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ARST

Arkansas State 14 at Auburn 51

AUB
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:33 · Damon Foncham punt for 35 yds, downed at the Aub 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+22.3Blowout margin+10.3Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:27: Chad Voytik run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK) — ARST win probability +3.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:38: Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:10: Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 24 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +3.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:59: Daniel Carlson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +4.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:49: Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 29 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ARST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37ARST 4th & 2 at AUB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:38ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:59AUB 4th & 6 at ARST 20, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:59ARST 4th & 10 at ARST 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33ARST 4th & 17 at ARST 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.6%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:26AUB 4th & 3 at ARST 20, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:26ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 34, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:47AUB 4th & 1 at ARST 47, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:00ARST 4th & 9 at AUB 39, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00ARST 4th & 1 at AUB 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:17ARST 4th & 17 at AUB 24, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:12AUB 4th & 13 at ARST 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:07ARST 4th & 11 at AUB 26, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:58AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:27ARST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:38AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:10AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:59AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:49AUB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:05ARST Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:25AUB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.2%
Warren Wand run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
87.2%
Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.2%
Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Damon Foncham punt for 38 yds, downed at the Aub 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
86.7%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 18 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
86.8%
Sean White left sideline pass intercepted by Bo Sentimore at the ASU36, Bo Sentimore return to the ASU36, PENALTY ASU offside 5 yards to the AU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
86.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
86.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
86.8%
Sean White pass complete to Darius Slayton for 15 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
86.8%
Sean White run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
86.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the ArkSt 26 Kerryon Johnson fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Quanterio HeathSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:4813% → 15%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
86.7%
Chad Voytik sacked by Andrew Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+17
86.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Warren Wand for 17 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+3
86.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 3 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
85.4%
Cameron Echols-Luper run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
85.4%
AUBURN Penalty, personal foul (Carlton Davis) to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.3%
Warren Wand run for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
85.3%
Warren Wand run for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+8
85.5%
Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-2
85.5%
Warren Wand run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:5085% → 87%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
85.2%
Sean White run for 14 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
85.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
85.6%
Sean White pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+47
86.7%
Kerryon Johnson 47 Yd Run (Daniel Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3114% → 17%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.3%
Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
86.1%
Warren Wand run for no gain to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
86.3%
Chad Voytik run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 5 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-10
85.9%
Chad Voytik right flat pass complete to Armond Weh-Weh for 18 yards to the AU41 (Deshaun Davis), PENALTY ASU holding 10 yards to the ASU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+68
86.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 68 yds to the Aub 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.0%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:4984% → 86%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
84.1%
Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
84.5%
Sean White pass complete to Darius Slayton for 13 yds to the AUBURN 48 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+42
84.7%
Sean White pass complete to Kyle Davis for 42 yds to the ArkSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
84.9%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 1Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.9%
Kamryn Pettway run for no gain to the ArkSt 1Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.8%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for no gain to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
86.0%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
86.2%
Damon Foncham punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 47 , Marcus Davis returns for 8 yds to the Aub 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:1686% → 90%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
86.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
86.4%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
86.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
86.4%
Sean White run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
86.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
86.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-4
86.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 14 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Tony Stevens) to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
86.4%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
89.5%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 24 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
88.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Dijon Paschal for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 23Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
88.3%
Warren Wand run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+9
88.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Blake Mack for 9 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Damon Foncham punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:2689% → 95%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
89.3%
Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+20
89.3%
Sean White run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
50
+15
89.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
89.8%
Sean White pass complete to Stanton Truitt for 3 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
89.8%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
89.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
89.8%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 3 yds to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
89.8%
Sean White run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
90.0%
Sean White right screen pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 20 yards to the ASU0, clock 08:58, QB hurry by Bo Sentimore, QB hurry by Chris Odom, PENALTY AU illegal motion (Ryan Davis) 5 yards to the ASU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+5
89.9%
Sean White left flat pass incomplete to Tony Stevens, QB hurry by Khari Lain, PENALTY ASU offside (Khari Lain) 5 yards to the ASU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
90.0%
