Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 16 at Old Dominion 36

ODU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2016 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:45 · Logan Laurent punt for 29 yds, downed at the ODU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:57: Marquis Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +6.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:46: Jeremy Cox run for 16 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis PAT BLOCKED) — ODU win probability +4.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:22: Brad Davis 35 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +5.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:38: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +15.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:32: Ray Lawry run for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK) — ODU win probability +11.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:39MASS 4th & 15 at ODU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:57ODU 4th & 9 at MASS 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:26MASS 4th & 7 at ODU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:53MASS 4th & 5 at ODU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:46ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:45MASS 4th & 5 at ODU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10ODU 4th & 20 at MASS 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22ODU 4th & 3 at MASS 17, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−6.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:02ODU 4th & 4 at MASS 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:09MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−3.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:32ODU 4th & 2 at MASS 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−12.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:47ODU 4th & 4 at MASS 29, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−5.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:31ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:30ODU 4th & 6 at MASS 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:45ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:57MASS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:46ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:38MASS Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:32ODU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:39ODU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1575% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
75.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
75.1%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 8 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
75.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
75.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
75.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+13
75.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 13 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
75.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 12 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
75.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
75.1%
David Washington run for 6 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
75.7%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
75.2%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
75.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
75.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+29
75.1%
Marquis Young run for 29 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.8%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
74.8%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the ODU 29 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Andy Isabella) to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
75.1%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+5
75.3%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
75.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:5776% → 77%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
75.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-4
75.6%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to HARPER, Isaiah, QB hurry by Downey, D., PENALTY ODU false start 4 yards to the ODU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+15
75.6%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to LAWRY, Ray, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Casali, S.) 15 yards to the ODU19, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
75.4%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 20 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+56
75.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 56 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
76.1%
David Washington run for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
76.1%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
75.8%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
76.7%
Brad Davis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:2624% → 23%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
75.6%
Andy Isabella run for 11 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
75.6%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
75.1%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
74.8%
Ross Comis run for 8 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+4
74.6%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
74.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Andy Isabella) to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+4
75.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+2
74.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+2
74.9%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
76.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2177% → 77%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
76.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
76.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+7
76.2%
David Washington run for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
76.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5523% → 30%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+61
77.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 61 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
70.5%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:0572% → 78%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
72.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
72.9%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+9
72.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
73.3%
David Washington sacked by Sha-Ki Holines and Joe Previte for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+5
72.4%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
72.3%
David Washington run for 15 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
73.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+16
74.0%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 16 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
78.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 16 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
78.4%
Steve Casali return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:4424% → 23%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
76.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
76.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 10 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
75.9%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
75.0%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
50
+14
74.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 14 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.7%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
74.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 5 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
74.6%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 5
OPP 31
-3
77.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.5%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
78.4%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
77.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 13
OWN 31
+27
77.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , James Allen returns for 27 yds to the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.3%
Bernard Davis pass incomplete to Ross ComisSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
77.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
76.5%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
77.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 29 yds, downed at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 4:4178% → 82%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
78.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
78.2%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+9
77.9%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
78.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 25 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
79.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
79.8%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 10 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
79.9%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
80.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+21
79.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
80.3%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 13Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-10
80.2%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete, PENALTY ODU holding (GARCIA, Darius) 10 yards to the UMASS23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 22
OPP 23
-3
79.7%
David Washington sacked by Steve Casali and Joe Previte for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 25
OPP 26
0
77.9%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 25
OPP 26
+5
77.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (Isaiah Rodgers) to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 20
OPP 21
+38
81.5%
Brad Davis 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.7%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+22
79.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 22 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
77.7%
Andrew Ford sacked by Oshane Ximines and Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 48
-10
79.2%
Young, M. rush for no gain to the UMASS48 (BRADSHAW, C.J.;RICKS, TJ), PENALTY UMASS holding (Thomas, R.) 10 yards to the UMASS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 38
0
79.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Dan JonahSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 38
+8
79.9%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
80.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:5282% → 88%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
81.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 10 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
81.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
82.7%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
81.9%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to HAYES, Eri'Reon (Porter, J.), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Porter, J.) 15 yards to the UMASS40, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
83.0%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 16 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
83.2%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
83.2%
David Washington pass complete to Isaiah Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+8
82.3%
David Washington run for 8 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
87.7%
Brad Davis 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3913% → 31%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
86.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 15 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
86.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 32 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Raquan Thomas) to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+23
87.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (Rashaad Coward) to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
85.3%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
84.5%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+16
84.2%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:3179% → 77%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
78.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 12 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
78.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+6
77.6%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
76.9%
David Washington pass incomplete OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
71.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Anthony Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 18
OWN 29
0
73.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 18
OWN 29
0
74.7%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
75.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 33 yds, downed at the ODU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:5880% → 92%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
79.7%
Ray Lawry run for 36 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
81.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
81.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Jesse MonteiroSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+6
80.1%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+18
92.4%
Ray Lawry run for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:269% → 8%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
91.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Bernard Davis) to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+10
91.5%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
91.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
91.1%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
91.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-5
92.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 26
0
92.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+47
92.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 32 yds, downed at the OLDDOMNION 42 OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0895% → 99%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
94.6%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 17 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 4
50
-5
95.1%
David Washington sacked by Joe Previte and Jesse Monteiro for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+20
94.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 20 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Melvin VaughnSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
95.1%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+4
95.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+8
94.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
95.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Rob Thompson return for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-2
99.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+7
99.1%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
99.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
99.0%
Andrew Ford sacked by Rashaad Coward and Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+25
99.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 25 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+22
98.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Malik Lee for 22 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
98.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jude Brenya for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+14
98.8%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Shadow Williams return for 14 yds to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:5399% → 100%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Raquan Thomas) to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Gemonta Jackson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
50
0
99.7%
Gemonta Jackson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 7
50
-5
99.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
Gemonta Jackson run for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+23
99.5%
Randall West pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 23 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.5%
Randall West pass complete to Tedrick Lowery for 13 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Randall West pass incomplete to Tedrick Lowery, broken up by Jamshyer McUmberSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Randall West pass incomplete to Tedrick LowerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:38
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 0:32
Ray Lawry run for 18 yds for a TD, (Brad Davis KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q2 13:57
Marquis Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com