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HAW

Hawai'i 31 at California 51

CAL
2016 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2016 · ANZ Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:16 · Dylan Klumph punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+12.3Home team on offense+24.1Score differential+12.0Garbage-time factor+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:50: Diocemy Saint Juste 53 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick) — HAW win probability +2.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:43: Chad Hansen 34 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +5.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:07: Davis Webb 4 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:50: Rigoberto Sanchez 42 Yd Field Goal — HAW win probability +2.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:04: Steven Lakalaka 4 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick) — HAW win probability +3.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:16CAL 4th & 1 at HAW 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51CAL 4th & 2 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36CAL 4th & 9 at HAW 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:08HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:36CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:12HAW 4th & 13 at CAL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:00CAL 4th & 5 at HAW 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:42HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:50HAW 4th & 11 at CAL 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:19HAW 4th & 1 at CAL 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16CAL 4th & 29 at CAL 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:08CAL 4th & 3 at HAW 8, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:14HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:56CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:39HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:13CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:50HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:43CAL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:07CAL Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:18CAL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:04HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:01CAL Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:40HAW Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:5991% → 91%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
90.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
90.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 2 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
90.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
90.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
90.7%
Khalfani Muhammad 34 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:509% → 10%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
90.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
90.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Delay of Game (Ikaika Woolsey) to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
90.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Davasyia Hagger for 19 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
90.5%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 36 Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by Hawa Ikaika WoolseySimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+15
90.5%
Woolsey, Ikaika pass incomplete to Kemp, Marcus, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul (Vanderbilt, Khari) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
90.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Cameron Walker return for 3 yds to the Cal 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0891% → 90%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
90.5%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-1
90.5%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
90.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 39 yds, downed at the Hawa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:0610% → 12%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
90.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 9 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
90.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Diocemy Saint JusteSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
90.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
90.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+7
90.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Ammon Barker for 7 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
89.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+19
89.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 19 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
88.3%
Marcus Kemp 39 Yd pass from Ikaika Woolsey (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 2:1889% → 90%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
88.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 16 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.9%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
88.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+9
88.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 9 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
88.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Vic EnwereSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
88.7%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Veasy, Jordan, PENALTY HAWAII pass interference off-setting, PENALTY CALIFORNIA Ineligible Downfield on Pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
88.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 8 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
88.5%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+3
88.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Enwere for 3 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
88.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 5 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
90.0%
Chad Hansen 17 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:1111% → 13%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 43 Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, forced by Khari Vanderbilt, recovered by Hawa Leo KoloamatangiSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
89.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
87.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste 53 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4888% → 88%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
87.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 40 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
88.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 2 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-8
88.1%
Davis Webb sacked by Samiuela Akoteu for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+7
87.4%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
87.6%
Matt Anderson 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2313% → 13%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
87.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
87.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 1 yd to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 39 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for no gain to the Cal 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2487% → 86%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
86.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 12 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.0%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
87.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+2
86.6%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
86.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:2414% → 14%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+32
86.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
50
+6
85.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
85.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
85.2%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Davasyia HaggerSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-3
85.0%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
85.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 33 yds, downed at the Cal 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11FUMBLE
20 plays · 87 yds · 7:1285% → 87%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
85.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 14 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
85.0%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
84.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+5
84.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 5 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bug RiveraSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
84.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-1
84.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+15
84.2%
Klumph, Dylan punt 36 yards to the HAWAII27, fair catch by Ursua, John, PENALTY HAWAII personal foul 15 yards to the HAWAII48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
85.8%
Davis Webb run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+8
85.6%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
85.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 8 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
85.7%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
85.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 9 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
85.0%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
85.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
85.4%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.8%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
86.6%
Matt Anderson 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
90.7%
Chad Hansen 34 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5310% → 10%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
90.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
90.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.5%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
90.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+1
90.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 41 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 1 yd to the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 1:3590% → 97%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
90.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 8 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
90.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 6 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
90.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 8 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+10
90.6%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Singleton, Brandon, PENALTY HAWAII holding (Rogers, Jalen) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+28
90.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 28 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
92.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 18 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
92.0%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Hansen, Chad, PENALTY HAWAII offside (Williams Jr., Russell) 3 yards to the HAWAII4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.4%
Davis Webb 4 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
96.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:054% → 6%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+34
96.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Diocemy Saint Juste for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
96.3%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
96.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
96.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
96.0%
Woolsey, Ikaika pass incomplete to Kemp, Marcus, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Franklin Jr., Marloshawn) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
95.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 25Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
96.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
93.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:2194% → 98%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
94.3%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
95.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Enwere for 2 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+22
95.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 22 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
95.4%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
95.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-10
95.7%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Hawa 33 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Vic Wharton III) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
95.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 26 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
95.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 8 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
97.9%
Melquise Stovall 14 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 6:142% → 5%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
97.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 11 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+20
97.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
97.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
97.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
97.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+11
98.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 11 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
97.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
98.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+13
98.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 13 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Cal 4Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.6%
Steven Lakalaka 4 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:4897% → 97%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
50
+2
96.6%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+16
96.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bug Rivera for 16 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
96.8%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-10
96.9%
Webb, Davis pass complete to Robertson, Demetris for 7 yards to the HAWAII23, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding 10 yards to the HAWAII40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+3
96.8%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 37
-14
96.8%
Davis Webb sacked by Makani Kema-Kaleiwahea for a loss of 14 yards to the Cal 49Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 29
OWN 49
0
96.7%
Dylan Klumph punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:564% → 3%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+11
96.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 11 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
96.3%
Woolsey, Ikaika rush for 1 yard to the HAWAII48, PENALTY HAWAII holding 10 yards to the HAWAII37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
96.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40 Diocemy Saint Juste fumbled, recovered by Cal Luke RubenzerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 1:4598% → 99%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
97.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 9 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
97.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
97.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 8 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-5
97.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+11
97.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 11 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
97.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 7 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
97.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Khalfani MuhammadSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
99.1%
Matt Anderson 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dakota Torres for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
99.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-2
99.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+32
99.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 32 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Jordan Veasy 33 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 3:210% → 1%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+17
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 17 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 12 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 30 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.3%
Paul Harris 15 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
Vic Enwere run for 4 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 10 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jack Austin for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+27
99.6%
Vic Enwere run for 27 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 7 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+11
99.7%
Vic Enwere run for 11 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.7%
Vic Enwere run for 8 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:07
Davis Webb 4 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)
+5.4
TD · Q2 3:43
Chad Hansen 34 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Matt Anderson Kick)
+5.2
TD · Q3 2:04
Steven Lakalaka 4 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com