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FLA

Florida 10 at Arkansas 31

ARK
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:02 · Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Pregame prior−10.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:56: Rawleigh Williams III 6 Yd Run (Adam McFain Kick) — ARK win probability +4.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:44: Duke Dawson 37 Yd Interception Return (Eddy Pineiro Kick) — FLA win probability +5.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:16: Drew Morgan 7 Yd pass from Austin Allen (Adam McFain Kick) — ARK win probability +8.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:20: Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 14 — ARK win probability +5.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:41: Eddy Pineiro 49 Yd Field Goal — FLA win probability +3.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 7FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:28ARK 4th & 6 at FLA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:21FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:13ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:28ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:15FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:39FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:05ARK 4th & 10 at FLA 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:17ARK 4th & 26 at ARK 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−3.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:34FLA 4th & 8 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:14ARK 4th & 9 at FLA 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:41FLA 4th & 6 at ARK 32, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:21FLA 4th & 17 at ARK 21, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:20ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:56ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:44FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:16ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:40ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:2239% → 40%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.8%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
39.1%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
39.2%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 19 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
39.8%
Deon Stewart run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
39.9%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew MorganSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
39.9%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon HatcherSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
39.8%
Toby Baker punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
40.7%
Santos Ramirez 24 Yd Interception Return (Adam McFain Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0859% → 58%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
40.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 9 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
40.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
41.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
41.5%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
41.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to C'yontai LewisSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+42
42.2%
Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:5443% → 51%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
42.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 10Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+16
43.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 16 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
43.4%
Austin Allen run for 2 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+13
43.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 13 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
44.8%
Austin Allen pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 43 yds to the Fla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
45.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
46.1%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew MorganSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
45.9%
Allen, Austin pass incomplete to Hatcher, Keon, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Tabor, Teez) 7 yards to the FLORIDA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.6%
Rawleigh Williams III 6 Yd Run (Adam McFain Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2451% → 48%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
48.9%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
49.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
49.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+1
50.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 1 yd to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
52.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2753% → 48%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.0%
Jared Cornelius run for 3 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+37
47.8%
Duke Dawson 37 Yd Interception Return (Eddy Pineiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1548% → 48%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
47.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
48.0%
Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 6 yds to the Ark 17Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
47.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
48.8%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew MorganSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
48.9%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
48.8%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jared CorneliusSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
48.2%
Toby Baker punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4052% → 50%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.5%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
48.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
50.0%
Johnny Townsend punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5250% → 49%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
50.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 17Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
50.4%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy SprinkleSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
49.7%
Austin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
49.2%
Toby Baker punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:2650% → 51%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
49.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-4
49.3%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+20
51.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 20 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
49.5%
Luke Del Rio pass intercepted Josh Liddell return for no gain to the Ark 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:3752% → 56%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
52.0%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Ark 4Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+14
52.2%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 14 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
53.0%
Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 16Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+20
53.1%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 20 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
54.9%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
57.1%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-2
57.1%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 43Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+25
56.3%
Toby Baker punt for 51 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 25 yds to the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4545% → 42%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
55.5%
Mark Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-12
56.7%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Randy Ramsey for a loss of 12 yards to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 24
OWN 17
+21
58.4%
Mark Thompson run for 21 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
57.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 3:3459% → 71%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
58.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 12 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
59.5%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 15 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
61.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 45Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-10
61.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Rawleigh Williams III for 5 yds to the 50 yard line ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ark 35Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+31
60.0%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 31 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
63.5%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 12 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
63.5%
Allen, Austin pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference 14 yards to the FLORIDA8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
63.7%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Fla 3Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
63.3%
Austin Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.3%
Drew Morgan 7 Yd pass from Austin Allen (Adam McFain Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:0629% → 29%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Mark Thompson for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
71.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 21 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0627% → 25%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
73.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
73.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
74.1%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+1
74.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 46 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 1 yd to the Ark 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:2076% → 79%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
75.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 12 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.0%
Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Ark 43Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
77.3%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
77.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 15 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
79.1%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-5
80.1%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Johnny Gibson) to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+1
80.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 1 yd to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
80.4%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon HatcherSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
79.3%
Toby Baker punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2721% → 19%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
79.4%
Mark Thompson run for no gain to the Fla 7Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
80.1%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+5
80.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Mark Thompson for 5 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
80.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 59 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for no gain to the Ark 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · -15 yds · 4:0583% → 85%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.7%
T.J. Hammonds run for 15 yds to the Ark 44 ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Jake Raulerson) to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
83.2%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 28Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-5
83.4%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Jake Raulerson) to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
83.6%
Austin Allen run for no gain to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+21
83.3%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 21 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
85.8%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
86.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-38
86.5%
Austin Allen sacked by Caleb Brantley and Kylan Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the ARKANSAS 43 ARKANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dan Skipper) to the Ark 28Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 26
OWN 28
0
85.1%
Toby Baker punt for 49 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for no gain to the Fla 23 Antonio Callaway fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:2616% → 15%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
84.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 12 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
83.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 13 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
83.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
50
0
83.1%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 8
50
0
83.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 8
50
0
84.8%
Johnny Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 7:0690% → 96%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
89.9%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 14Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
90.1%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy SprinkleSimilar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+13
89.9%
Allen, Austin pass incomplete to Morgan, Drew, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Maye, Marcus) 13 yards to the ARKANSAS27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
90.8%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+17
91.0%
Austin Allen pass complete to Rawleigh Williams III for 17 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
91.9%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-10
92.0%
Whaley, Devwah rush for 4 yards to the FLORIDA45, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding (Skipper, Dan) 10 yards to the ARKANSAS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+26
91.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 26 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
92.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
93.1%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
93.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 10 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
93.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
94.0%
Jared Cornelius run for no gain to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
94.4%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew MorganSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
95.5%
Adam McFain 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:194% → 8%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
95.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 9 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+14
95.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 14 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.4%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan CronkriteSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for no gain to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+15
96.2%
Del Rio, Luke pass incomplete to Powell, Brandon, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference (Toliver, Henre') 15 yards to the ARKANSAS36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
95.9%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
95.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
95.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Ahmad FulwoodSimilar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
92.3%
Eddy Pineiro 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:4096% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.9%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
96.3%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+41
99.5%
Rawleigh Williams III 41 Yd Run (Adam McFain Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-6
99.3%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Jeremiah Ledbetter and Deatrich Wise Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 1Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 16
OWN 1
+17
99.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 17 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
99.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 22 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
99.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 21 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan CronkriteSimilar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+25
99.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 25 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-7
99.3%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Bijhon Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 21Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 17
OPP 21
0
99.4%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.7%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
Devwah Whaley run for 12 yds to the Ark 35 ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
Drew Morgan 7 Yd pass from Austin Allen (Adam McFain Kick)
+8.9
TD · Q1 2:44
Duke Dawson 37 Yd Interception Return (Eddy Pineiro Kick)
-5.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:20
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 14
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com