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SC

South Carolina 7 at Florida 20

FLA
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:49 · Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Antonio Callaway returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense+13.0Score differential+4.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:37: Austin Appleby pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 18 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +4.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:28: Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:52: Eddy Pineiro 36 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:53: David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +7.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:53: Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 29 — FLA win probability +3.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 1 at SC 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:44SC 4th & 8 at FLA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:22SC 4th & 3 at SC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:58FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:11SC 4th & 13 at SC 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:49SC 4th & 13 at SC 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:28FLA 4th & 10 at SC 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:28SC 4th & 15 at SC 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:52FLA 4th & 4 at SC 18, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:19FLA 4th & 13 at SC 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:01SC 4th & 6 at FLA 20, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:07FLA 4th & 7 at midfield, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54SC 4th & 2 at FLA 11, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:17FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:53SC Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
84.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
84.7%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
84.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+14
84.7%
Sean Kelly punt for 45 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 14 yds to the Fla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:4984% → 85%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
84.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
50
+11
84.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 11 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
84.4%
Austin Appleby run for 33 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 6 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
84.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
84.5%
Jake Bentley rush over right end for 6 yards to the SC29 (Tabor,J.), PENALTY UF offside (Cox,B.) 5 yards to the SC28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
84.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus MayeSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+32
84.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 61 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 32 yds to the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
84.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 14 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-8
84.7%
Brandon Powell run for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+20
84.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Freddie Swain for 20 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
84.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+2
84.7%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 24 Mark Thompson fumbled, forced by Bryson Allen-Williams, recovered by SCaro Jamarcus KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+29
84.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 29 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
83.7%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
83.6%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-4
83.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
84.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FUMBLE
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:5084% → 84%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
83.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+5
83.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
83.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
84.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
83.9%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+19
83.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 19 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.2%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
84.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+9
84.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
84.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 12 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
84.5%
Austin Appleby run for 9 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
-5
84.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+26
84.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 26 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
84.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaro Bryson Allen-WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
83.0%
Jake Bentley sacked by Joey Ivie for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+9
83.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+6
83.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 6 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.9%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
82.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
82.9%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
83.3%
Sean Kelly punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:5483% → 88%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+32
83.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 32 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
83.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+24
83.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 24 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
88.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 18 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9FUMBLE
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (Keivonnis Davis) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
86.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
86.4%
David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
86.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
86.1%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+21
86.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 21 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.0%
David Williams run for no gain to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
86.0%
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
85.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
86.0%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 15
OPP 30
-7
86.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Taven Bryan for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 37 Jake Bentley fumbled, recovered by Fla Taven Bryan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
88.0%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+7
87.8%
Lamical Perine run for 7 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
87.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
87.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 48 yds , Chris Lammons returns for no gain to the SCaro 43 FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Chris Thompson) to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:1812% → 11%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
87.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for 16 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
88.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 8
OWN 42
-5
88.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+39
89.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 39 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 39 yds to the FLORIDA 24 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
89.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Joey Ivie and Jordan Sherit for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 34 Jake Bentley fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
90.3%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for 7 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
89.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+4
89.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 13
-5
88.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+5
88.7%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
88.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 59 yds , Chris Lammons returns for no gain to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
89.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-4
89.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Bryan Cox and Joey Ivie for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+15
89.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Antonio Callaway returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5591% → 94%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
50
0
90.7%
Austin Appleby run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
50
+14
90.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 14 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
90.7%
Appleby,A. sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY UF intentional grounding (Appleby,A.) 7 yards to the SC43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 17
OPP 43
-3
90.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+10
90.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 10 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+54
93.9%
Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.4%
Deebo Samuel run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.9%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-6
93.0%
Jake Bentley sacked by Khairi Clark and Keivonnis Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
93.6%
Jake Bentley run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
93.6%
Sean Kelly punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:0595% → 98%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
94.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+7
94.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 9 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
94.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+30
94.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 30 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
95.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 13 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
95.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
95.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 2 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
95.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
98.1%
Eddy Pineiro 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:522% → 2%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
97.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 9 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
98.0%
Deebo Samuel run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Marcell Harris return for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-2
98.6%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-5
98.6%
Austin Appleby sacked by Darius English and Marquavius Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
98.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:081% → 9%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
98.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
98.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rod Talley for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+17
98.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
50
+15
98.6%
Jake Bentley sideline pass incomplete to David Williams, PENALTY UF pass interference (Joseph,V.) 15 yards to the UF35, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.5%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
98.4%
Rod Talley run for 6 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
98.4%
Rod Talley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+5
98.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
98.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst, broken up by Nick WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+19
98.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rod Talley for 19 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Rod Talley run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 3:4696% → 98%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
96.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
96.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
96.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 6 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
96.8%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+3
98.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+4
98.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 7
50
+10
98.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 10 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:042% → 2%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
98.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for 7 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+10
98.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 10 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
98.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 47 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
97.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Malik Young) to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+13
98.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 13 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
98.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
98.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:53
David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q2 9:37
Austin Appleby pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 18 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
+4.3
FG · Q3 7:28
Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOOD
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com