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UTEP

UTEP 21 at Old Dominion 31

ODU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:11 · Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Marques Little returns for 1 yd to the ODU 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+15.3Pregame prior+1.4Garbage-time factor+2.7Score differential+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:12: Ray Lawry run for 42 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +5.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:04: Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTEP win probability +14.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:06: David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 26 yds for a TD UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +15.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:02: David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +16.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:02: Jeremy Cox run for 42 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 4:18ODU 4th & 3 at UTEP 6, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−2.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:19UTEP 4th & 4 at ODU 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:12UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:00ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09UTEP 4th & 4 at ODU 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:19ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 18, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 36, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:20UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 39, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 36, up 2
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:17UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:26ODU 4th & 13 at midfield, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:30UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 20, down 2
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at ODU 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:56ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 24, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:11UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:45ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 36, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:44ODU 4th & 4 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 9:55UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:12ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:04UTEP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06ODU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:02ODU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:02ODU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:09UTEP Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:0541% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
58.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 12 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
58.8%
Darrin Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+11
58.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cole Freytag for 11 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
58.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+19
58.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 19 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
58.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
58.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
58.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 5 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
58.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
57.5%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Tyler Batson for 7 yds for a TD, (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 86 yds · 5:3258% → 58%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
57.9%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+18
57.9%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 18 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
58.0%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 11 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
58.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
58.4%
David Washington run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+14
58.4%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 14 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
58.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+13
58.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 13 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
58.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
58.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 12 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
58.8%
David Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+10
58.8%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 10 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
58.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Marques Little, broken up by Da'Carlos RenfroSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
58.0%
Chris Kirtley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:4844% → 45%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
56.4%
Darrin Laufasa run for 10 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
56.4%
Darrin Laufasa run for 7 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+6
56.4%
Darrin Laufasa run for 6 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
56.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
56.4%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete, broken up by Tim WardSimilar
Q1 1:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
56.2%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
54.6%
Jay Mattox 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:0156% → 62%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
55.9%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
56.5%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
56.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
57.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
57.3%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Da'Carlos RenfroSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+42
62.3%
Ray Lawry run for 42 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 14:12
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
60.5%
Alan Luna punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
60.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.9%
Warren Redix run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
60.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
60.3%
Mack Leftwich sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for 0 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
59.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Tj RicksSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
59.9%
UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4661% → 61%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
61.1%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 10 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
61.5%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
61.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
61.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
61.2%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
60.5%
Darrin Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
59.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 6 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
59.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
60.2%
Mack Leftwich run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
59.2%
Tk Powell run for 4 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
58.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cole Freytag for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
59.0%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Justice DavilaSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
60.0%
Mack Leftwich punt for 23 yds, downed at the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-12
63.5%
David Washington sacked by Lawrence Montegut for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 22
OWN 11
+4
63.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 18
OWN 15
+3
62.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
61.9%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 33 yds, downed at the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:2041% → 56%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
59.3%
Darrin Laufasa run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-1
58.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+13
59.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 13 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
58.0%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Cole Freytag, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
58.1%
Darrin Laufasa run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+20
59.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 20 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
44.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:5850% → 67%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.5%
David Washington run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
50.2%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
49.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
51.5%
David Washington pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-5
49.8%
David Washington sacked by Roy Robertson-Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+23
46.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 23 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
51.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jeremy CoxSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
66.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 26 yds for a TD UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.4%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
63.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
64.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-3
62.2%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
60.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 28 yds, downed at the UTEP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
60.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
60.4%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Autrey Golden for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-2
59.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cole Ford for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
62.3%
Alan Luna punt for 33 yds, downed at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
62.4%
David Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+8
61.7%
David Washington run for 8 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+4
61.6%
David Washington pass complete to Kesean Strong for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
61.2%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 47 yds , Warren Redix returns for no gain to the UTEP 16 Warren Redix fumbled, recovered by UTEP Warren RedixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
61.6%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
62.1%
Warren Redix run for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
63.4%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Tj RicksSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
64.5%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds , Marques Little returns for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
64.0%
David Washington run for 14 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
66.2%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
65.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Kesean Strong, broken up by Da'Carlos RenfroSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
63.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 8
OPP 45
-5
62.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 13
50
0
61.1%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Warren Redix at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
61.9%
Darrin Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
62.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for 6 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
63.1%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+9
64.5%
Alan Luna punt for 60 yds , Marques Little returns for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:5063% → 84%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
62.8%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 20 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
66.0%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 12 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
66.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
66.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+4
66.0%
David Washington run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+2
63.7%
WASHINGTON, D. pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (RENFRO, D.) 2 yards to the UTEP30, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
67.6%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
66.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Marques Little, broken up by Michael LewisSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+24
63.9%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 24 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
67.6%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
84.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:5819% → 18%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
81.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 12 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
80.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
80.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+14
80.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cole Ford for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
78.8%
Darrin Laufasa run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
50
+2
79.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
80.0%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
81.6%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds, downed at the ODU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
84.4%
David Washington pass incomplete to Eri'Reon HayesSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+16
84.2%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 16 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
84.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
83.9%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+17
83.0%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 50 yds , Warren Redix returns for 17 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 13%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
84.0%
Mack Leftwich sacked by Tim Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+1
84.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
85.3%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+1
87.2%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Marques Little returns for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.4%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
86.2%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 14 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
86.7%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-4
86.5%
David Washington sacked by Jimmy Musgrave for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+8
85.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
85.7%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:089% → 7%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
90.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
92.7%
Mack Leftwich pass intercepted Fellonte Misher return for no gain to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
1 play · 42 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
97.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 42 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:483% → 7%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
97.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Tyler Batson for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+7
97.0%
Mack Leftwich run for 7 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
97.0%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 21 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
96.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 22 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.4%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
96.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+12
96.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 12 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.1%
Jaquan White 6 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:2495% → 97%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
94.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-6
95.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 49 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (Troy Butler) to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+7
94.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 7 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+4
95.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 4
50
+6
96.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 16 , Warren Redix returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 27INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
96.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
96.8%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 6 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+12
96.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 12 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
96.4%
Mack Leftwich pass intercepted Fellonte Misher return for 22 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:02
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q2 0:06
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 26 yds for a TD UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+15
TD · Q2 1:04
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com