Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 27 at New Mexico 28

UNM
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · University Stadium (NM)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior+8.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: Paul Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +9.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:45: Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 27 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK) — HAW win probability +11.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:53: Lamar Jordan pass complete to David Anaya for 11 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +14.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 12:59: Rigoberto Sanchez 47 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +9.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:55: Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +56.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:09HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:42HAW 4th & 11 at UNM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at HAW 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:49UNM 4th & 30 at HAW 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:52UNM 4th & 7 at HAW 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:53HAW 4th & 9 at UNM 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:05UNM 4th & 1 at HAW 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−6.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:59HAW 4th & 5 at UNM 30, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:59UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:57HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:03UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:14HAW 4th & 5 at UNM 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−8.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:20HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:09UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:05UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:33HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:45HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:53UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:55UNM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−7.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4038% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 2 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 11 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 10 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 13 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 18 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
61.7%
Paul Harris run for 8 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
61.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
61.7%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.3%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.5%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
61.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
61.6%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+62
61.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 57 yds, downed at the NEWMEXICO 11 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 88 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+24
61.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 14 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (Kory Rasmussen) to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
61.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
61.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
62.1%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
62.1%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
62.0%
David Anaya run for 4 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
62.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for 33 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
62.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
62.0%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 6 Lamar Jordan fumbled, forced by Kennedy Tulimasealii, recovered by Hawa Kennedy TulimasealiiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:2839% → 41%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
61.2%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
61.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Isaiah BernardSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+38
61.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 38 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
60.0%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+20
60.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 20 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
59.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
59.6%
Paul Harris run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-7
59.9%
Ikaika Woolsey sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
59.3%
Rigoberto Sanchez 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
19 plays · 82 yds · 7:3659% → 67%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
59.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
58.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
58.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
59.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 9 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
60.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
60.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
60.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
60.7%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+2
60.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
60.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Chris Davis for 4 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
60.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
61.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
60.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+5
59.9%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
61.3%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-9
61.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (-9 Yards) to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
61.3%
Romell Jordan run for 6 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:2737% → 50%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
63.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 11 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
63.0%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+2
63.7%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+10
64.3%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 10 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
62.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
61.6%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
50
+46
61.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 46 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.0%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.9%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
55.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+18
54.5%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Chris Davis for 18 yds Chris Davis fumbled, forced by Dany Mulanga, recovered by Hawa Jamal MayoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:1149% → 61%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
50.8%
Paul Harris run for 13 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.4%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Metuisela 'UngaSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
50.5%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+7
50.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Steven Lakalaka for 7 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
38.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 27 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 0:5640% → 41%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
41.8%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-4
41.3%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Simon Poti for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+37
39.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 37 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-17
44.7%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Jahlani Tavai and Simon Poti for a loss of 17 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 27
OPP 44
0
42.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Marquis BundySimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 27
OPP 44
0
42.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, intentional grounding (Lamar Jordan) to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 27
OPP 44
-3
41.4%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Makani Kema-Kaleiwahea for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 30
OPP 47
0
41.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 33 yds, downed at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
42.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
39.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+11
39.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 11 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
40.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Bryan Oldenkamp) to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+20
39.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 20 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
41.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Bryan Oldenkamp) to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
42.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Reece WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
42.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
41.8%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
39.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 34 yds, downed at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
38.5%
Paul Harris run for 20 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
37.5%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
37.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+41
38.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Lee Crosby return for 26 yds to the NEWMEXICO 43 NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lee Crosby) to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:5540% → 55%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
40.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
40.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
40.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+6
40.4%
Romell Jordan run for 6 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
40.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
40.4%
Romell Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 11Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
55.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to David Anaya for 11 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.1%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
50.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Isaiah Bernard for 11 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
46.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+1
45.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 1 yd to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
45.7%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
46.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
49.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis at the NMex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
49.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-3
49.4%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 6 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMexSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+17
47.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 17 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
49.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
49.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
48.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
50.5%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (Ka'aumoana Gifford) to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+9
54.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 9 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
54.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
54.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
54.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-4
52.2%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2558% → 68%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
41.8%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+15
41.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cranston Jones) to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
39.8%
Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
39.3%
Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
41.1%
Ikaika Woolsey run for no gain to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
31.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
41.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
40.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
37.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+10
37.4%
Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 10 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
27.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
27.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Lee CrosbySimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
27.5%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
30.0%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 39 yds, downed at the NMex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 30%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
33.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Carlos Wiggins) to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+8
33.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 8 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-1
33.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
31.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
30.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 51 yds , Nick Nelson returns for no gain to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21MISSED FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 6:1374% → 91%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
25.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
24.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 9 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
23.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
23.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+13
24.1%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 13 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
23.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
22.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
23.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
22.3%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 9 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+12
22.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for 12 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.3%
Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
9.1%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Steven LakalakaSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
9.5%
Rigoberto Sanchez 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:1922% → 83%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
22.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 8 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
24.2%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Reece WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
22.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Romell Jordan for 3 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
23.2%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Romell Jordan for 8 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
26.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins, broken up by Jamal MayoSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+11
25.1%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
50
+10
27.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (Ne'Quan Phillips) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
28.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
28.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Carlos WigginsSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+12
25.7%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 12 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
82.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23INT
11 plays · -4 yds · 0:4533% → 27%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
62.6%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dakota Torres for 4 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
63.6%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-5
61.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (John Wa'a) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-5
67.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (RJ Hollis) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 17
OWN 31
-10
69.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Dejon Allen) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 27
OWN 21
+3
73.2%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Lee Crosby return for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
88.6%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:55
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+56.8
TD · Q3 7:53
Lamar Jordan pass complete to David Anaya for 11 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q2 1:45
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Dylan Collie for 27 yds for a TD, (Rigoberto Sanchez KICK)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com