run for no gain to the Ariz 43 Dru Brown fumbled, forced by Calvin Allen, recovered by Ariz Brandon Rutt ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:17
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q1 1:10
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q1 4:44
Tyrell Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com