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MASS

Massachusetts 7 at Florida 24

FLA
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:28 · Logan Laurent punt for 56 yds, downed at the Fla 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+46.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:18: Ross Comis 5 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick) — MASS win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 11:14: Eddy Pineiro 49 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q4 11:05: Ross Comis sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 10 — MASS win probability +4.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:25: Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the UMass 45 — FLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:04: Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 26 yds for a TD, (Luke Del Rio pass to Freddie Swain for Two-Point Conversion) — FLA win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:40FLA 4th & 8 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:31FLA 4th & 1 at MASS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00MASS 4th & 14 at FLA 36, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:25FLA 4th & 1 at MASS 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38MASS 4th & 9 at FLA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:45FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:45MASS 4th & 30 at MASS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:08FLA 4th & 8 at MASS 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:47MASS 4th & 3 at FLA 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:40FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:29MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:59FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:14FLA 4th & 23 at MASS 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:35MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:28MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:26FLA 4th & 6 at MASS 31, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:57FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:18MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:04FLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:1199% → 98%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
98.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+13
98.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.5%
Mark Thompson run for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
98.4%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 3 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
98.3%
Mark Thompson run for 6 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
98.3%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 49 Lamical Perine fumbled, forced by Ali Ali-Musa, recovered by Fla Martez IveySimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+3
98.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 3 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
98.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.1%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+4
98.1%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 56 yds, downed at the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:2198% → 98%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
97.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
97.9%
Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
97.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 18 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+13
97.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 13 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 4 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
97.4%
Luke Del Rio run for 5 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+4
97.3%
Luke Del Rio run for 4 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.7%
Antonio Callaway 12 Yd pass from Luke Del Rio (Eddy Pineiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:343% → 4%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
97.4%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
97.3%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
97.3%
Comis, Ross pass incomplete to Davis, Bernard, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer (Davis, Jarrad) 15 yards to the UMASS47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UMASS.Similar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.1%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the Fla 47 Marquis Young fumbled, forced by Duke Dawson, recovered by UMass Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+15
97.0%
Comis, Ross pass incomplete to Davis, Bernard, PENALTY FLORIDA personal foul (Bryan, Taven) 15 yards to the FLORIDA32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UMASS.Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.9%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.8%
Ross Comis run for 1 yd to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-5
96.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Raquan Thomas) to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
96.9%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+24
97.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 24 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.6%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the Fla 5Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
95.6%
Ross Comis 5 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5DOWNS
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:3896% → 95%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Ahmad Fulwood, broken up by James AllenSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
96.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.1%
Mark Thompson run for 5 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
96.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
95.9%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Scarlett for 8 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
95.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon PowellSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
95.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
95.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
95.5%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.4%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.3%
Mark Thompson run for 4 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
95.0%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+5
94.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
94.8%
Mark Thompson run for no gain to the UMass 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:226% → 8%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
93.8%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 1 yd to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+53
93.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 53 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
92.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to John Robinson-WoodgettSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+1
92.5%
Ross Comis run for 1 yd to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 31 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for no gain to the Fla 8 Antonio Callaway fumbled, recovered by Fla Alex AnzaloneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4593% → 93%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
93.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
93.3%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre GoolsbySimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
92.9%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Josh HammondSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 13
+6
92.6%
Johnny Townsend punt for 52 yds , James Allen returns for 6 yds to the UMass 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 1:559% → 8%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.5%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-17
91.3%
Ross Comis sacked by Keivonnis Davis and Jarrad Davis for a loss of 17 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 25
OWN 26
-5
91.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 30
OWN 21
+17
91.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 49 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 17 yds to the Fla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:3393% → 93%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Antonio CallawaySimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
92.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+10
91.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 10 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
92.6%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+13
92.4%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 13 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
92.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+4
92.7%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 4 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
92.2%
Del Rio, Luke pass complete to Powell, Brandon for 19 yards to the UMASS4, PENALTY FLORIDA illegal touching (Powell, Brandon) 0 yards to the UMASS23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
92.6%
Eddy Pineiro 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:068% → 11%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
91.5%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
91.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
91.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+23
90.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Bernard Davis for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Joey Ivie) to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
89.7%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-6
88.8%
Ross Comis sacked by Alex Anzalone for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+8
89.4%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
89.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0190% → 89%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
90.3%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
90.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
90.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 4 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.5%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Mark ThompsonSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
90.0%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 3 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
89.5%
Luke Del Rio run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
88.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 44 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:0312% → 14%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
88.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
87.7%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+30
88.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 30 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Sekai Lindsay run for no gain to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
85.0%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-1
85.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+1
86.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 1 yd to the Fla 46 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1987% → 84%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
86.5%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 9 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
87.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 9 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
86.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-15
87.0%
Cronkrite, Jordan rush for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY FLORIDA personal foul (Ivey, Martez) 15 yards to the FLORIDA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 23
OWN 25
+12
85.1%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 12 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
84.4%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+3
83.5%
Johnny Townsend punt for 44 yds , James Allen returns for 3 yds to the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:4515% → 16%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+7
83.9%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
82.5%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
82.5%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+3
84.1%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 5
OWN 37
-5
83.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2786% → 90%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
86.2%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 20 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
86.8%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 20 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.3%
Luke Del Rio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-10
87.2%
Cronkrite, Jordan rush for 12 yards to the UMASS6, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Johnson, Fred) 10 yards to the UMASS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+7
85.9%
Luke Del Rio run for 7 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 13
OPP 21
-10
84.3%
Luke Del Rio sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 31 Luke Del Rio fumbled, forced by Da'Sean Downey, recovered by Fla Luke Del Rio , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 23
OPP 31
+49
89.7%
Eddy Pineiro 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3015% → 13%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
85.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+3
85.8%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
86.1%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+15
86.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 15 yds to the UMass 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:2192% → 97%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
91.9%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+8
91.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 8 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
91.2%
Luke Del Rio run for 4 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
91.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
97.3%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 26 yds for a TD, (Luke Del Rio pass to Freddie Swain for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:215% → 4%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
95.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+1
94.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
95.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.1%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Bernard Davis, broken up by Chauncey GardnerSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-5
95.7%
Ross Comis sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
96.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:5397% → 98%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
97.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
97.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
97.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 9 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.6%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 9 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
97.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
97.9%
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
97.8%
Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Jordan CronkriteSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
98.3%
Eddy Pineiro 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
98.2%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.0%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) to the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:04
Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 26 yds for a TD, (Luke Del Rio pass to Freddie Swain for Two-Point Conversion)
+5.5
FG · Q4 11:14
Eddy Pineiro 49 yd FG GOOD
+5.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:25
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the UMass 45
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com