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APP

App State 37 at Georgia State 3

GAST
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Georgia Dome
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:21 · Wil Lutz punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior−29.8Home team on offense−10.6Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:05: Zach Matics 45 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +0.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:11: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +3.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:56: Zach Matics 22 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Wil Lutz 25 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +2.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:44: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 30 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05APP 4th & 6 at GAST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:05GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:11GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 8 at APP 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:41GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:21GAST 4th & 16 at APP 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:56APP 4th & 5 at GAST 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44GAST 4th & 1 at APP 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−2.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:09GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 49, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:44APP 4th & 10 at GAST 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:12GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 18, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:12APP 4th & 4 at APP 47, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:50APP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:11APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:44APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:12APP Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.1%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
12.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Bill Teknipp for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
12.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
12.1%
Wil Lutz punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:3787% → 87%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+45
12.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 45 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
12.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Parker Collins) to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+7
12.6%
Deltron Hopkins run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
12.6%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
12.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
13.3%
Zach Matics 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
13.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 6 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
13.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Kyler NealSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
13.2%
Wil Lutz punt for 50 yds, downed at the AppSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:3386% → 86%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
14.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
14.0%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+6
14.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 6 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
14.0%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to McElfresh, S., PENALTY GSU holding (Sullivan, C.) 10 yards to the APP41, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
13.8%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
13.8%
Marcus Cox run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
13.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+6
13.7%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
13.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 29 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
14.2%
Neal, Kyler rush for 3 yards to the GSU20 (Boggs, Eric), PENALTY APP offside defense 5 yards to the GSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+7
14.2%
Kyler Neal run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
14.2%
Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
14.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for no gain to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-5
14.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Donovan Harden) to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-5
14.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Jah-Mai Davidson) to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 16
OWN 23
0
14.0%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 16
OWN 23
+5
13.9%
Lutz, Wil punt 47 yards to the APP30, fair catch by Gibbs, Latrell, PENALTY APP roughing the kicker 5 yards to the GSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
13.9%
Wil Lutz punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:3785% → 89%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
14.7%
Isaiah Lewis run for 10 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
14.5%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+49
14.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 49 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.8%
Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
11.7%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by John Law for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
11.7%
Wil Lutz punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4689% → 89%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
11.2%
Isaiah Lewis run for 6 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-4
11.1%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
11.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
11.4%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 59 yds, downed at the GeoSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
11.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 18 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
11.9%
Emiere Scaife sacked by Nathaniel Norwood for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+6
11.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 6 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
11.7%
Nick Arbuckle run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
12.1%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan HardenSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
11.9%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Bill TeknippSimilar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
11.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+5
11.8%
Wil Lutz punt for 49 yds , Latrell Gibbs returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
10.4%
Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
10.4%
Josh Boyd run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+10
10.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 10 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
10.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
10.3%
Josh Boyd run for 4 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+17
10.2%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Tarris Batiste return for 17 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
12.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
12.4%
Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-7
12.3%
Nick Arbuckle sacked by Nathaniel Norwood for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 49 GEORGIA ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Nick Arbuckle) to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
11.9%
Wil Lutz punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12FG
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:2490% → 92%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+41
10.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 41 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
9.6%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
9.6%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
9.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 11 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
9.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 10 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
9.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 20 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
9.6%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
9.6%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett Burns APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
8.0%
Zach Matics 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 3:569% → 12%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Bill Teknipp for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
9.7%
Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
9.7%
Nick Arbuckle run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
9.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Bill TeknippSimilar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
9.5%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 10 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
10.1%
Kyler Neal run for 17 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
10.3%
Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
10.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
10.4%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 10 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
9.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
9.6%
Arbuckle, Nick pass complete to Kirk, Demarcus for 5 yards to the APP17 (Williams, Mondo), PENALTY APP offside 5 yards to the APP17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
9.8%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 6 yds to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
9.2%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 3 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+25
12.0%
Wil Lutz 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1690% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.1%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
10.0%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
9.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 16 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
9.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
9.1%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
10.2%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
10.0%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
9.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
9.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 3 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+30
3.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 30 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.2%
Kyler Neal run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
4.4%
Kyler Neal run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
4.5%
Demarcus Kirk run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
4.6%
Khai Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
4.4%
Arbuckle, Nick pass incomplete to Harden, Donovan, PENALTY APP pass interference (Stringer, Devan) 12 yards to the APP46, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
4.7%
Arbuckle, Nick pass complete to Werts, Ari for 24 yards to the APP22, PENALTY GSU holding (Willer, S.) 10 yards to the GSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
4.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert DavisSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+10
4.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 10 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
4.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 9 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
4.7%
Nick Arbuckle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:0098% → 99%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
2.5%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+37
2.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 37 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
2.4%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
2.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
2.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Jesse Chapman) to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
2.4%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
2.4%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Burns, Barrett, PENALTY APP pass interference (McElfresh, S.) 15 yards to the GSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-4
1.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 0
OPP 22
+39
1.3%
Zach Matics 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
2.5%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 27 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
2.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
2.6%
Kyler Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
2.6%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
2.5%
Wil Lutz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the AppSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:3499% → 100%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
1.1%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-1
0.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+11
0.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Josh Boyd for 11 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
0.8%
Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Jerome Smith) to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
0.7%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to McGuire, Montez, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Sullivan, C.) 15 yards to the GSU45, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
0.7%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-3
0.7%
Josh Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
0.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Isaiah Lewis, broken up by Jerome SmithSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
0.4%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19INT TD
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Todd Boyd, broken up by Latrell GibbsSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+13
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Glenn Smith for 13 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Ari Werts for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Ari WertsSimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+16
0.3%
Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Ari Werts for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
50
+47
0.2%
Latrell Gibbs 47 Yd Interception Return (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
0.2%
Matics, Zach kick attempt good, PENALTY APP false start 4 yards to the GSU7, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Emiere Scaife pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-1
0.1%
Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
0.1%
Emiere Scaife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
0.1%
Wil Lutz punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
0.2%
Ricky Fergerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
0.2%
JP Caruso run for no gain to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+8
0.2%
JP Caruso run for 8 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
0.2%
JP Caruso pass incomplete to Alex Gray, broken up by Nate SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
0.1%
Demarcus Kirk run for 15 yds to the AppSt 32 Demarcus Kirk fumbled, forced by Tashion Singleton, recovered by AppSt Tae HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Ricky Fergerson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
Ricky Fergerson run for 6 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
0.1%
Ricky Fergerson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
0.1%
Josh Boyd run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
0.1%
Josh Boyd run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
0.1%
Josh Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+1
0.1%
Josh Boyd run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+4
0.1%
Josh Boyd run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:44
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 30 yds for a TD GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Zach Matics KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q1 2:11
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
-3.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Wil Lutz 25 yd FG GOOD
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com