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HAW

Hawai'i 21 at UNLV 41

UNLV
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:31: Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 85 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +10.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:56: Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +14.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:44: Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +16.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:46: M. Davis run for 3 yds for a TD,UNLV penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (R. Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +20.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:09: Lexington Thomas 3 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +10.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01HAW 4th & 3 at UNLV 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:46UNLV 4th & 2 at HAW 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 4 at UNLV 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:06HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:24UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:47HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:01HAW 4th & 3 at UNLV 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54UNLV 4th & 3 at HAW 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:54UNLV 4th & 8 at HAW 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:38HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:53UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 30, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:35HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 5 at HAW 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:47UNLV 4th & 10 at HAW 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−5.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:50HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:10HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 33, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:19UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:04HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:31UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:56HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:44UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:46HAW Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:09UNLV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:10UNLV Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
65.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-2
65.8%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
65.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
65.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 3:3166% → 68%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
65.7%
Keith Whitely run for 8 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+8
65.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
65.7%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
65.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
65.8%
Blake Decker run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+19
65.8%
Kurt Palandech run for 19 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
65.9%
Keith Whitely run for 37 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
66.8%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35 Paul Harris fumbled, recovered by UNLV Mike Hughes Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
67.6%
Blake Decker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 37 Blake Decker fumbled, forced by Lance Williams, recovered by Hawa Lance WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
66.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 11 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
66.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 8
50
+5
66.5%
Melvin Davis run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
66.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
66.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
67.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
67.3%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
67.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+47
66.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Tim Hough return for no gain to the UNLV 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
68.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
68.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
68.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 9 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-1
68.2%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
68.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
67.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 35 yds, downed at the Hawa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:5932% → 31%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
68.3%
Melvin Davis run for 9 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+2
68.2%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
68.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 10 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.2%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
67.5%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
67.9%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
67.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
67.4%
Paul Harris run for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
67.2%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-9
67.2%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+15
69.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 15 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
69.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
70.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
70.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
70.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
70.0%
Logan Yunker punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
70.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 1 yd to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
70.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
70.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+7
71.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 38 yds , Keith Whitely returns for 7 yds to the UNLV 27 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
71.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
71.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-10
71.2%
DECKER, Blake rush for 5 yards to the 50 yardline (POTI, Simon), PENALTY LV holding (KREITLER, Will) 10 yards to the LV35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+12
70.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
70.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:1029% → 41%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.7%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
70.5%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
70.6%
HARRIS, Paul rush for no gain to the UH29 (VALOAGA, J.), PENALTY LV offside (MOUTON, Darius) 5 yards to the UH34, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
70.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
69.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
70.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 5 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
69.5%
Paul Harris run for 12 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
68.9%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete to STUBBLEFIELD, D, PENALTY LV pass interference (MCTYER, Torry) 15 yards to the LV29, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
68.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+34
58.7%
Paul Harris run for 34 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
64.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 22 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
66.4%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
65.4%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Jalen Rogers return for no gain to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
58.9%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
59.1%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
60.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Ryan McAleenanSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
61.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 49 yds, downed at the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:5064% → 74%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
63.9%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+5
63.8%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+2
63.1%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
73.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 85 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:2227% → 27%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
73.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Paul Harris for 25 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
71.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
71.6%
Paul Harris run for 9 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-2
70.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
72.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1874% → 74%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
74.1%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to CRISWELL, Aaron, PENALTY LV holding (SANDERS,J.) 10 yards to the LV10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+10
73.9%
Keith Whitely run for 10 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
73.9%
Blake Decker run for 8 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 7:0073% → 80%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
73.3%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+14
73.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 14 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
73.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 7 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
75.2%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
75.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
75.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 10 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
75.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
75.5%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-1
74.8%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+6
73.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 6 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
75.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 15 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
75.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
75.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
74.9%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Andrew Price, broken up by Jason MuraokaSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
79.9%
Nicolai Bornand 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:5120% → 39%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
79.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+72
79.9%
Paul Harris run for 72 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
76.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 4 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
76.0%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.1%
Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
81.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
80.2%
Paul Harris run for 8 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
79.1%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-2
80.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+2
81.4%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Keith Whitely returns for 2 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
82.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
82.2%
David Greene run for 9 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
82.2%
David Greene run for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
81.3%
Logan Yunker punt for 46 yds, downed at the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
82.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Paul HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
83.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete, broken up by Salanoa-Alo WilySimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+7
83.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 51 yds , Keith Whitely returns for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0584% → 85%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
83.9%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
83.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+7
84.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 7 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.9%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Andrew PriceSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
83.9%
Blake Decker run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 40 yds, downed at the Hawa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
85.3%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 14 Paul Harris fumbled, forced by Ryan McAleenan, recovered by UNLV Jeremiah ValoagaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5186% → 93%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
86.2%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
86.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
85.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Jalen RogersSimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
92.5%
Nicolai Bornand 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:5310% → 33%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
89.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 16 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
88.7%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Jeremiah Valoaga for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+55
90.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 55 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
86.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 15 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.6%
M. Davis run for 3 yds for a TD,UNLV penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (R. Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3783% → 96%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 19
OPP 39
+20
84.0%
Keith Whitely run for 20 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
82.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
84.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 32 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
85.3%
WHITELY, Keith rush for 5 yards to the UH25, PENALTY LV holding (SAXELID, Kyle) 10 yards to the UH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+1
84.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
85.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
85.3%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to PRESLEY, B., PENALTY UH holding (GENER, Julian) 7 yards to the UH7, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
85.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
Lexington Thomas 3 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:138% → 7%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
92.4%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass complete to STUBBLEFIELD, D for 6 yards to the UH39 (MCTYER, Torry), PENALTY UH holding (ELI, Asotui) 10 yards to the UH23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 20
OWN 23
0
93.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Melvin Davis, broken up by Jeremiah ValoagaSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 20
OWN 23
0
93.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Torry McTyer HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+19
93.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Simon Poti for 19 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
92.6%
Melvin Davis run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 31TD
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:3497% → 100%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
96.8%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
96.7%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-2
96.7%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+15
96.3%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.8%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-1
96.8%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+6
98.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
98.1%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
K. Whitely run for 7 yds for a TD, (N. Bornand KICK)Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
99.6%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lance Williams) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 18 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
99.5%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 33 Ikaika Woolsey fumbled, recovered by Hawa Ikaika Woolsey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 20
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Isaiah Bernard, broken up by Jeremiah ValoagaSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 20
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Makoa Camanse-StevensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 13
OPP 36
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:46
M. Davis run for 3 yds for a TD,UNLV penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (R. Sanchez KICK)
-20
TD · Q3 5:44
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 5:56
Melvin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com