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FAU

Florida Atlantic 33 at Old Dominion 31

ODU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:55: Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +7.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:49: Shuler Bentley run for 26 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +10.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:36: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 49 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +19.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 4:16: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +18.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:26: Greg Joseph 29 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +19.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11FAU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at FAU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.9%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:37ODU 4th & 2 at FAU 26, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:09ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:38ODU 4th & 4 at FAU 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:35FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.7%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:10FAU 4th & 4 at ODU 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:03ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:58FAU 4th & 3 at ODU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−2.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15FAU 4th & 5 at ODU 32, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:50FAU 4th & 5 at ODU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−8.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:10FAU 4th & 3 at ODU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−10.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−6.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:52FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:06ODU 4th & 22 at ODU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−8.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:15FAU 4th & 8 at ODU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−3.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:15ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−3.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:54FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:26FAU 4th & 1 at ODU 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−20.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:26ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 19, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−3.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:04FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.2%−5.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:42FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 47, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:59ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:23FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:09FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:55FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:12ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:49ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:36ODU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:16ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Trevon ColeySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+12
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 12 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
31.5%
Shuler Bentley run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
31.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:1668% → 69%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
32.3%
Jay Warren run for 9 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
32.2%
Jay Warren run for 8 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
32.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+1
32.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+13
32.2%
Jay Warren run for 13 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
32.2%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
32.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+16
32.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 16 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.5%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:4032% → 34%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
32.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+16
32.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 16 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
32.7%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 12
50
0
32.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 12
50
+16
32.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 16 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
32.9%
Shuler Bentley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
32.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
32.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+43
34.4%
Chris Kirtley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
33.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
34.0%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+4
34.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
34.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 53 yds , Marques Little returns for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
34.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jeremy Cox for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
34.1%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
33.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Sharrod NeasmanSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+5
33.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 39 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 5 yds to the FlAtl 16 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Herb Miller) to the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:5366% → 70%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
33.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 15 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
33.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
33.3%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
33.3%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+9
33.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Calvain Holmes for 9 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
29.6%
Marcus Clark run for 15 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:0430% → 29%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
30.2%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+15
30.2%
BENTLEY, Shuler pass intercepted by AL-SHAAIR, Azee at the ODU41, AL-SHAAIR, Azee return to the ODU19, fumble forced by Team, fumble by AL-SHAAIR, Azee recovered by FAU LEGGETT, Steven at ODU25, PENALTY FAU roughing passer 15 yards to the ODU44, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
30.8%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
30.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Ocie RoseSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-6
30.2%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
29.3%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
29.9%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+10
30.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 10 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
29.7%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
29.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-4
30.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, intentional grounding (Jaquez Johnson) to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+32
30.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass intercepted Tj Ricks return for 17 yds to the FlAtl 47 OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
30.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
30.8%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
30.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+1
29.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 1 yd to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:2572% → 77%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
28.1%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
28.3%
Jay Warren run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
27.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+24
28.2%
Jay Warren run for 24 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
27.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 10 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
27.3%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
27.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+17
27.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Nate Terry for 17 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
27.2%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
27.2%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
27.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
22.9%
Greg Joseph 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
23.5%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Brandin Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+4
23.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-6
22.9%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+7
22.8%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 37 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:0379% → 90%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
21.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 7
50
+4
21.5%
Marcus Clark run for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+12
22.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 12 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
21.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 7 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
21.2%
Marcus Clark run for 5 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
21.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 17 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
18.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
18.3%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4314% → 22%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.7%
Shuler Bentley run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
14.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
50
+5
14.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+45
22.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 45 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
17.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:3780% → 81%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+34
19.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 34 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
18.7%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
18.6%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
18.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Bunmi RotimiSimilar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
19.2%
Greg Joseph 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2621% → 33%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
20.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 17 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
22.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 20 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
22.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
22.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+26
33.3%
Shuler Bentley run for 26 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:5672% → 76%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
28.1%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
27.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 8 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
26.8%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
26.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 6 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
26.3%
Marcus Clark run for 7 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
26.1%
Marcus Clark run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
26.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 6 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
25.9%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to STOSHAK, Jenson (ADDISON, B.), PENALTY ODU pass interference (ADDISON, B.) 15 yards to the ODU18, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
25.8%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
25.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+3
26.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
24.0%
Greg Joseph 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:0924% → 44%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
23.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
24.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
24.1%
BENTLEY, Shuler pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY FAU holding (MILLER, Herb) 10 yards to the ODU43, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
25.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+49
44.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 49 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
37.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass intercepted Fellonte Misher return for 8 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:0646% → 64%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
46.1%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
46.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 1 yd to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
64.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 66 yds · 0:0042% → 45%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
57.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 17 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+42
55.4%
Jay Warren run for 42 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
51.1%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
51.1%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
52.8%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 3
OPP 11
0
54.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4762% → 61%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
62.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
62.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+14
60.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
63.0%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
62.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-3
60.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 44 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
59.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jenson Stoshak) to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
60.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
61.4%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
63.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
64.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 55 yds, downed at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:0065% → 61%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
64.8%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Nate Ozdemir for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 17
OWN 21
-1
63.8%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Trey Hendrickson and Hunter Snyder for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 18
OWN 20
-5
62.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Connor Mewbourne) to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 23
OWN 15
-5
62.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Connor Mewbourne) to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 28
OWN 10
+6
62.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 22
OWN 16
+3
61.2%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 40 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2942% → 44%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
58.0%
Jason Driskel run for 20 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
55.4%
Marcus Clark run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-8
55.6%
Jason Driskel sacked by Tj Ricks for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+9
62.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey for 9 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
56.0%
Greg Joseph 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
Shuler Bentley run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
59.9%
Shuler Bentley run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
60.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Nate OzdemirSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
57.2%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
57.6%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
56.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
58.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+12
61.2%
Dalton Schomp punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 24 , Marques Little returns for 12 yds to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
60.8%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 21 Shuler Bentley fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Trey Hendrickson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2552% → 68%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
48.3%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
48.3%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+7
51.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 7 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
32.2%
Greg Joseph 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0043% → 38%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.1%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
42.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Ray LawrySimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
40.3%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
38.4%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:2272% → 80%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
28.4%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
27.9%
Jay Warren run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
26.7%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+3
29.2%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
26.4%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
15.4%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
16.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 7
OWN 47
+6
19.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 46 yds , Marques Little returns for 6 yds to the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:2837% → 25%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+20
36.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Kesean Strong for 20 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
38.1%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
37.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Ray LawrySimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
35.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
25.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
10.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-2
10.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:36
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 49 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+19.1
FG · Q4 5:26
Greg Joseph 29 yd FG GOOD
-19
TD · Q3 4:16
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com