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ODU

Old Dominion 12 at Florida International 41

FIU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:17 · Alex McGough pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+31.4Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:24: Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +4.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:54: Ray Lawry run for 57 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley PAT BLOCKED) — ODU win probability +4.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:49: Zach Pascal run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ODU win probability +7.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:04: Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 38 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +7.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:54: Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 7:17ODU 4th & 13 at FIU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:24FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:13FIU 4th & 15 at ODU 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:50FIU 4th & 10 at ODU 15, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:50ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 20, down 8
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:25FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 48, up 8
    Close callPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:04FIU 4th & 2 at ODU 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:55ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54ODU 4th & 8 at FIU 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 28, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:41ODU 4th & 11 at FIU 11, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 20, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:44ODU 4th & 2 at FIU 47, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:14FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:24FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:54ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:49ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:04FIU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54FIU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:41FIU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:4685% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+12
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
85.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+11
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 11 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-8
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 2 yds to the ODU 13 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 23
+16
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 16 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-1
85.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+3
84.4%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
84.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 1 yd Jonnu Smith fumbled, forced by Martez Simpson, recovered by FlaInSimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:5715% → 15%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.7%
David Washington run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
84.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.6%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+39
84.6%
Jeremy Cox run for 39 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
84.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-1
84.3%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-5
84.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
84.6%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
84.6%
Chris Kirtley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
17 plays · 66 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
84.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
84.7%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
84.6%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
84.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
85.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton Taylor, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
84.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 6 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
85.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+6
85.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+3
84.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
85.0%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to GARDNER, Alex, PENALTY ODU holding (SIMPSON, Martez) 10 yards to the ODU28, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 7 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+1
85.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
84.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
85.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
84.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton Taylor, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
84.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0916% → 15%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
84.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 14
OWN 4
0
84.1%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+5
84.2%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 5 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
84.4%
David Washington run for no gain to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+44
84.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 27 , Richard Leonard returns for 44 yds to the FLAINTL 47 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 4:1885% → 89%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
84.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 12 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
84.8%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
84.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+5
84.5%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.5%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.6%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3012% → 17%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
87.7%
David Washington run for 6 yds to the ODU 36 David Washington fumbled, recovered by ODU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
87.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+57
83.4%
Ray Lawry run for 57 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:4185% → 86%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+33
85.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 33 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
85.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 3 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
85.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-9
85.3%
Alex McGough sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
86.1%
Austin Taylor 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8END OF HALF
18 plays · 79 yds · 3:5813% → 13%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.8%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 11 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
86.6%
David Washington pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
86.8%
David Washington pass complete to Marques Little for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+8
86.8%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
86.3%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
85.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
85.7%
David Washington pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 16 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
85.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
85.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+9
85.6%
David Washington pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
85.0%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+14
85.3%
David Washington pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 14 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.0%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Tyree JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
78.6%
Zach Pascal run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5982% → 85%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
81.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
81.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+41
80.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 41 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
82.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
82.6%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-5
81.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Rashaad Coward and Poncho Barnwell for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
84.7%
Austin Taylor 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
83.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
83.9%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
83.9%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+3
84.6%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
85.0%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
84.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 25 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
86.0%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
85.9%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
85.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
84.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.7%
Vincent Lowe run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
83.2%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.3%
David Washington pass intercepted Andre Lesly return for no gain to the FlaIn 32 Andre Lesly fumbled, forced by Zach Pascal, recovered by FlaIn Tyree Johnson , return for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:1985% → 93%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
85.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 30 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
92.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 38 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
92.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthon Samuel for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
92.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
92.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+1
91.9%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the ODU 14 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Miles Fox, recovered by ODU Sean Carter , return for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
91.7%
Ray Lawry run for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
91.1%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 7 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
90.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
90.9%
David Washington pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
91.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:5994% → 99%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+67
94.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 67 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
94.8%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
94.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+12
94.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
94.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 11 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
98.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+33
98.6%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 33 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.5%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
98.5%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+5
98.5%
David Washington pass complete to Ray Lawry for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Akil Dan-FodioSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-11
98.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Martez Simpson for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+3
98.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Marques Little returns for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
98.9%
Zach Pascal pass complete to Eri'Reon Hayes for 47 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.7%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+43
98.7%
David Washington sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 32 David Washington fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Leonard Washington , return for 0 yards , return for 43 yds to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
99.0%
Alex Gardner run for 43 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.1%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+6
99.1%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 19 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Kenyatta AndersonSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
99.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Lamarq Caldwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Chris Ayers punt for 37 yds , Marques Little returns for 2 yds to the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:04
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 38 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q3 14:49
Zach Pascal run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-7.3
TD · Q2 6:54
Ray Lawry run for 57 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley PAT BLOCKED)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com