Sean White run for no gain to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+20
94.5%
Daniel Carlson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.7%
Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.3%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
93.5%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.5%
Warren Wand rush around left end for 3 yards to the ASU38 (Marlon Davidson;Tray Matthews), PENALTY AU offside (Carl Lawson) 5 yards to the ASU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+5
93.2%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Justin McInnis for 5 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
93.4%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
93.3%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete, broken up by Tray MatthewsSimilar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-3
93.5%
Chad Voytik sacked by Tre' Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
93.8%
Damon Foncham punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:1595% → 99%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
95.4%
Kamryn Pettway run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-2
95.4%
Sean White sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+25
95.8%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 25 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.2%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+4
96.2%
Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
96.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.5%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 29 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
Warren Wand run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
98.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Blake Mack for 6 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Cameron Echols-Luper run for no gain to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
98.9%
Chad Voytik sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+5
98.8%
Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 12
OWN 36
-5
98.8%
Damon Foncham punt 43 yards to the AU21, fair catch by Marcus Davis, PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the ASU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Damon Foncham punt for 35 yds, downed at the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:2099% → 99%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+64
98.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 64 yds to the ArkSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
TEAM pass incomplete, PENALTY ASU offside 1 yards to the ASU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
Sean White pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
98.9%
Daniel Carlson 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:3199% → 99%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
99.0%
Kamryn Pettway run for 29 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.0%
Sean White run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
99.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
98.9%
Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.0%
Ryan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+15
99.0%
Sean White right sideline pass incomplete to Kyle Davis (Justin Clifton), PENALTY ASU pass interference (Justin Clifton) 15 yards to the ASU27, 1ST DOWN AU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ryan Davis, broken up by Blaise TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.0%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 7 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
99.4%
Daniel Carlson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Chad Voytik run for no gain to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Damon Foncham punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.5%
Malik Miller run for 6 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
99.5%
Malik Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+10
99.5%
Sean White pass complete to Kam Martin for 10 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kyle DavisSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Malik Miller run for no gain to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.5%
Sean White pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 9 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Chandler Cox run for no gain to the ArkSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:550% → 1%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
99.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 13 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.6%
Logan Moragne run for 3 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
99.6%
Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-5
99.5%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Jemar Clark) to the Aub 39Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+34
99.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Blake Mack for 34 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Chad Voytik run for 5 yds for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+11
99.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 11 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.7%
Sean White run for 7 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 5 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Sean White pass complete to Kamryn Pettway for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
50
+3
99.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+27
99.7%
Sean White pass complete to Darius Slayton for 27 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Sean White run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+10
99.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 8 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Logan Moragne run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+42
99.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 42 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Logan Moragne run for 3 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Dijon Paschal for no gain to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-5
99.8%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Jemar Clark) to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+11
99.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Logan Moragne for 11 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.8%
Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Warren WandSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-8
99.9%
Chad Voytik sacked by Carl Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 24Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 17
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
J.D. Houston 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+41
99.9%
John Franklin III run for 41 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
AUBURN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Malik Miller run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+14
99.9%
John Franklin III run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
Malik Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-5
99.9%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
99.9%
Daniel Carlson 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Daryl Rollins-Davis run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 4 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for 4 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnisSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Chris Murray, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+38
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Chris Murray for 38 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Avery JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Chris MurraySimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 11
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by Daniel ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 62 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
John Franklin rush up the middle for loss of 2 yards to the AU27 (Woodson-Luster), PENALTY ASU personal foul 15 yards to the AU44, 1ST DOWN AU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
100.0%
John Franklin III run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Kam Martin run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
100.0%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27 Kam Martin fumbled, forced by B.J. Edmonds, recovered by Aub Malik MillerSimilar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+12
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 11Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:59
Daniel Carlson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q1 4:27
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q2 14:10
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 24 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com