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2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:44 · Nelson Fishback pass complete to Will Bush for 8 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior−5.5Home team on offense−53.0Score differential−46.5Garbage-time factor−18.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:55: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +4.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:16: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 54 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +3.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:54: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Marques Little 16 Yd pass from Shuler Bentley (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — ODU win probability +3.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:39: Shuler Bentley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK) — ODU win probability +3.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:35ODU 4th & 8 at WKU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:52WKU 4th & 13 at ODU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:48ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 16 at WKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:10ODU 4th & 11 at WKU 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:51ODU 4th & 4 at WKU 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:24WKU 4th & 5 at ODU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:35ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 40, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:35ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 3, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:50ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 34, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:44WKU 4th & 3 at ODU 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 1:59WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:52WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:55ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:16WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:51ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:54WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:54ODU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:57WKU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:39ODU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:56WKU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:256% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
5.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 11 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
5.5%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
5.5%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
5.5%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+7
5.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 7 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
6.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
6.6%
Ray Lawry run for 24 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
6.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
6.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
6.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
7.4%
Chris Kirtley 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:3793% → 91%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
7.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+13
7.3%
Anthony Wales run for 13 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
7.3%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+3
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+15
7.4%
COLLINS, Jake punt 46 yards to the ODU2, LITTLE, Marques return to the ODU5 (DOWLING, Nolan;JOHNSON, S.), PENALTY ODU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the ODU33, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
7.2%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
7.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 7 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+7
7.2%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
7.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 3 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
7.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-6
7.2%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
9.0%
Garrett Schwettman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
9.0%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
9.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+7
8.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 7 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
8.8%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:1891% → 92%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
9.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 24 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
9.0%
Nicholas Norris run for 24 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
9.0%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.8%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:558% → 9%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
8.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 39 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
9.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
9.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-7
9.5%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Nick Holt for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
8.7%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 27 yds, downed at the WKent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:1591% → 93%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
9.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-1
9.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+10
9.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
9.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 20 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
8.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+44
6.9%
Anthony Wales run for 44 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 6:507% → 13%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
7.3%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+8
7.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 8 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+6
7.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+17
7.3%
Ray Lawry run for 17 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
7.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
7.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+15
7.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 15 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
7.8%
Shuler Bentley run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 26 Shuler Bentley fumbled, recovered by ODU Marques Little for a 1ST down , return for 14 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
7.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+20
7.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 20 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
7.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3489% → 92%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
11.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 11 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
7.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 54 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
8.1%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
8.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+28
8.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 28 yds to the OLDDOMNION 44 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
8.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-7
8.8%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Nick Holt for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+6
8.3%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
8.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:0893% → 96%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
7.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+22
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 22 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
7.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 13 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
7.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
7.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
5.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:006% → 10%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
5.8%
Ray Lawry run for 13 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.9%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
5.8%
Ray Lawry run for 16 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
6.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 19 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.1%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
6.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:2592% → 94%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
8.0%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
7.5%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to GORSKI, Tim (RICKS, TJ), PENALTY ODU offside defense (COWARD, Rashaad) 5 yards to the WKU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 5
OWN 48
-4
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+38
7.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 38 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
7.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
7.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
7.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
6.5%
Garrett Schwettman 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
7.1%
Zach Pascal run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
7.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Kesean Strong for 6 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
7.5%
Shuler Bentley run for 2 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-12
7.7%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Nick Holt for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 29 Shuler Bentley fumbled, recovered by WKent Nick Holt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:3695% → 98%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
5.5%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+21
1.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:193% → 3%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
2.5%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
2.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Jontavious MorrisSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
2.6%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+8
2.5%
Zach Pascal run for 8 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
2.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
2.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-3
2.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
2.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 54 yds, downed at the WKent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
1.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
1.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
1.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
1.4%
Jake Collins punt for 27 yds, downed at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:313% → 6%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
2.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
2.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Tj McCollumSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+8
2.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 8 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
6.4%
Marques Little 16 Yd pass from Shuler Bentley (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:5797% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
2.7%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+14
2.6%
Anthony Wales run for 14 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
2.6%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
0.3%
Anthony Wales run for 19 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:080% → 4%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.4%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+3
0.4%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.4%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.2%
Shuler Bentley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:3898% → 100%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
2.4%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
2.4%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+16
2.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 16 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
2.4%
Nicholas Norris run for 6 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
2.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 8 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
2.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
2.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+47
0.1%
Anthony Wales run for 47 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+5
0.2%
ZIFFER, Satchel punt 36 yards to the WKU35, fair catch by TOWNER, Kylen, PENALTY WKU offside defense 5 yards to the ODU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 3
OWN 34
-2
0.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for 5 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for no gain to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+8
0.1%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Will Bush for 8 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+3
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for 3 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-2
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:55
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q4 10:39
Shuler Bentley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 5:54
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com