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ODU

Old Dominion 7 at Marshall 27

MRSH
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:59 · Tyler Williams punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+22.7Home team on offense+13.7Score differential+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3Garbage-time factor+3.7Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 9:40: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 5 — ODU win probability +1.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:14: Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:06: Tony Pittman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:59: Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Tj Ricks — MRSH win probability +1.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:10: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:54ODU 4th & 7 at MRSH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11MRSH 4th & 9 at ODU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:02MRSH 4th & 21 at MRSH 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:36ODU 4th & 8 at MRSH 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:35MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:57ODU 4th & 16 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:43MRSH 4th & 1 at ODU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.8%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:43MRSH 4th & 10 at ODU 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:59MRSH 4th & 10 at ODU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:10MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:11ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:10ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:35MRSH 4th & 10 at ODU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:35ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:10MRSH 4th & 7 at ODU 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:52ODU 4th & 1 at MRSH 18, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:17MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 15, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:52MRSH 4th & 2 at ODU 40, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:40ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 49, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 5:14MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:06MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:10MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:53ODU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
88.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
88.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 1 yd to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
88.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
88.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
88.1%
Tony Pittman run for 8 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+12
88.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 12 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
88.2%
Chase Litton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 49 Chase Litton fumbled, recovered by Marsh Chase LittonSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+24
88.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 24 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
88.2%
Chase Litton run for 4 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
88.2%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+6
88.2%
Tony Pittman run for 6 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
88.2%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
88.2%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the ODU 7 Tony Pittman fumbled, forced by Fellonte Misher, recovered by ODU Pat ToalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
87.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
87.1%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Ray Lawry, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+5
87.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 5 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
87.3%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 38 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
87.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-3
87.0%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+2
86.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
86.6%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds, downed at the ODU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
86.0%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
85.9%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-9
85.9%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 10 Shuler Bentley fumbled, recovered by Marsh Gary Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
87.3%
Shuler Bentley pass intercepted Corey Tindal return for no gain to the Marsh 16 MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (D.J. Hunter) to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
87.6%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-11
87.4%
Chase Litton sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
87.0%
TEAM punt, downed at the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
86.6%
Shuler Bentley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
86.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
87.1%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 41 yds, downed at the Marsh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
86.9%
Tony Pittman run for 18 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
86.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
86.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
86.5%
Tyler Williams punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 4:2614% → 13%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.4%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
86.0%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
86.0%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
85.9%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
85.7%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
85.5%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
85.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
-7
85.9%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 16
50
0
86.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 35 yds, downed at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:4186% → 91%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
86.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
86.4%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+15
86.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 15 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
86.6%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+21
86.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 21 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
87.2%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+2
87.2%
Chase Litton run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+12
87.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 12 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
87.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+23
87.4%
Tony Pittman run for 23 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (Justice Davila) to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Brandon AddisonSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.4%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+39
89.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 39 yds to the MARSHALL 36 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
89.2%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+2
89.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+6
89.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the Marsh 30 Ray Lawry fumbled, forced by Shawn Petty, recovered by Marsh Ryan BeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 1:5490% → 91%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
90.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 13 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
90.7%
DAVIS, Keion rush for 10 yards to the ODU47 (DAVILA, Justice;CARTER, Sean), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (SELBY, Michael) 10 yards to the MARSHALL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+5
90.3%
LITTON, Chase sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MARSHALL32 (Wiggins, Scott), fumble by LITTON, Chase recovered by ODU TOAL, Pat at MARSHALL31, PENALTY ODU offside (TOAL, Pat) 5 yards to the MARSHALL38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
90.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+13
90.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 13 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
91.0%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+9
90.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 9 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.5%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
91.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
90.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:4010% → 10%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
90.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
90.3%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for no gain to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
90.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
90.6%
Shuler Bentley run for no gain to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
90.3%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Tj RicksSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
91.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
91.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
90.7%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
90.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Jarquez SamuelSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 41 yds, downed at the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
90.9%
PITTMAN, Tony rush for 5 yards to the MARSHALL33 (FOX, Miles), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (SELBY, Michael) 10 yards to the MARSHALL18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
90.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tony PittmanSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+7
90.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-12
90.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 25
OWN 13
+10
90.4%
Tony Pittman run for 10 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
90.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 9 , Marques Little returns for no gain to the ODU 9 Marques Little fumbled, forced by Cody Carter, recovered by ODUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
91.1%
Vincent Lowe run for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 17
-7
90.7%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Devontre'a Tyler for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+5
91.0%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
91.2%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 27 yds, downed at the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0492% → 97%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
92.1%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+31
91.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 31 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
92.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
92.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 4 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
97.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Shuler Bentley run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.9%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
96.8%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
96.8%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 7:0398% → 99%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.5%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
97.7%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
97.7%
Tony Pittman run for 6 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.7%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
97.7%
DAVIS, Keion rush for 6 yards to the ODU14 (THORNTON, A.), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (SELBY, Michael) 10 yards to the ODU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+5
98.7%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+5
98.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 5 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
98.9%
Nick Smith 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by Evan McKelveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4199% → 100%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.4%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
99.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Nick Smith 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 56 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Connor Mewbourne) to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Jason SmithSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 19 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 2 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-9
99.9%
Chase Litton sacked by Bunmi Rotimi for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 45 yds, downed at the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:420% → 1%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.9%
Ray Lawry run for 13 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
99.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 23 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.3%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chris Kirtley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
99.8%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 30 yds, downed at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 31INT
15 plays · 59 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.8%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+15
99.8%
BENTLEY, Shuler pass incomplete to PASCAL, Zach (ALLEN, Rodney), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (ALLEN, Rodney) 15 yards to the ODU28, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan DuhartSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Kesean Strong run for 8 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Kesean Strong, broken up by Shawn PettySimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 8 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
99.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Shuler Bentley pass intercepted, touchback. Kendall Gant return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:10
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 6:06
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q1 5:14
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com