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SJSU

San José State 42 at Hawai'i 23

HAW
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:07 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:23: Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:51: Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:45: Kenny Potter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:50: Paul Harris run for 27 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +2.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:22: Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:18HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:20HAW 4th & 1 at SJSU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 2 at SJSU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:45HAW 4th & 1 at SJSU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:40HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:00SJSU 4th & 2 at HAW 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:49HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:33HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 46, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:48SJSU 4th & 16 at midfield, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:00HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 31, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:13SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 28, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:31SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:23SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:51SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:45SJSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07SJSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:50HAW Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:22SJSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:28HAW Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:12HAW Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2977% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+49
23.3%
Kenny Potter run for 49 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
23.3%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
23.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 12 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
23.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
23.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-5
23.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Nate Velichko) to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
23.8%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
24.1%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
24.1%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+8
24.1%
Paul Harris run for 8 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
24.2%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
24.2%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 8 yds to the Hawa 45 Ryan Tuiasoa fumbled, forced by Andre Chachere, recovered by SJSt Jimmy PruittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:0776% → 78%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
24.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 11 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
24.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+14
24.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 14 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
24.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
24.0%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
24.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for no gain to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
22.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
22.8%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+3
22.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
22.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:3078% → 84%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
22.0%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+9
22.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
22.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Julian Gener) to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
21.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 17
OWN 28
+9
22.0%
Thomas Tucker run for 9 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
21.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy Freeman, broken up by Simon PotiSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+27
21.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 27 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
15.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:4417% → 17%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
17.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 25 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
17.7%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
17.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+7
17.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 7 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
17.2%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
17.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 7 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
17.5%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
17.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Nick OregliaSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
17.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:3784% → 89%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
16.2%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
16.3%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+5
16.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+7
16.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
16.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
15.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
16.2%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+32
16.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 32 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.2%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8INT
17 plays · 65 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.6%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
10.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
10.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
11.2%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+9
11.0%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
11.8%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
11.8%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
11.5%
Justin Vele run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
12.1%
Justin Vele run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-2
11.8%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tony Popovich for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
11.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 10 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
11.4%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 5 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
12.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-5
12.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dejon Allen) to the SJSt 18Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+8
11.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Harold Moleni for 8 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
11.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted, touchback. Andre Chachere return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:3390% → 95%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
10.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
10.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
10.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
10.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
10.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Thomas Tucker, broken up by Ka'aumoana GiffordSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+23
10.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 23 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
9.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 18 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
9.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 16 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
6.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 8 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Brad Kuh for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:104% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.0%
Paul Harris run for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
4.1%
Paul Harris run for 36 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
4.7%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
6.8%
Paul Harris run for 27 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:096% → 3%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
50
+2
6.4%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-7
6.2%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
2.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
2.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:0496% → 99%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
4.3%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+15
4.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
4.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-10
3.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Shane Smith) to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-6
4.1%
Kenny Potter sacked by Kennedy Tulimasealii for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+35
4.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 35 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
3.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
4.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
2.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Lance Williams) to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
2.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 3 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+18
2.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 18 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
1.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 4 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:481% → 2%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
1.0%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
1.0%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-10
1.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+77
1.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 77 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:2299% → 99%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
1.4%
Malik Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+16
1.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 16 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.3%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
1.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Nate Velichko) to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
1.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 1 yd to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+16
1.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 16 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
1.3%
Malik Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
0.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-4
0.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by David Manoa for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 47
+2
0.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 40 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Hawa 15 Nick Nelson fumbled, recovered by Hawa Nick NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:191% → 0%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
0.7%
Paul Harris run for 17 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
0.8%
Paul Harris run for 11 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
0.8%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Dakari MonroeSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 54 yds, downed at the SJSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17SF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:52100% → 99%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
0.5%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
0.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
0.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (Kenny Potter) to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 11
OWN 1
-1
0.6%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
0.3%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (RJ Hollis) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+2
0.3%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+2
0.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 2 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 16
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens, broken up by Maurice McKnightSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
0.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+4
0.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
0.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 36 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Jarrod Lawson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-2
0.3%
Jarrod Lawson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-9
0.3%
Kenny Potter sacked by Nick Nelson for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 16
50
0
0.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+18
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 18 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
0.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Ben Clarke) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.2%
Malik Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
0.2%
Joe Gray run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
0.2%
Joe Gray pass complete to Matt Spadaro for 2 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+2
0.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:440% → 1%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+16
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 16 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 13 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
0.1%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 5 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+12
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 12 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
0.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 6 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
0.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 5 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
0.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:51
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 9:45
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q1 6:23
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com