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FRES

Fresno State 42 at Hawai'i 14

HAW
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:35: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Chad Olsen for 22 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +7.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:44: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 28 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +12.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:58: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +13.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:11: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 6 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +7.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:51: Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +8.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:51FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00HAW 4th & 7 at FRES 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00FRES 4th & 8 at FRES 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:37HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:26FRES 4th & 5 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:55HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:47HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 19, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:43HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:36FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:33HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−3.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FRES 4th & 12 at FRES 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:42FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:36FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:03HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:56FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:37HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 48, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:37HAW 4th & 10 at FRES 19, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:25FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:03HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:35FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:44FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58FRES Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:11FRES Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:51HAW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:49FRES Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
61.9%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
61.9%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+7
61.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Jeff Camilli return for 7 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
61.7%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
61.7%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
61.7%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 1
OPP 11
-1
61.7%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 2
OPP 12
-3
61.8%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5062% → 62%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
61.8%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
61.8%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
61.9%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
61.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Isaiah Bernard, broken up by Jamal EllisSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+33
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Melvin Davis for 33 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
62.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
62.2%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
62.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
61.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
61.4%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
61.4%
Zack Greenlee run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
61.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Garrett Swanson punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.5%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
61.5%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
61.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Tyquwan GlassSimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
60.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Da'Mari Scott at the FrsSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
61.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 25 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
60.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
60.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Dustin GarrisonSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+7
61.0%
Zack Greenlee run for 7 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-7
61.1%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Julian Gener for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 4:55
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
61.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 44 yds, downed at the FrsSt 9Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
61.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
61.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 3:4439% → 47%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
61.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Chad Olsen for 20 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
61.0%
Jamire Jordan run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-5
60.5%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Julian Gener and Kory Rasmussen for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+15
61.5%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (Nick Nelson) to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Chad OlsenSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.5%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
60.8%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (David Manoa) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
60.0%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
60.1%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
59.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 20 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josiah Blandin for 2 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2255% → 63%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.3%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+33
55.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 18 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal helmet contact (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
57.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
57.5%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
56.8%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
57.5%
Paul Harris run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
63.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 14 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:2840% → 48%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Dustin Garrison run for no gain to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
60.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Chad Olsen for 16 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
59.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Daniel Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
59.5%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (Ka'aumoana Gifford) to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
58.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+7
58.4%
Dustin Garrison run for 7 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
58.2%
Dustin Garrison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
58.2%
Dustin Garrison run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 0
+15
58.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (15 Yards) to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
51.8%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Chad Olsen for 22 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:4354% → 51%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
54.0%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-5
54.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
54.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+2
51.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+5
51.2%
FRESNO ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+66
51.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 56 yds FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:1248% → 63%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
52.3%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Julian Gener) to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
51.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
51.4%
Marteze Waller run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
50.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
50.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Delvon HardawaySimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+12
50.8%
Zack Greenlee run for 12 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Chad OlsenSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
50.1%
Zack Greenlee run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+9
50.1%
Marteze Waller run for 9 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
49.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
49.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott, broken up by Ne'Quan PhillipsSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+28
37.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 28 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:5738% → 40%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
38.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+14
38.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 14 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
38.4%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
38.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens, broken up by Charles WashingtonSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
38.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
39.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 51 yds, downed at the FrsSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
41.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Chad Olsen for 18 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
39.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
39.8%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
40.8%
Garrett Swanson punt for 47 yds , Dylan Collie returns for no gain to the Hawa 9 Dylan Collie fumbled, recovered by Hawa Jamal MayoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:4837% → 35%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
37.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Asotui Eli) to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
37.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+4
37.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 4 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 9
-6
36.7%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Ejiro Ederaine for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 16
OWN 3
0
34.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:2768% → 81%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
32.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 23 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
18.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
26.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+6
27.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 6 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
26.9%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Justin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
19.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Mitchell) to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
19.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 8 yds to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
19.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Delvon HardawaySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
20.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
23.7%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+51
23.5%
Max Wittek pass intercepted Ejiro Ederaine return for 51 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4284% → 92%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
15.6%
Jamire Jordan run for 8 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
15.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+4
15.6%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
15.6%
Jamire Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
15.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josiah Blandin, broken up by Jalen RogersSimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 6 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:4810% → 10%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
9.6%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
9.2%
Paul Harris run for 14 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
10.2%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
9.9%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+18
8.5%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dakota Torres for 18 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
9.7%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
9.4%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
9.4%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dakota Torres for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
9.7%
Max Wittek pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 12 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-3
10.4%
Max Wittek pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for a loss of 3 yards Devan Stubblefield fumbled, forced by Kyrie Wilson, recovered by FrsSt Todd HuntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:1896% → 96%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
4.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
4.4%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
4.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-4
4.2%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+8
4.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Daniel Lewis Jr.Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
4.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Justin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
3.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Dustin GarrisonSimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+17
3.8%
Garrett Swanson punt for 44 yds , Makoa Camanse-Stevens returns for 17 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:009% → 12%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
8.6%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah Bernard, broken up by Malcolm WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
8.3%
Paul Harris run for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
8.9%
Max Wittek pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
8.6%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+22
8.5%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 22 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
10.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
9.9%
Melvin Davis run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+19
9.9%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 19 yds to the FrsSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
11.5%
Max Wittek pass intercepted, touchback. Tyquwan Glass return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.5%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
2.5%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
2.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josiah Blandin for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-5
2.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
3.0%
Garrett Swanson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dylan Collie at the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:393% → 11%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
2.6%
Paul Harris run for 8 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+31
2.5%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 31 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
3.1%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
3.0%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
3.1%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 9Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+8
3.1%
Melvin Davis run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.1%
Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0297% → 99%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.8%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 12 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Delvon HardawaySimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
2.7%
Dustin Garrison run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+64
0.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 64 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:462% → 1%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.9%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.0%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Jamal EllisSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
1.9%
Paul Harris run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
1.9%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
1.2%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the FrsSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28DOWNS
18 plays · 82 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
1.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
1.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+4
1.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
1.1%
Zack Greenlee run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+18
1.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 18 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
1.0%
Dustin Garrison run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
1.0%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+10
1.0%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 10 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 7 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+16
1.0%
Kilton Anderson run for 16 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 1 yd to the Hawa 2Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.4%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29DOWNS
16 plays · 80 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
0.1%
Melvin Davis run for 7 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+5
0.1%
Melvin Davis run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.1%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+18
0.1%
Melvin Davis run for 18 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+20
0.1%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.1%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah Bernard, broken up by Malcolm WashingtonSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.1%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dakota Torres for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-7
0.1%
Max Wittek sacked by Brandon Hughes for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+23
0.1%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 23 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Malcolm WashingtonSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
0.2%
Max Wittek pass complete to Ryan Tuiasoa for 10 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Metuisela 'Unga, broken up by Malcolm WashingtonSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 10
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Max Wittek run for no gain to the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)
-13.5
TD · Q2 5:44
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 28 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 0:51
Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com