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NCSU

NC State 35 at Wake Forest 17

WAKE
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:42 · A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense−40.8Pregame prior−3.7Score differential−22.5Garbage-time factor−10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:17: Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 58 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:24: Kendall Hinton run for 69 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:38: Mike Weaver 38 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +2.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:18: Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Janvion) to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down — NCSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:44: Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 11NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:07WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:43WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:17WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 26, down 28
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31NCSU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 28
    Close callPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:22WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:56NCSU 4th & 4 at WAKE 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:51WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:04NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:06NCSU 4th & 9 at WAKE 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:33NCSU 4th & 20 at NCSU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:38WAKE 4th & 3 at NCSU 19, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−5.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:38NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 30, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:31WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 38, down 18
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:18NCSU 4th & 11 at WAKE 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−3.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:47WAKE 4th & 7 at NCSU 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:42NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:30WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 12, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:07NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:15NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:17NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:45NCSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:24WAKE Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:44WAKE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5377% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
23.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 7 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
23.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 59 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
23.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
23.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-7
23.5%
John Wolford sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
23.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 41 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
23.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 85 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
23.2%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
23.2%
Tyler Bell run for 11 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
23.3%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
23.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 10 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
23.3%
Tabari Hines pass intercepted Hakim Jones return for no gain to the NCSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
23.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 2 yds to the NCSt 8Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+5
23.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 5 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+5
23.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Cole Cook for 5 yds to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
22.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 8 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+14
22.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 14 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
22.7%
Jacoby Brissett run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+6
22.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jumichael Ramos for 6 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
22.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matthew DayesSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
23.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 49 yds, downed at the WFrst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
22.6%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
22.6%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 13
-5
22.5%
John Wolford sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
22.5%
Alexander Kinal punt for 50 yds, downed at the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
17.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 58 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
17.9%
John Wolford sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
17.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Darian RoseboroSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
17.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+47
17.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:2884% → 83%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
16.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
16.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
16.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 8 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
16.7%
Matthew Dayes run for 57 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4515% → 15%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
15.4%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
14.9%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
14.9%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
14.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
15.8%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
15.8%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
14.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-4
15.8%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 5
50
+3
16.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 38 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 3 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
13.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
12.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tyler Bell, broken up by Darian RoseboroSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
12.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
12.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:2987% → 88%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
13.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 7 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
12.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
50
+1
13.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
13.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Maurice Trowell, broken up by Chris CalhounSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
13.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
12.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
10.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+10
10.3%
Hinton, K sideline pass incomplete to Serigne, C, PENALTY ST holding (Jones, H.) 10 yards to the ST48, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
11.1%
Kendall Hinton run for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
10.9%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 17
OWN 45
0
10.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
10.1%
Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
11.4%
Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+7
11.1%
Jaylen Samuels run for 7 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
11.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
11.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
11.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Maurice TrowellSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+5
11.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 52 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 1:339% → 13%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
8.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
8.5%
Tabari Hines run for no gain to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+69
12.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 69 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:1888% → 90%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
12.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 5 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
12.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
50
+7
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 7 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
11.7%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+15
11.9%
Brissett, J. deep pass intercepted by Okonye, J at the WF0, Okonye, J return to the WF0, PENALTY WF pass interference (Okonye, J) 15 yards to the WF23, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
11.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
11.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Jumichael RamosSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
12.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
10.4%
Kyle Bambard 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18END OF HALF
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
11.7%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
11.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+9
11.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 9 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
12.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
11.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+1
11.7%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.0%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
11.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 6 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
11.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
11.1%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-8
10.9%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
10.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
7.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
7.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+12
7.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 12 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
6.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
6.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to David J. GrinnageSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-9
6.8%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 20
OWN 31
+1
7.4%
A.J. Cole III punt for 37 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:578% → 11%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
7.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 12 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
8.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 17 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
8.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
8.7%
Hinton, K sacked for loss of 1 yard to the ST37 (Hill, BJ;Fernandez, J.), PENALTY ST holding (Fernandez, J.) 10 yards to the ST26, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
9.5%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+9
9.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
9.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tyler BellSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+38
11.4%
Mike Weaver 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Maurice Trowell, broken up by Dionte AustinSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
7.5%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Alex Barr) to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
7.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
7.7%
Jacoby Brissett run for 10 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
7.8%
A.J. Cole III punt for 51 yds, downed at the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
9.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 12 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
9.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Chuck Wade, broken up by Josh JonesSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
9.5%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+1
10.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
10.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 53 yds, downed at the NCSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24MISSED FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0095% → 96%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
5.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Janvion) to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
5.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 10 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
4.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
4.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
4.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
4.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+16
4.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 16 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
4.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+11
4.4%
Jacoby Brissett run for 11 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
4.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
4.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry, broken up by Dionte AustinSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
4.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to David J. GrinnageSimilar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
4.0%
Kyle Bambard 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:314% → 4%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
4.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
4.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 6 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
4.5%
Hinton, K deep pass incomplete to Hines, T, PENALTY ST pass interference (Jones, Jo.) 15 yards to the WF46, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Bradley ChubbSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
4.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 16 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
5.0%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+8
4.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-2
5.3%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Shawn Boone for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
4.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
2.6%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
2.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
2.6%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
2.6%
A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:132% → 0%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
2.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by B.J. HillSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-3
2.4%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 12 Kendall Hinton fumbled, recovered by WFrst Dylan Intemann , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
2.3%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+52
0.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 52 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:460% → 2%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.2%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
0.2%
Matt Colburn run for 20 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
0.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
0.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+33
0.2%
Tyler Bell run for 33 yds to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
0.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 14 yds to the NCSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.3%
Hinton, K sideline pass incomplete to Lewis, C, PENALTY ST pass interference (Burris, J.) 2 yards to the ST2, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 29END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:17
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 58 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
-5.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:18
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Janvion) to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down
-4.8
TD · Q2 3:24
Kendall Hinton run for 69 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com