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FLA

Florida 24 at Georgia 10

UGA
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: Riley Ridley 14 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +3.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:37: Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +10.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:37: Eddy Pineiro kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — UGA win probability +3.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:11: Antonio Callaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +10.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:24: Eddy Pineiro 38 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 11 of 11FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:59UGA 4th & 7 at FLA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:17FLA 4th & 22 at UGA 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:54FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:51FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:12UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:44FLA 4th & 20 at FLA 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−4.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:32UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54FLA 4th & 3 at UGA 16, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.9%−0.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−9.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:05UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:38UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00FLA 4th & 19 at FLA 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−4.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:26UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:37FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:57UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:24FLA 4th & 6 at UGA 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−3.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:08UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:03FLA 4th & 1 at UGA 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:17FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:02UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:37FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:11FLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5664% → 63%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
36.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 23Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
36.7%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dominick Sanders) to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
36.7%
Luke Del Rio pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 31 yds to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1537% → 39%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
37.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
37.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+11
37.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 11 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
38.2%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
38.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
38.7%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
38.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
39.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 21 yds · 6:3361% → 57%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
38.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
39.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
39.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+13
39.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 13 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
39.2%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+6
39.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 6 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
39.7%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
40.0%
Luke Del Rio run for 11 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
39.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-15
40.2%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Maurice Smith for a loss of 15 yards to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 20
OPP 40
-2
41.7%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
42.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds, downed at the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3142% → 41%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
41.8%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 5Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
41.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 5Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 9
OWN 5
0
41.5%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+5
41.2%
Marshall Long punt for 35 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 5 yds to the Geo 39 Antonio Callaway fumbled, forced by Glenn Welch, recovered by Fla Quincy WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:0659% → 62%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
41.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 17 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
40.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
41.0%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
37.8%
C'yontai Lewis 19 Yd pass from Luke Del Rio (Eddy Pineiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5939% → 46%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
39.0%
Jacob Eason sacked by Teez Tabor for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+13
38.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 13 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+38
38.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 38 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
41.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
41.9%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
42.2%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Fla 14Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
46.1%
Riley Ridley 14 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5655% → 55%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
45.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
44.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
44.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Tyrie ClevelandSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
45.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
45.3%
Johnny Townsend punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2246% → 45%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
45.5%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-1
45.8%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
45.0%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+8
44.6%
Marshall Long punt for 41 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 8 yds to the Geo 48 FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Fla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1954% → 53%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.1%
Brandon Powell run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
45.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
45.5%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre GoolsbySimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
46.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3148% → 47%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.0%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.2%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
47.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
46.9%
Marshall Long punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2854% → 66%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
45.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
45.6%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
46.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 13 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
45.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+8
45.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Lamical Perine for 8 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
45.6%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
44.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malkom Parrish) to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.7%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jachai PoliteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2339% → 37%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
40.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
39.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
38.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jayson StanleySimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
36.9%
Brice Ramsey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1664% → 61%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
36.0%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-15
36.5%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Malkom Parrish for a loss of 15 yards to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 25
OWN 19
+5
38.5%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 25
OWN 19
0
38.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 20
OWN 24
0
39.4%
Johnny Townsend punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:3338% → 41%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
37.6%
Jacob Eason run for 8 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
39.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
39.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 14 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
40.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Natrez PatrickSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
40.7%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1840% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
40.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Alex Anzalone for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
38.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
37.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 25 yds, downed at the Geo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:2864% → 63%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
35.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
35.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
35.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
34.3%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
34.3%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
35.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
37.5%
Eddy Pineiro 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2740% → 38%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
39.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
40.3%
Reggie Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
38.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 5 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
37.7%
Marshall Long punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 5:2464% → 81%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
36.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+4
38.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+21
36.4%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 21 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
32.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
32.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
32.4%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 4 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+8
32.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 8 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
31.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+6
29.9%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 6 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
19.1%
Antonio Callaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:2221% → 19%
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.9%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 11 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
21.7%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
20.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Nick ChubbSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
19.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
18.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dallas Bruch at the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2980% → 80%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
20.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
20.0%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to C'yontai LewisSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-10
18.9%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Deandre Baker for a loss of 10 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 19
OWN 21
+15
19.7%
Johnny Townsend punt for 53 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 15 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1921% → 17%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
20.6%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-2
20.7%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
18.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+1
17.4%
Marshall Long punt for 34 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 1 yd to the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4583% → 83%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
16.9%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre GoolsbySimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
16.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-3
17.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Lamical Perine for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+14
16.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 54 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 14 yds to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2718% → 14%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
17.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+12
15.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
15.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
14.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 5:2589% → 96%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
11.5%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
11.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 1 yd to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
11.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Lamical Perine for 10 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
10.2%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
9.8%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
9.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
8.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
8.4%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+3
8.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
4.4%
Eddy Pineiro 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
4.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 14 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
4.1%
Jacob Eason run for 7 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
4.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-2
3.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Natrez Patrick for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:4597% → 98%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
2.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-1
2.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
2.4%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
2.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
1.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
1.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
1.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:37
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q3 3:11
Antonio Callaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
-10.8
FG · Q4 4:24
Eddy Pineiro 38 yd FG GOOD
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com