Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 0 at Boise State 55

BOIS
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:33 · Sean Wale punt for 32 yds, downed at the Hawa 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense+33.4Score differential+29.3Blowout margin+15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.7Garbage-time factor+11.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:25: Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 54 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:11: Jeremy McNichols run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:36: Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:44: Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:59: Kelsey Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 11HAW made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:06BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:02BOIS 4th & 12 at HAW 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:34HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:11HAW 4th & 2 at BOIS 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:36HAW 4th & 6 at BOIS 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:44BOIS 4th & 1 at HAW 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:44HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:21BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:46HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:56HAW 4th & 5 at BOIS 39, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:08BOIS 4th & 4 at HAW 6, up 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:08HAW 4th & 8 at BOIS 35, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:29BOIS 4th & 5 at HAW 49, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:38HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 20, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:49BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 45, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:10HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 24, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00BOIS 4th & 10 at HAW 39, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:17BOIS 4th & 10 at HAW 19, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:33BOIS 4th & 6 at HAW 46, up 55
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:38HAW 4th & 12 at BOIS 48, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:14BOIS 4th & 6 at HAW 31, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:25BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:11BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:36BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:44BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:46BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:59BOIS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:04BOIS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
92.6%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Quinton PedrozaSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
92.6%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 14 , Donte Deayon returns for 4 yds to the BoiSt 31 BOISE ST Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
92.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
92.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Brett Rypien run for no gain to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
92.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.4%
Sean Wale punt for 52 yds , Nick Nelson returns for no gain to the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
91.7%
Paul Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
91.7%
Max Wittek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
91.7%
Max Wittek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 13
+11
91.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 52 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
92.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 54 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Max Wittek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Max Wittek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.0%
Max Wittek pass intercepted Donte Deayon return for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
92.0%
Devan Demas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
50
+7
92.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 7 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
92.1%
Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
92.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
92.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Shane Williams-Rhodes) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
91.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
91.8%
Sean Wale punt for 25 yds, downed at the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
91.6%
HARRIS, Paul rush over right guard for 5 yards to the UH25 (DEAYON, Donte), PENALTY UH false start (PEDROZA, Q.) 5 yards to the UH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
91.6%
Paul Harris run for 7 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
91.6%
Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus KempSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+1
91.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 42 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0092% → 93%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-4
91.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+13
91.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 13 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
91.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 12 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
91.7%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 24 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.3%
Quinton Pedroza run for no gain to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.2%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
92.1%
Paul Harris run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
92.0%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dylan Collie for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
92.1%
Max Wittek sacked by Tyler Horn for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+16
92.2%
Max Wittek pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 16 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
92.0%
Paul Harris run for no gain to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
92.1%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Justin TaimatuiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2993% → 95%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
92.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
92.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
92.7%
RYPIEN, Brett post pass incomplete to ANDERSON, Chaz (ROGERS, Jalen), PENALTY UH pass interference (ROGERS, Jalen) 14 yards to the UH33, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
92.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+14
92.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 14 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
92.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.7%
Melvin Davis run for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
94.8%
Max Wittek run for no gain to the Hawa 47 Max Wittek fumbled, forced by Kamalei Correa, recovered by Hawa Max Wittek for a 1ST down , return for 12 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Melvin Davis run for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
94.7%
Max Wittek pass complete to Dylan Collie for 9 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
94.5%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Darian ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
94.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
94.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:1595% → 98%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+51
95.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 51 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
95.5%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 1 yd to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-1
95.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+4
95.3%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (Kennedy Tulimasealii) to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
97.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
97.7%
Max Wittek run for 1 yd to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Dylan CollieSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
98.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Sean Wale punt for 52 yds , Nick Nelson returns for no gain to the Hawa 36 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Jerrol Garcia-Williams) to the Hawa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
98.5%
Max Wittek pass intercepted Darian Thompson return for no gain to the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:3598% → 99%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
98.6%
Akilian Butler run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.7%
WITTEK, Max pass complete to STUBBLEFIELD, D for 6 yards to the UH31, PENALTY UH pass interference (STUBBLEFIELD, D) 12 yards to the UH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
98.7%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Donte DeayonSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+6
98.7%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+16
98.7%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 56 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 16 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:3399% → 99%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.7%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
98.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
98.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+15
98.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 15 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+12
98.7%
Kelsey Young run for 12 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.2%
Max Wittek pass complete to Paul Harris for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.2%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
99.1%
Max Wittek pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Darian ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Max Wittek pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Steven Lakalaka run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Max Wittek pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 17 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.4%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
99.4%
RYPIEN, Brett pass intercepted by CASTRO, Jeremy at the UH33, CASTRO, Jeremy return to the UH47, out-of-bounds (ROH, Jake), PENALTY UH roughing passer (RASMUSSEN, Kory) 15 yards to the UH27, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 12 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.6%
Steven Lakalaka run for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:52100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+10
99.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 10 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 11 yds to the BOISEST 49 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 9
OWN 41
+13
99.5%
Kelsey Young run for 13 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 8 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+11
99.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 11 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.5%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+11
99.5%
Kelsey Young run for 11 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.5%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
99.5%
Akilian Butler run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+1
99.5%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
99.7%
Tyler Rausa 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
WOOLSEY, Ikaika pass incomplete to KEMP, Marcus (MOXEY, Jonathan), PENALTY BSU roughing passer (TAIMATUIA, J.) 15 yards to the UH40, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
99.8%
Melvin Davis run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Melvin Davis run for no gain to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Melvin Davis run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
99.7%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+2
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Sean Wale punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Melvin Davis for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 48 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Thomas Stuart run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 6
50
-5
99.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Thomas Stuart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Sean Wale punt for 44 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 11 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Melvin Davis run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+40
99.9%
Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 55 yds , Kelsey Young returns for 40 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Thomas Stuart run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Thomas Stuart pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Sean Wale punt for 20 yds, downed at the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Melvin Davis run for 1 yd to the Hawa 19 Melvin Davis fumbled, forced by Mercy Maston, recovered by BoiSt Leighton Vander EschSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 30FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Akilian Butler for 4 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Cory Young run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Cory Young run for 1 yd to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
99.9%
Tyler Rausa 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 4 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass intercepted Darren Lee return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Cory Young run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Cory Young run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Cory Young run for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Sean Wale punt for 32 yds, downed at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 33DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 9 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 1 yd to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 1
50
+4
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Jabril FrazierSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
Ryan Tuiasoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Ikaika Woolsey pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Raymond FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 34END OF GAME
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
100.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 17 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Alex Ogle run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+22
100.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 22 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:36
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 9:44
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q1 5:11
Jeremy McNichols run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com