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NORF

Norfolk State 10 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:25 · Zach Pascal run for no gain to the ODU 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:51: Cameron Marouf 27 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +0.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:46: Quintreil Chung run for 4 yds to the ODU 37 — NORF win probability +4.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:30: Kesean Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:15: Timeout NORFOLK ST, clock 13:15 — ODU win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:01: Ricky Segers 25 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NORF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:04NORF 4th & 7 at NORF 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:32ODU 4th & 3 at NORF 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35NORF 4th & 2 at ODU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51NORF 4th & 9 at ODU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:24ODU 4th & 9 at NORF 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:19ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:47NORF 4th & 14 at NORF 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:09ODU 4th & 4 at NORF 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:44ODU 4th & 1 at NORF 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53NORF 4th & 6 at ODU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:46NORF 4th & 5 at ODU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:24NORF 4th & 3 at NORF 25, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at NORF 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−1.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:15NORF 4th & 10 at ODU 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:18ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:12NORF 4th & 22 at NORF 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:01ODU 4th & 3 at NORF 8, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:11ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:44ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:30ODU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:4996% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
95.7%
Zach Pascal run for 16 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
95.7%
Zach Pascal run for 11 yds to the NflkS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the NflkS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
95.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+8
95.7%
Zach Pascal run for 8 yds to the NflkS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
95.1%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
Greg Hankerson sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 19Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
95.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 4 yds to the NflkS 23Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
95.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+1
95.2%
Bo Lomax punt for 36 yds , Marques Little returns for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0195% → 95%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
95.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 14 yds to the NflkS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
95.1%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 46Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+1
95.1%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the NflkS 45Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+25
95.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 25 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the NflkS 14Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+8
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 8 yds to the NflkS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the NflkS 4Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.2%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the NflkS 3Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.1%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
94.5%
Ricky Segers 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 4FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:416% → 7%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
94.4%
Greg Hankerson run for 19 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.3%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to B.J. ReidSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
94.3%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 42Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+10
94.3%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to James Church for 10 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
94.2%
Greg Hankerson run for 9 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
94.1%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-1
94.2%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+15
93.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 15 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.4%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
93.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to B.J. ReidSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+14
93.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 3 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (Oshane Ximines) to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
93.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 4 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-3
93.4%
Greg Hankerson sacked by Shadow Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
93.3%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
93.0%
Cameron Marouf 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2293% → 91%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.7%
Ray Lawry run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
50
0
93.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Isaiah HarperSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
50
+1
92.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 1 yd to the NflkS 49Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
92.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Nick EnglandSimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 9
OPP 49
+32
90.8%
Jarrett Cervi punt blocked by blocked by Hadji Gaylord return for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
90.7%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Nick EnglandSimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
90.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sandy Chapman at the NflkS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4410% → 10%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
90.0%
JOHNSON,Gerard rush for loss of 2 yards to the NSU30, fumble by JOHNSON,Gerard recovered by NSU JOHNSON,Gerard at NSU30, PENALTY ODU offside defense (REID, Terrell) 5 yards to the NSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+14
89.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
89.5%
Greg Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-15
89.0%
JOHNSON,Gerard rush for no gain to the ODU42 (RICKS, TJ;WILLIAMS, S.), PENALTY NSU illegal block (HOLLINS,Gabe) 15 yards to the NSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+3
89.6%
Greg Hankerson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 46Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+1
89.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 47 NORFOLK ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
90.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:2589% → 90%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
88.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Jonathan Duhart) to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
88.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+10
88.8%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+17
88.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to David Washington for 17 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
89.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
89.7%
Zach Pascal run for 5 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
89.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the NflkS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
89.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 3 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+22
89.9%
Ray Lawry run for 22 yds to the NflkS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
90.3%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 21Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
90.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+8
89.7%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+6
89.5%
Shuler Bentley run for 6 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
90.3%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 6Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the NflkS 4Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
89.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
89.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
89.8%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 5 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+8
89.3%
