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MASS

Massachusetts 40 at Hawai'i 46

HAW
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.8HAW 75.2%Logan Laurent 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 17 · Q2 8:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:32 · Logan Laurent 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+20.6Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:14: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 39 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano PAT BLOCKED) — MASS win probability +11.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:46: Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 27 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +13.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:28: Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 31 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +15.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:29: Marquis Young run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +37.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:52: Keelan Ewaliko 56 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez PAT failed) — HAW win probability +30.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:11HAW 4th & 1 at MASS 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:07MASS 4th & 8 at HAW 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:32MASS 4th & 11 at HAW 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:27HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:46MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:31HAW 4th & 1 at MASS 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 4 at midfield, down 11
    Close callPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:05HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:44HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 45, down 2
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:19MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 46, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:47MASS 4th & 1 at HAW 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−3.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:47MASS 4th & 1 at HAW 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−1.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−7.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:57HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:12MASS 4th & 11 at HAW 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−2.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:11HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:58MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:04HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:17HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:14MASS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:46MASS Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:28HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:55HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:57MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:29MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:52HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4981% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+27
80.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 27 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
80.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 4 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+19
80.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 19 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
80.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
80.8%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
80.8%
John Ursua run for 3 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.8%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dakota Torres for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:0419% → 21%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
80.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+18
80.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 18 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
80.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+10
80.3%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
80.3%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
80.4%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+15
80.5%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
80.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
80.2%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-6
80.4%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
79.2%
Logan Laurent 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FG
18 plays · 50 yds · 6:5979% → 80%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-4
79.2%
John Ursua run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+13
79.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 13 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
79.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
79.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+8
79.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
79.7%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+27
78.7%
Dru Brown run for 27 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
79.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Lee Moses) to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
79.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
79.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
79.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
79.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q1 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
78.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Marcus Kemp) to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+3
78.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for no gain to the UMass 20 lat. to Paul Harris for 3 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
80.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:0221% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.6%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
78.9%
Andy Isabella run for 12 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
78.5%
Marquis Young run for 24 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
73.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4876% → 81%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
75.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 14 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
76.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+14
77.1%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 14 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
80.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 43 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:2721% → 25%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
79.4%
Marquis Young run for 24 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
78.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 25 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
77.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-13
77.1%
N/A sacked by Meffy Koloamatangi for a loss of 13 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 23
OPP 33
+3
78.0%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+9
79.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 9 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
75.2%
Logan Laurent 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
76.4%
Dru Brown run for 2 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
76.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-7
75.6%
Dru Brown sacked by Peter Angeh for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
74.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
74.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
75.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-5
75.5%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 12
OWN 29
-5
76.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 17
OWN 24
+15
76.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds , John Ursua returns for 15 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:1678% → 84%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
77.7%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+12
77.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 12 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
78.1%
Dru Brown run for 14 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
78.2%
Dru Brown run for 14 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
84.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 11 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
82.6%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+15
83.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
82.1%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
81.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Trayvon HendersonSimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
82.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 10 yds Jalen Williams fumbled, forced by Jalen Rogers, recovered by Hawa Damien Packer , return for 8 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:5385% → 86%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
85.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 8 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 43
-9
85.4%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Peter Angeh for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+10
84.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+5
85.3%
Dru Brown run for 5 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
87.0%
Dru Brown sacked by Steve Casali for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 22
OPP 49
0
86.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 22
OPP 49
+7
85.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
84.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 4 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jamal Mayo) to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.3%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
83.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+6
84.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
50
+7
84.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 33 yds , John Ursua returns for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tedrick Lowery) to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
85.0%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
85.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dakota Torres, broken up by Colbert CalhounSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-5
84.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+4
84.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
83.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:1816% → 29%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
84.4%
Marquis Young run for 23 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
83.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
82.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
82.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Nick Orekoya for 3 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
71.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 39 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.9%
Dru Brown run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26 Dru Brown fumbled, forced by Colbert Calhoun, recovered by UMass Tedrick LowerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:1430% → 43%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
70.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-5
70.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Michael Boland) to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+27
56.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 27 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
64.2%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
66.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon BarkerSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
64.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Paul Harris for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
63.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 48 yds, downed at the UMass 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18SF
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:3141% → 35%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
59.3%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
59.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for no gain to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-11
64.7%
TEAM sacked by TEAM for a loss of 11 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:5869% → 86%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
69.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 6 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
70.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
69.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 9 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
70.3%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 8 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+31
85.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 31 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0022% → 19%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
77.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
78.3%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
79.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+5
81.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds , John Ursua returns for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:2785% → 95%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
85.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
84.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+20
84.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 20 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
86.6%
Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46 Dru Brown fumbled, forced by Da'Sean Downey, recovered by Hawa Dru BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
87.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-3
87.1%
Dru Brown sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+14
85.4%
Ben Scruton run for 14 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
94.9%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 40 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:588% → 15%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.3%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
91.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
91.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 11 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
91.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard Davis, broken up by Jeremiah PritchardSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+9
91.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
94.4%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
94.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 24 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
93.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
93.6%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
94.0%
Andrew Ford run for no gain to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
94.1%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
93.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Damien Packer) to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.6%
Andrew Ford run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.6%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.6%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
90.7%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
89.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:3113% → 54%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
87.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 8 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+34
86.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 34 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
83.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Damien PackerSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
83.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Makani Kema-Kaleiwahea) to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
46.5%
Marquis Young run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:3161% → 92%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
61.1%
Diocemy Saint Juste run for 13 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
62.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Keelan Ewaliko for 9 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+56
92.3%
Keelan Ewaliko 56 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:4014% → 14%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
85.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 44 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
78.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
79.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 10 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
78.1%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
78.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-4
80.2%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 11
OPP 21
0
86.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard Davis, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+15
95.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-3
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:29
Marquis Young run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-37
TD · Q4 3:52
Keelan Ewaliko 56 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez PAT failed)
+30.3
TD · Q3 2:28
Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 31 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com