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Kentucky 7 at Florida 45

FLA
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.7FLA 91.3%Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q2 5:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:57 · Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+22.3Home team on offense+13.1Score differential+6.6Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:34: Mark Thompson 3 Yd Run (Eddy Pineiro Kick) — FLA win probability +1.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:37: Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 78 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +4.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:57: Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +2.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:18: Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:25: Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 26 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK) — FLA win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:00FLA 4th & 5 at UK 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00UK 4th & 11 at UK 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UK 4th & 6 at UK 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:03UK 4th & 11 at FLA 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:57FLA 4th & 5 at UK 36, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:25UK 4th & 12 at UK 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:21FLA 4th & 7 at UK 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:40UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:19UK 4th & 15 at UK 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:58FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 46, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:34FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:37FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:25FLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:40FLA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19FLA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:27UK Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0085% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
84.6%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
84.6%
Mark Thompson run for 8 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
84.6%
Mark Thompson run for 5 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
84.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 28 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
84.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
84.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
84.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
83.9%
Eddy Pineiro 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
83.7%
Drew Barker sacked by Alex Anzalone for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 19Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
83.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+2
83.8%
Drew Barker run for 2 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+3
83.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 53 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 3 yds to the Fla 27 FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 7:2983% → 84%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
83.2%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
83.3%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby, broken up by Mike EdwardsSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
83.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+10
82.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 10 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
83.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
83.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
83.1%
Mark Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
83.2%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
83.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 7 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+16
82.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 16 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
82.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
82.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Kent 10Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+7
82.5%
Mark Thompson run for 7 yds to the Kent 3Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
84.2%
Mark Thompson 3 Yd Run (Eddy Pineiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.6%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
83.4%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
83.4%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
83.2%
Drew Barker pass intercepted Quincy Wilson return for 2 yds to the Fla 42 FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (Alex Anzalone) to the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
87.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 78 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:3714% → 13%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.5%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
86.3%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 10 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
86.5%
Drew Barker sacked by Jordan Sherit for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 37 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+7
86.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Stanley Boom Williams for 7 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
86.6%
Grant McKinniss punt for 49 yds, downed at the Fla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3188% → 88%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
87.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
87.4%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 9 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
87.5%
Luke Del Rio run for 3 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
87.7%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
87.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+10
87.6%
Luke Del Rio pass intercepted Derrick Baity return for 10 yds to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0514% → 13%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
85.9%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+5
85.9%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 5 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
85.9%
Stanley Boom Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
86.1%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
86.5%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
87.4%
Austin MacGinnis 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:0688% → 91%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.2%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
88.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 18 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
88.3%
Mark Thompson run for 8 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
88.4%
Mark Thompson run for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
88.4%
Mark Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
88.9%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan CronkriteSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+6
88.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+54
91.3%
Eddy Pineiro 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10INT
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
89.9%
Stanley Boom Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
89.6%
Jeff Badet run for 25 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
88.9%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
89.0%
Drew Barker pass intercepted J Tabor return for no gain to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:1392% → 97%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.1%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+10
92.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to C.J. Worton for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
92.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+14
92.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 14 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon Powell, broken up by Derrick BaitySimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
92.5%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
92.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 7 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
93.0%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
93.0%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
93.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 6 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:185% → 5%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
94.8%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 25 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.3%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
94.4%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Stanley Boom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-10
94.6%
Drew Barker sacked by Jordan Sherit for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 35
-15
95.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Sherit) to the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.7%
Stanley Boom Williams run for no gain to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Drew Barker run for no gain to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+6
95.0%
Drew Barker pass intercepted Marcus Maye return for 6 yds to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:2196% → 99%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
96.1%
Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+18
96.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 18 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 26 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
Drew Barker sacked by Kylan Johnson and Alex Anzalone for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Jojo KempSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds, downed at the Fla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+9
99.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to C.J. Worton for 9 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre GoolsbySimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.6%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
99.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis, broken up by Jordan JonesSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
99.6%
Eddy Pineiro 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.5%
Stephen Johnson run for 7 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
99.4%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Team for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 33 Stephen Johnson fumbled, recovered by Fla Taven Bryan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for no gain to the Fla 25 KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+14
99.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Moral Stephens for 14 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
99.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 10 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Lamical Perine for 28 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Stanley Boom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
99.9%
Stephen Johnson rush over left end for 4 yards to the UK34 (Reese,D.;Putu,J.), PENALTY UK holding (S. Williams) 10 yards to the UK20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 39 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 1 yd to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Johnny Townsend punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 7:310% → 0%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Duke Dawson) to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+45
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 45 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 69 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+36
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 36 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 17 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Mark Herndon run for 4 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
Mark Herndon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:37
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 78 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 0:18
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 12:25
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 26 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com