Greg Hankerson run for 8 yds to the NflkS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
89.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 5 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 44 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
87.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
87.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 6 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
87.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 4 yds to the NflkS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
86.8%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+13
87.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 13 yds to the NflkS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
85.8%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 47Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
86.0%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to B.J. ReidSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+15
86.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 15 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.4%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Demetreus Ferebee, broken up by Tj RicksSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
85.5%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
85.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Quinta Funderburk, broken up by C.J. Bradshaw NORFOLK ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+1
86.4%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 1 yd to the ODU 33 NORFOLK ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
86.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
86.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 11 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
87.6%
Shuler Bentley run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 41 Shuler Bentley fumbled, recovered by ODU Shuler BentleySimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-10
86.7%
LAWRY, Ray rush for no gain to the ODU41 (BRANTLEY,Walter;SMITH,Rodney), PENALTY ODU holding (CASEY, Cullen) 10 yards to the ODU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 24
OWN 31
+1
86.4%
Shuler Bentley pass intercepted Donte' Haynesworth return for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
82.2%
Quintreil Chung run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
82.0%
Quintreil Chung run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
82.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Quinta FunderburkSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James Church, broken up by Malique JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5086% → 93%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
85.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 11 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
86.5%
LAWRY, Ray rush for no gain to the ODU47 (GANT,Justin;WALKER,Brandon), PENALTY ODU holding (FISHER, Tyler) 10 yards to the ODU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
85.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+25
85.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 25 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
87.4%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+21
87.4%
Ray Lawry run for 14 yds to the NflkS 14 for a 1ST down NORFOLK ST Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Justin Gant) to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
87.4%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the NflkS 2Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
92.1%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
92.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Markice Street for 7 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James ChurchSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Bo Lomax punt for 28 yds, downed at the ODU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3193% → 93%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.9%
Kesean Strong run for 9 yds to the NflkS 44Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
93.0%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the NflkS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
93.0%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
93.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 6 yds to the NflkS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
93.0%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-1
93.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
92.9%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the NflkS 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
92.5%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the NflkS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:169% → 8%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James Church, broken up by Kohl Adams-HurdSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+20
91.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to James Church for 20 yds to the NflkS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
90.5%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to James Church for 22 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
89.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Quinta FunderburkSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James ChurchSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
92.5%
Bo Lomax punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4893% → 93%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
93.4%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
93.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques Little, broken up by D'Metrius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
92.9%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 23 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
93.1%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Sandy Chapman at the NflkS 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:007% → 5%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Gerard Johnson, broken up by Tim WardSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-12
93.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Greg Hankerson for a loss of 12 yards to the NflkS 34Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 22
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to B.J. ReidSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Bo Lomax punt for 41 yds , Justice Davila returns for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:5894% → 97%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Jonathan Duhart, broken up by D'Metrius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+47
94.2%
Ray Lawry run for 47 yds to the NflkS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
95.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the NflkS 19Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
95.1%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the NflkS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
95.1%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the NflkS 12Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
95.1%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the NflkS 8Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
94.9%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the NflkS 8Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
97.4%
Ricky Segers 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 73 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Quinta Funderburk, broken up by Devon BrownSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
96.9%
Gerard Johnson run for 11 yds to the NflkS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
96.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Markice Street for 10 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+51
96.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Quinta Funderburk for 51 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the ODU 2 Gerard Johnson fumbled, forced by Kohl Adams-Hurd, recovered by ODU Marvin Branch , return for 1 yd to the ODU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
97.5%
Zach Pascal run for 18 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.6%
Zach Pascal run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
97.5%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+11
97.6%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+9
97.7%
Zach Pascal run for 9 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
97.8%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 42 Kesean Strong fumbled, forced by Rodney Smith, recovered by ODU Troy ButlerSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 15
OWN 42
-7
97.6%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 45 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Burns) to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 22
OWN 35
+5
97.5%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Zach Pascal run for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:30
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)
+5.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:46
Quintreil Chung run for 4 yds to the ODU 37
-4.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:15
Timeout NORFOLK ST, clock 13:15
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com