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ODU

Old Dominion 38 at Eastern Michigan 34

EMU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds , Marques Little returns for 5 yds to the ODU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+5.3Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:08: Ray Lawry run for 54 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +13.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:51: Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +17.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:22: Reginald Bell pass complete to Dustin Creel for 8 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +13.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:40: Ray Lawry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +18.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Ray Lawry run for 45 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK) — ODU win probability +53.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:17ODU 4th & 10 at EMU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:35ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 28 at ODU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:38EMU 4th & 2 at ODU 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ODU 4th & 2 at EMU 2, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−9.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−4.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:05ODU 4th & 5 at EMU 43, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−3.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46EMU 4th & 11 at ODU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:46ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:49EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−6.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:25EMU 4th & 6 at ODU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−5.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−6.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:50EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:56EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:31ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:27EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:08ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:51ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:22EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:40ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:57ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
71.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 9 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
71.2%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+9
71.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 9 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
71.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+25
71.2%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 40 yds OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the EMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:1471% → 72%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
70.9%
Reginald Bell run for 17 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.0%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
71.1%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Kris Strange for 10 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
71.9%
Darius Jackson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:3328% → 28%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.6%
Ray Lawry run for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
71.5%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
71.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Marques Little for 7 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
71.3%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+15
71.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques Little, PENALTY EMU pass interference (TILLMAN, Ray) 15 yards to the EMU34, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
71.2%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
71.4%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Kwanii FigueroaSimilar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
71.9%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
71.7%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 15 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
71.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
71.6%
Reginald Bell run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
71.7%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+12
71.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds , Marques Little returns for 12 yds to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
72.2%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
72.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-1
72.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jeremy Cox for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
72.7%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 38 yds, downed at the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1273% → 77%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
73.1%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+38
73.2%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Darius Jackson for 38 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
77.0%
Darius Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:2025% → 30%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
75.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 12 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
74.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Blair Roberts for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
74.6%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+20
74.3%
Ray Lawry run for 20 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
73.9%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
70.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to David Washington for 14 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.5%
Reginald Bell run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
72.4%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Darius Jackson for 7 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
73.5%
Reginald Bell pass intercepted Aaron Young return for 2 yds to the 50 yard line OLDDOMINION Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:2028% → 27%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
72.3%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
71.4%
Jeremy Cox run for 4 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Nick EnglandSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
71.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+14
71.4%
Shuler Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 43 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Great Ibe) to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
70.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Marques LittleSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
71.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-19
71.4%
Team run for a loss of 19 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 28
OWN 40
0
73.1%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 54 yds, downed at the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
17 plays · 92 yds · 7:1173% → 76%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
72.6%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
72.4%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Cody Tuttle, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+9
71.9%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Kevin Davis for 9 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
73.0%
Darius Jackson run for 12 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
73.1%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+12
73.0%
Blake Banham run for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
74.2%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
74.2%
Reginald Bell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 2
50
+2
73.8%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
74.5%
Reginald Bell run for 9 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+17
74.5%
Shaq Vann run for 17 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
74.6%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+9
74.6%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Austin Stone for 4 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (5 Yards) to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.6%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
74.6%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
74.1%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
76.1%
Dylan Mulder 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
16 plays · 79 yds · 4:3224% → 26%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
76.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 5 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+12
75.6%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
75.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
76.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Nick EnglandSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+31
78.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 31 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
75.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 14 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
75.0%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+8
75.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Blair Roberts for 8 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
75.9%
Shuler Bentley run for 5 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.0%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Blair RobertsSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
76.1%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
74.5%
Satchel Ziffer 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:2476% → 87%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
76.0%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
77.4%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+11
76.4%
Reginald Bell run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
50
0
77.6%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
50
+15
77.3%
BELL, Reginald pass incomplete to DAVIS, Kevin, PENALTY ODU roughing passer (Rashaad Coward) 15 yards to the ODU35, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
77.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Cole Gardner) to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+10
77.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 10 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
77.9%
Reginald Bell run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+6
77.1%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Kris Strange for 6 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
77.9%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+10
77.9%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Darius Jackson for 10 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.0%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Dustin Creel for 10 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
73.1%
Ray Lawry run for 54 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
76.6%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-7
76.7%
Reginald Bell sacked by N/A for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 27 Reginald Bell fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3429% → 45%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
70.7%
Ray Lawry run for 8 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
70.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
70.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Blair Roberts, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
70.7%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+11
72.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David Washington, PENALTY EMU pass interference (PACE, DaQuan) 11 yards to the EMU2, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:2167% → 81%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
67.3%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-1
67.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
66.8%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Izaiah Fuller for 6 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
67.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
68.3%
Reginald Bell run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+11
67.0%
Reginald Bell run for 11 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
68.3%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+6
68.3%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
68.3%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.3%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Kevin Davis, broken up by Fellonte MisherSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
81.4%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Dustin Creel for 8 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4224% → 47%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.5%
Ray Lawry run for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
75.5%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.3%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
73.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Nick England, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
73.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 9 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
73.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+6
74.6%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 6 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+10
73.7%
Ray Lawry run for 10 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
71.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Justice Davila for 9 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Williams) to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
71.2%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
71.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.7%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:3362% → 58%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
61.9%
Reginald Bell run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
61.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam BrowningSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-6
59.5%
Brogan Roback sacked by Oshane Ximines for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+5
57.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds , Marques Little returns for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
53.5%
Jeremy Cox run for 11 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
51.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
51.4%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
52.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
54.9%
Jarrett Cervi punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dustin Creel at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4060% → 72%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
60.2%
Blake Banham run for 7 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+9
61.0%
Darius Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
61.0%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
62.5%
Darius Jackson run for 11 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
64.4%
Darius Jackson run for 11 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.8%
Eddie Daugherty pass incomplete to Austin StoneSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
65.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 10 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
66.9%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-2
66.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
71.5%
Dylan Mulder 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
67.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
68.7%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Derric Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
71.8%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 61 yds, downed at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
72.3%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
72.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Izaiah Fuller for 3 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+9
70.7%
Brogan Roback run for 9 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.9%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-7
72.3%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the EMich 29 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Dustin Creel) to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+6
72.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+7
70.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
70.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:0528% → 89%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+30
71.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Nick England for 30 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
64.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
64.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+45
11.3%
Ray Lawry run for 45 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24INT
14 plays · 35 yds · 1:2427% → 17%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
30.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
26.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+14
25.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kevin Davis for 14 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
31.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cody Tuttle, broken up by Fellonte MisherSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
29.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 10 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
34.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
26.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris Strange, broken up by Fellonte MisherSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+5
24.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+13
17.1%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Tim Ward return for 13 yds to the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
4.5%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:57
Ray Lawry run for 45 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)
-53.4
TD · Q3 0:40
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 8:51
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Satchel Ziffer KICK)
-17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com